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AST SpaceMobile’s June Launch Plan Puts Its 2026 Satellite Goal Back in FocusReported by Jessica Mitacek. Date Posted: 5/26/2026. 
Key Points
- Despite a setback in April when the BlueBird 7 satellite failed to reach the proper altitude and was deorbited, AST SpaceMobile is accelerating its timeline with the simultaneous mid-June launch of BlueBirds 8, 9, and 10 using SpaceX’s Falcon 9.
- The company is aiming for 45 to 60 satellites in orbit by the end of 2026 to provide nationwide direct-to-device cellular broadband achieved through 95% vertical integration.
- AST SpaceMobile is now capable of manufacturing up to six fully equipped BlueBirds per month, keeping its 2026 launch goal on pace.
- Special Report: Elon Musk already made me a “wealthy man”
The second quarter has been a rocky one for aerospace and telecommunication services newcomer AST SpaceMobile (NASDAQ: ASTS). Between a failed BlueBird satellite deployment in April and a disappointing Q1 FY2026 earnings miss in May, headline risk has placed considerable pressure on ASTS.
But the stock’s dramatic price swings are nothing new to shareholders. The volatile yet popular SpaceX competitor has not only proven resilient, but also shown time and again that it can defy analyst ratings. Over the past month, the stock has gained more than 37%, and since its year-to-date low on May 5, ASTS has surged nearly 66%. Now, following a proposed joint venture announcement from strategic partners AT&T (NYSE: T), T-Mobile (NASDAQ: TMUS), and Verizon (NYSE: V), the space-based cellular company is eyeing mid-June for the deployment of the next three satellites in its direct-to-device (D2D) constellation. AST SpaceMobile’s June Launch Becomes a Key Test After BlueBird 7Currently, AST SpaceMobile has six BlueBird satellites—the largest commercial arrays currently in low Earth orbit (LEO)—deployed. That figure should be seven, but on April 19, Blue Origin’s New Glenn rocket placed BlueBird 7 into an orbit too low for it to sustain operations. BlueBird 7 has since been deorbited, with the cost absorbed by AST SpaceMobile’s insurers, leaving the company with six satellites in orbit and sparking speculation that the Midland, Texas-based company will not be able to meet its 2026 launch target. That goal remains ambitious, with the company aiming for 45 to 60 BlueBirds in LEO by year’s end. But BlueBirds 8, 9, and 10 are tentatively scheduled for June launches, which would go a long way toward keeping AST SpaceMobile on track to hit its year-end target. Each of the upcoming deployments is scheduled for Cape Canaveral Space Force Station, and as of late May, BlueBirds 8 and 10 have arrived in Florida, with BlueBird 9 currently en route from Texas before all three are processed, tested, and prepped for SpaceX’s Falcon 9 encapsulation. Can AST SpaceMobile Still Meet Its 2026 Launch Target?While the BlueBird 7 failure was a setback for the company, William Blair analyst Louie DiPalama noted in an April research note that “the silver lining is that there was only one satellite on board, whereas future…launches may have as many as eight of AST’s BlueBirds.” Although that capacity is not precisely the case for the June launches, next month’s scheduled deployments indicate an acceleration that could keep the company on track to reach its 2026 goal. BlueBirds 8, 9, and 10 will mark AST SpaceMobile’s return to multi-satellite cluster deployment. That could become the norm for the company rather than the exception after it received commercial authority from the U.S. Federal Communications Commission for its constellation to provide D2D cellular broadband connectivity from space nationwide in the United States. At the same time, AST SpaceMobile has scaled to 95% vertical integration, with manufacturing capable of producing up to six fully assembled BlueBirds per month. That would put the firm on pace for 36 more satellites by the end of 2026, with CEO Abel Avellan reaffirming the target of 45 satellites in orbit during his Q1 earnings call comments on May 22. Wall Street Remains Wary of AST SpaceMobile’s Short-Term PerformanceIn the near term, analysts expect AST SpaceMobile to undergo a sharp mean reversion that could see shares correct over the next year. The stock has an average 12 month price target that is nearly 25% lower than where it is trading at the time of writing. Meanwhile, ASTS carries a consensus Reduce rating, with only two of 11 analysts covering the stock assigning it a Buy rating. However, AST SpaceMobile remains on firm financial footing. Despite the company’s annualized burn rate of approximately $1.45 billion, it has a cash position of around $3.5 billion, with its financial health in TradeSmith’s Green Zone, where it has been for more than 13 months. As AST SpaceMobile looks beyond 2026 and pursues 100 BlueBirds in its satellite fleet, it is forecast to remain unprofitable until 2027 or 2028. The stock currently has a high beta of 2.60 and trailing 12-month earnings per share of negative $1.78. But as its constellation of BlueBirds continues to grow, so should AST SpaceMobile’s growth metrics. That has been reflected in the company’s revenue over the past three quarters, during which it has averaged $27.92 million, up from an average of just $926,666 over the three preceding quarters. |
