♟ Trading In a "Data Fog"

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View in browser "As we get into unprecedented shutdown territory, the data fog could start to become more of an issue, which is another reason I'd prefer to get defensive." Bryan Bottarelli, Head Trade Tactician, Monument Traders Alliance Dear Reader, As of this writing, the U.S. government remains shut down... And yet it seems like Wall Street couldn't care less. It's quite telling to see the major market indexes hit fresh highs - all while our policymakers are sidelined. What does that say about their perceived effectiveness - or even usefulness? It's a little pathetic when the less work our elected officials do - the better the stock market performs. How long can this last? I'm not entirely sure - but we're soon going to test the longevity of this relationship. Especially when it comes to reported economic data. No Economic Data Leaves Us In a "Data Fog" The government shutdown, which is now entering its fifth week, means that we have not received any official government data on Q3 real GDP, consumer income and spending, and PCE inflation (among other indicators). The inability to gauge the health of the economy has now left us in a "data fog." Previous shutdowns have typically led to a 0.1% to 0.2% hit on GDP growth for every week that they last. Wall Street also knows that economic activity mostly recovers after the shutdown ends - which is why the stock market disruption (thus far) has been short-lived background noise. But really, how long can the markets shrug this off? SPONSORED Nvidia's CEO: "This Will Be a Multitrillion-Dollar Industry." Nvidia's CEO believes Elon Musk's new technology could help launch an entirely new multitrillion-dollar industry. According to Jeff Brown, the tech legend who picked shares of Nvidia in 2016 before they jumped by more than 22,000%… It could also help send shares of this Elon Musk supplier skyrocketing higher. As we get into unprecedented shutdown territory, the data fog could start to become more of an issue, which is another reason I'd prefer to get defensive... If you look closely, the downside has already started in homebuilders. Even with the recent dip in mortgage rates, homebuilding stocks have pulled back more than 16% from their September highs. Yes, rates are lower, but that is because cracks are emerging in the labor market. D.R. Horton just reported a decline in its quarterly profits. Pending home sales (which is a bellwether indicator) came in flat in September - versus a consensus forecast of 1.2%. Stagnant home sales and economic uncertainty could lead to more downside, which is why I'd prefer to bias this sector lower. The SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) could soon break below $100. YOUR ACTION PLAN To see how we're getting positioned to play this move, you're invited to join us LIVE tomorrow at 1 p.m. ET in Catalyst Cash-Outs Live. Our next pick will be revealed during this livestream, so be sure to join our elite trading community! Join Cashouts Now to Get Tomorrow's New Pick LIVE at 1:00 p.m. ET INSIGHTS YOU MAY HAVE MISSED I Woke Up to 60% Gains This Morning - Amazon Earnings Triggered My Dark Ticker Signal Will Things Ever Change? I'm Still Buying Seabridge at $23 (After 200% Gains) - Here's Why Why I'm Salivating Over This Non-Tech Chart Setup SPONSORED New Discovery Has Produced 83% Win Rate While the Stock Market Has Dropped! See how this revolutionary new "One Ticker" trading strategy is helping traders bring in massive wins while most investors have been watching their portfolios bleed. 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