Tuesday, February 3, 2026

Silver's Worst Day Since 1980... Opportunity Awaits

Trade of the Day Wake-Up Watchlist

"The Cure For High Prices Is High Prices. And Silver Just Proved That Principle in Spectacular Fashion."

Karim Rahemtulla, Head Fundamental Tactician, Monument Traders Alliance

Karim Rahemtulla

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Silver just crashed 26% in a single day - its worst performance since 1980.

While speculators are puking up their positions, I'm sitting pretty. That's because I didn't ride this thing all the way back down.

The Complete Cycle Play

I got you into silver in 2024 when it traded in the $20s per ounce.

Everyone thought I was crazy. Gold was the safe play. Silver was the "poor man's gold" that nobody wanted to touch.

But I knew something they didn't: when gold moves, silver moves harder. And I could see the setup coming from miles away.

Fast-forward to early 2026. Silver's screaming toward the $90s, then over $100, eventually hitting its peak around $115. Financial media called it the trade of the decade.

That's exactly when I started hedging.

One of the early red flags?

I walked into my local coin dealer when silver was in the $90s. The guy was practically begging me not to bring in any more silver. His warehouse was full, and he was paying only 55% to 60% of spot price for scrap silver.

I watched disappointed faces walking out of that shop all afternoon. People thinking they were going to cash in big, only to get a reality check on what "market price" actually means when everyone's selling at once.

That told me everything I needed to know about where we were in the cycle.

Why I Started Hedging

I told my War Room members: "I'm hedging my silver positions now. I don't care if it goes higher - won't hurt me. I don't care if it crashes - won't hurt me either. That's the position you want to be in."

This isn't about being bearish on silver. I still hold silver positions. This is about understanding that anything that can rocket up that fast can crash just as hard.

And that's exactly what happened.

Last Friday, silver crashed 26% in a single session. From its peak at $115 to the mid-$70s. That's the worst single-day performance since 1980.

Speculators who piled in at the top got absolutely crushed. Margin calls. Forced selling. Pure panic.

But my hedged positions? Protected.

I read the market's behavior and positioned accordingly.

Here's what separates professional traders from speculators...

Speculators think: "Silver's going to the moon! HODL forever!"

Professionals think: "I'll take my gains and hedge against the inevitable correction."

I got positioned early when silver was cheap. I protected profits when it went parabolic. And now I'm positioned for whatever comes next.

That's how you build wealth in volatile markets - you don't marry your positions.

This Could Spread to Copper

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This silver crash isn't happening in a vacuum. When one commodity gets this overextended and crashes, it puts pressure on everything else that's been riding high.

Copper's been on its own tear - watch for spillover selling there. These parabolic moves in commodities rarely happen in isolation, and neither do the crashes.

What About Silver Miners?

If silver can find its footing here, silver miners should still do very well in this market. These companies are leveraged to the metal's price, so even at current levels, they're printing money compared to historical norms.

If you're not in silver, wait. See if there's further downside or if prices stabilize before jumping in. No point catching a falling knife.

Your Action Plan

Someone asked me today: "Does the AI data center buildout sustain silver long-term?"

Here's my take: They'll shift to alternatives if silver gets too expensive. You'd be surprised how much recycled silver comes out of the woodwork when prices spike like this.

I'm seeing strong support around the $50 level - maybe higher this cycle given the structural deficits. The drop from the peak to the mid-$70s flushed out the speculators, not the long-term holders.

They need to see that $50-handle before they really capitulate.

This silver cycle proves everything I've been teaching for decades. Buy when nobody wants it. Hedge when everyone loves it. Stay positioned for the long-term thesis without betting the farm on any single move.

The cure for high prices is high prices. And silver just proved that principle in spectacular fashion.

Following this playbook means I'm sitting on protected gains while the speculators are nursing losses.

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