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More Reading from MarketBeat
Cathie Wood Is Buying Tesla—Should You?By Sam Quirke. Publication Date: 4/15/2026. 
Key Points
- Cathie Wood’s funds have been recently buying Tesla, even as the stock’s downtrend sinks to fresh lows.
- However, bullish catalysts like FSD approval and promising analyst updates are starting to align, even as delivery data disappoints.
- With earnings due next week, Tesla is shaping into a high-risk, high-reward setup where anything could happen.
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Shares of Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) were firmly in a downtrend to start April, well below their December all-time high. Although the stock hasn't set a fresh low in nearly a week, the broader picture still shows weakening momentum and fading investor confidence. Given that backdrop, investor Cathie Wood’s latest move is notable. Over the past week, her ARK funds added roughly $28 million in Tesla shares, stepping in while sentiment remains fragile and the company's narrative is under scrutiny.
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With earnings due next week, investors are right to wonder whether this is a smart bet into a potential turning point or simply another risky play in a stock that still has a lot to prove. There’s an argument to be made for both sides—let’s take a closer look. Cathie Is Back: Tesla's Long-Term PotentialEver since Tesla shifted the narrative from an automaker to a technology company, Wood has leaned into that pivot. She views Tesla not as a traditional carmaker but as a long-term leader in autonomy, artificial intelligence and robotics. Short-term setbacks—disappointing delivery figures or margin pressure—become secondary when compared with the company's long-term earnings potential. What matters to long-term bulls is whether Tesla continues to make progress toward its broader vision, and on that front there have been some encouraging developments. Most notably, Tesla secured its first European approval for supervised Full Self-Driving—a milestone that adds real-world validation to its autonomy ambitions. While still early, this kind of regulatory progress is exactly what long-term investors have been waiting for. For Wood, moves like this likely reinforce the idea that the recent pullback represents an opportunity rather than a warning sign. The Bear Case Has Not Gone AwayAt the same time, the reasons for the recent weakness remain very real. Tesla’s latest delivery report disappointed, highlighting slowing demand, rising competition and the need for continued pricing adjustments. Inventory builds have also added to the concerns. These are not minor issues, especially for a stock that still trades at a premium. Even amid a long-term downtrend, Tesla’s price-to-earnings ratio remains in the triple digits, implying the market is pricing in significant future growth. That helps explain why analyst opinion remains so divided. Firms such as RBC, Deutsche Bank and Robert Baird have reiterated Buy or equivalent ratings this month, with price targets as high as $538. Those targets imply roughly 50% upside and contrast sharply with last month’s $280 price target and Underperform rating from BNP Paribas. Tesla has always attracted polarizing views, and nothing suggests that will change soon. The gap between analyst ratings highlights the tension between stabilizing the core auto business and pursuing an aggressive, long-term technology push. Price Action Suggests a Turning Point Could Be NearFrom a price-action perspective, the setup is starting to lean toward the bulls. The fact that Tesla has not made a new low since last week suggests selling pressure may be easing. After such a relentless selloff, sentiment appears close to being washed out. That creates an environment where even a modest earnings surprise next week could produce a sharp move higher. Tesla has a history of delivering precisely those kinds of surprises. This is likely what investors like Cathie Wood are positioning for. The structural risks remain, but the potential reward is looking increasingly compelling to some. Earnings Will Decide a LotAll of this sets up a pivotal moment for Tesla, which is due to report Wednesday, April 22. With the stock down substantially, sentiment is weak and the bar for success is lower. If Tesla shows stability in vehicle demand and continued momentum in areas like autonomy, the stock could rally quickly. For more cautious investors, however, the same event represents upside risk. If the report reinforces fears of slowing growth or persistent margin pressure, the downtrend could resume. That is what makes the current setup so interesting: Cathie Wood is effectively leaning into uncertainty, buying ahead of a major catalyst in the belief that the long-term story will outweigh near-term noise. Whether that proves to be the right move remains to be seen. |
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