|
Dear Reader, President Trump is about to rewrite the rules of the stock market. 2025 showed just how much influence he has… Liberation Day triggered the fastest 10% drawdown in recent memory — wiping over $2 trillion off the markets in a single day. Then he paused tariffs for 90 days — and the S&P 500 gained $4 trillion in value. His AI initiatives sent Palantir soaring over 140%. But Larry Benedict says all of that was just the warm-up for what Trump is planning to do next. Larry is calling it "Project 2026." And Larry believes that when it’s triggered, it could move more money than anything Trump did in 2025. We're talking billions — potentially trillions — of dollars flowing into overlooked corners of the market. Creating massive new winners and losers. And there's ONE ticker sitting right at the center of it all. Larry's revealing the name and ticker today — completely free. Click here to discover what Trump's Project 2026 really is. Regards, Lauren Wingfield Today’s editorial pick for you McDonald’s (MCD) Stock Has Become the Golden Opportunity You Can’t IgnorePosted On Apr 22, 2026 by Joshua Enomoto For many years, McDonald’s (NYSE: MCD) has suffered the scourge of all things that were wrong with the fast-food industry. Amid a broader shift that began with millennials and continues with Gen Z, consumers have consistently gravitated toward convenient but healthier alternatives. However, with the Iran conflict, along with rising economic challenges, MCD stock suddenly looks like a very smart bit of speculation. Table of ContentsFundamentally, one of the more exciting elements of the Golden Arches is the fruits of the company’s product innovation. Following the pilot program of the beverage-focused CosMc’s concept, McDonald’s recently announced a major strategic undertaking. Rather than just building more standalone cafes, the fast-food giant is integrating CosMc’s tech and menu into its core locations. Specifically, McDonald’s is launching its Refreshers and crafted soda line nationwide, including its high-margin items such as its dirty sodas and energy drink collaborations. Financially, specialty beverages carry significantly higher margins than food products like hamburgers. By capturing a slice of the multi-billion-dollar industry, which is currently dominated by Starbucks (NASDAQ: SBUX), MCD stock could benefit from a sizable boost in same-store sales. Such an optimistic outlook is supported by McDonald’s massive and loyal consumer base. Further, with digital transactions increasingly ramping up across the discretionary retail sector, the fast-food giant has taken great steps to integrate the latest tech. This has resulted in a conspicuous pickup in systemwide sales in key markets. What’s really fascinating amid the K-shaped economic recovery is McDonald’s ability to capture market share from consumers facing recent financial headwinds. Because of the increasing pressure both economically and geopolitically, many patrons who would rather eat at fast-casual restaurants like Chipotle (NYSE: CMG) are trading down to McDonald’s. Even better, because of the investments the company has made, the trade down doesn’t feel that much of a compromise. With MCD stock in a slog over the past year, now may be an intriguing time to consider opening a long-side position. Additionally, an intriguing market signal has made this prospect all the more enticing. Using the Inductive Approach to Trade MCD StockObviously, the whole idea of estimating what may happen in the future is to profit from the potential move before it happens. It doesn’t really do you much good to read a story waxing poetic about what did happen — unless you’re into that sort of thing. Of course, forecasting comes with a certain degree of risk because no one knows exactly what will happen. To help narrow down the odds, traders use induction, which is a fancy term for pattern recognition. An inductive methodology relies on the uniformity of nature or the assumption that the future will resemble the past. It’s not a perfect, foolproof approach, but when dealing with the unknown future, it’s the best (and only) philosophy we have. For example, technical analysis is highly inductive. If you see a head-and-shoulders pattern, you have been taught that there is a high probability that the target security will fall in value. Apparently, people have studied head and shoulders — and supposedly, a great many of these patterns end up in bearish trends. However, no one (to my knowledge) has quantified these claims. We don’t know what the success ratio is for these technical patterns. Further, no arbiter exists to objectively define what these patterns are and when they are valid.
To help get around this dilemma, I prefer to use a discretized inductive analysis. We take the infinite realm of the scalar signal and convert this data into discretized signals. In this manner, we’re quantifying what a signal actually means and using that quantification to calculate a forward distribution of likely events in the future. There’s no really elegant way of expressing discretization, so let me cut to the chase. What I’m doing is conditioning data associated with the last 10 weeks to find out what is likely to happen in the next 10 weeks. It’s no different than comparing a baseball player’s career batting average to his batting average when there are runners in scoring position (RISP). If there’s a favorable discrepancy between his aggregate average and his RISP average, that’s conditioned data that can be used to one’s advantage. Turning Theory into Action for McDonald’s StockLet’s move into some practical applications, particularly for options traders. Using a dataset going back to January 2019, if you were to hold McDonald’s stock at random for any 10-week period, you would statistically come out a winner due to the security’s upward bias. Specifically, out of 362 rolling 10-week sequences, 228 of them have risen above the starting price. That gives MCD stock an exceedance ratio of 63%, which is fantastic. It’s also somewhat expected, given the blue-chip status and reliable nature of the Golden Arches. Drilling into the details, if we assume a starting price of $301.84 (Tuesday’s close), MCD stock — using an inductive calculation — would be expected on average between $298 and $315. Probability density would likely peak at $305, meaning that random speculation over the aforementioned period should more often than not lead to a modest return.
