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More Reading from MarketBeat
MercadoLibre Stock Is in Deep Pullback Territory: Time to Buy?Reported by Ryan Hasson. Article Published: 3/30/2026. 
Key Points
- MercadoLibre has fallen nearly 40% from its all-time high, whilst revenue surged 45% year over year to $8.8 billion in Q4.
- Despite the sharp drawdown, 19 analysts hold a consensus Moderate Buy rating with a price target implying nearly 67% upside.
- With the stock approaching its 200-day SMA on the weekly chart and its forward P/E compressing into the low 20s, MELI may be offering one of its most attractive entry points in recent years.
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MercadoLibre (NASDAQ: MELI), often called the Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) of Latin America, may be approaching discount territory. The stock has fallen almost 40% from its all-time high and is down nearly 20% year to date. Market selloffs can be uncomfortable, but they also create long-term buying opportunities in strong companies.
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With MELI's valuation compressing significantly, sidelined investors may finally be getting the entry point they've been waiting for. A Dominant Force in Latin American E-CommerceMercadoLibre is the leading e-commerce and fintech platform in Latin America, connecting millions of buyers and sellers across 18 countries. Its core business is a vast online marketplace spanning electronics, fashion, vehicles and more. But the company is more than an e-commerce platform: it also provides digital payments, credit and insurance services, targeting the rapidly growing and largely underserved middle class across the region. That combination of e-commerce dominance and financial-services expansion positions MercadoLibre as a key player in Latin America's broader economic development. A Company Still Very Much in Growth ModeThere's a clear reason sentiment on MELI remains broadly bullish. The company has been consistently growing sales and expanding its footprint across Latin America at an impressive pace. Throughout 2025 it consistently beat revenue estimates. Its most recent report, released on Feb. 24 for Q4 2025, did produce some headline noise. MELI reported a 12.5% decline in quarterly profits, missing expectations on the bottom line. The reason behind the miss matters: management deliberately increased investments aimed at long-term performance, including issuing more credit cards (which raises provisions), expanding free-shipping initiatives, and ramping up its first-party direct-sales model. These are growth investments, not signs of a deteriorating business — and investing for future growth at the cost of short-term pain is something management has done before. The top-line numbers back that up. Revenue rose 45% year over year to $8.8 billion, comfortably above the $8.5 billion analyst consensus. The company's credit portfolio jumped 90% year over year to $12.5 billion. Total payment volume in the acquiring business grew roughly 40%. Looking ahead, analysts expect earnings per share to rise about 43.6% next year, from $43.96 to $63.13. Sentiment Is Bullish as the Stock Enters Deep Pullback TerritoryDespite the sharp decline, Wall Street and institutions remain firmly in the bull camp. Based on 19 analyst ratings, MELI has a consensus rating of Moderate Buy. The consensus price target implies nearly 70% upside potential from current levels — a substantial target for a company valued around $82 billion that reflects genuine conviction in the long-term opportunity. Institutional flows tell a similar story. Over the prior 12 months, institutions purchased more than $20 billion in MELI stock, versus outflows of just under $15 billion. Insider selling has been limited as well: only three insider sales were recorded over the past 12 months, totaling about $2.3 million. That level of insider restraint during a major uptrend last year and now during the drawdown is notable. The Chart Is Approaching a Key LevelOn the weekly timeframe, MELI remains in a broader uptrend. The stock is approaching its 200-day simple moving average on the weekly chart — a level that has historically served as significant support. If the stock begins to build a base around this area, it could mark the start of meaningful stabilization. The valuation picture is also becoming more compelling. With the forward price-to-earnings ratio now approaching the low 20s, MELI is trading at one of its more attractive entry points in recent years. For long-term investors looking to get involved in this Latin American e-commerce leader, the setup is becoming harder to ignore. |