Of course, we’re not interested in trading MCD stock randomly; instead, we’re specifically targeting the current signal to see if there’s a meaningful advantage over the aggregate baseline. In the last 10 weeks, MCD has printed only three up weeks, leading to an overall downward slope. Under this 3-7-D condition, the 10-week forward distribution noticeably shifts toward the positive end of the profitability axis. Nominally, if we assume the same $301.84 starting price but under 3-7-D conditions, MCD stock will likely range between $290 and $360. Probability density is projected to peak at $330, which is a considerable improvement over the aggregate forecast. By now, you know where I’m going with this. We can use the leverage of options to enhance the potential return of this tempting trade. I really can’t help but gravitate toward the idea of the 325/330 bull call spread expiring June 18. We’re betting that McDonald’s stock rises through the $330 strike at expiration. If it does, the maximum payout comes out to a stunning 410%. Also, keep in mind that the net cost you pay per spread is only $98. Bear in mind that induction has its risks. I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again: just because you see a thousand white swans does not mean all swans are white. Still, when you consider the tendency of MCD stock rising to $330 over a 10-week period under 3-7-D conditions and the very reasonable net cost of the bull spread, I can only repeat the corporate slogan. I’m lovin’ it. This is a PAID ADVERTISEMENT provided to the subscribers of StockEarnings Free Newsletter. Although we have sent you this email, StockEarnings does not specifically endorse this product nor is it responsible for the content of this advertisement. Furthermore, we make no guarantee or warranty about what is advertised above. Your privacy is very important to us, if you wish to be excluded from future notices, do not reply to this message. Instead, please click Unsubscribe. StockEarnings, Inc
|
Wednesday, April 29, 2026
Inside the Details of Trump’s "Project 2026"
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
Page List
Blog Archive
- April 2026 (819)
- March 2026 (2993)
- February 2026 (2529)
- January 2026 (2781)
- December 2025 (2836)
- November 2025 (2556)
- October 2025 (2219)
- September 2025 (2747)
- August 2025 (2903)
- July 2025 (2997)
- June 2025 (2807)
- May 2025 (2884)
- April 2025 (2766)
- March 2025 (2867)
- February 2025 (2635)
- January 2025 (2682)
- December 2024 (2451)
- November 2024 (2391)
- October 2024 (2862)
- September 2024 (2667)
- August 2024 (3156)
- July 2024 (3241)
- June 2024 (3107)
- May 2024 (3196)
- April 2024 (3104)
- March 2024 (3192)
- February 2024 (3006)
- January 2024 (3261)
- December 2023 (3176)
- November 2023 (3188)
- October 2023 (3191)
- September 2023 (2961)
- August 2023 (3120)
- July 2023 (3024)
- June 2023 (3042)
- May 2023 (3205)
- April 2023 (3030)
- March 2023 (2986)
- February 2023 (2584)
- January 2023 (2694)
- December 2022 (2745)
- November 2022 (2899)
- October 2022 (2916)
- September 2022 (2970)
- August 2022 (2981)
- July 2022 (2814)
- June 2022 (2759)
- May 2022 (2768)
- April 2022 (2692)
- March 2022 (2851)
- February 2022 (2550)
- January 2022 (2715)
- December 2021 (2641)
- November 2021 (2745)
- October 2021 (2836)
- September 2021 (2847)
- August 2021 (2756)
- July 2021 (2572)
- June 2021 (2738)
- May 2021 (2579)
- April 2021 (2698)
- March 2021 (2789)
- February 2021 (2532)
- January 2021 (2617)
- December 2020 (2664)
- November 2020 (2637)
- October 2020 (2824)
- September 2020 (2745)
- August 2020 (2704)
- July 2020 (2749)
- June 2020 (2669)
- May 2020 (2199)
- April 2020 (4060)
- March 2020 (5898)
- February 2020 (6963)
- January 2020 (7455)
- December 2019 (10)
Search This Blog
-
Having trouble viewing this email? View it as a Web page . You are subscribed to Constit...
-
Plus, Deaths of foreign fighters draw renewed attention to the military volunteers in Ukraine. ...
-
View Images Library Photos and Pictures. Как сделать усилитель сигнала сотовой связи своими руками Усилитель 3G сигнала своими руками Антен...

No comments:
Post a Comment