Stop gambling with earnings…Start trading them predictably
Don Kaufman stopped trading random days and started targeting earnings windows exclusively.
The result? Forty triple-digit winners and 82.7% average returns over four quarterly cycles.
Earnings Flips is the system he built to trade only the 40 days per year that actually deliver results.
The next earnings window is approaching. See the complete strategy in his replay.
👉 [WATCH THE REPLAY]
October was a great month for equities…
But I can’t wait for November.
Historically, the month closes up a whopping 80% of the time.
That’s not just a fun fact; that’s a trade idea.
Yes, it feels wrong buying stocks at these stupidly high levels. Jeff Bierman will probably have an aneurysm if we go much further.
Though it’s kind of hard for someone like him to get that stressed when his Genesis COG portfolio went 6 for 6 with the trades it closed out this month.
I mean, it’s not like we haven’t had plenty of price action.
Earnings have scattered stocks like buckshot, making Don’s Earnings Flips all the more interesting to follow.
And it hasn’t been all sunshine and puppy dogs. After a ridiculous run in his Trinity Trade portfolio, Gianni got stopped out on several positions as crypto pulled back.
But again, how do you feel bad for someone who’s up over 70% YTD on his closed positions?
Maybe I’ll stop pondering and start reading what they wrote for the weekend.
Jordan Schneir
Editorial Director, TheoTRADE
Don Kaufman: I Risk 60 Cents to Make $5
I need to tell you about this Microsoft butterfly that just closed for 297%.
Earlier this week I put on the trade at 63 cents. This morning, it was up over 100%.
You know what everyone was saying? "Take the money and run, Don. Lock in your gains."
Screw that.
You want to know why I held?
Because I've done this long enough to know the difference between a decent winner and a home run. This week alone, I closed two butterflies - Microsoft for 297% and Google for 203%.
That's how you play this game.
CLICK HERE to continue reading Don’s article.
Gianni Di Poce: It’s Do-or-Die Time for Crypto
The crypto community has largely replaced the old gold bug community.
Every downtick gets blamed on manipulation. Every rally becomes proof of superior investing skill.
We've had strong success trading crypto this year.
Based on what I'm seeing now, we're at the most critical moment since April.
This asset class faces a do-or-die situation.
Here are the two scenarios I see playing out right now.
CLICK HERE to continue reading Gianni’s article.
Jeff Bierman: The $27,000 Problem
My wife came home from the doctor this week.
Annual mammogram. Routine checkup. She had a benign form of breast cancer three years ago. Got treated. Got through it. Now she goes every year like clockwork.
She walked in complaining about the bill. The copay. The deductible. The out-of-pocket costs that keep climbing no matter what insurance we carry.
I hear it everywhere now. My brother's wife is general counsel for the number one Blue Cross in the country. She's the CEO. She told me flat out they can't get these prices down. They can't do it.
Health insurance premiums are soaring again. From last year to this year they're up 6%. Next year they're going up another 5% to 6%.
Jerome Powell keeps telling us inflation is coming down. He's lying. Just a lie.
CLICK HERE to continue reading Jeff’s article.
Brandon Chapman: Someone Bet $7.1M on a Corporate Bond Collapse
My Ghost Prints Scanner just picked up a whopper.
Someone just bet $7.1 million that investment-grade corporate bonds are about to collapse.
Not junk bonds or speculative debt, but the safest corporate bonds in the market.
The same week, utilities quietly started outperforming the S&P 500.
These moves are connected.
Professional money is rotating to safety while the index grinds to new highs. The crowd sees strength. Institutions see distribution.
The leverage that funded this entire rally is about to get expensive. Corporate credit spreads are compressed to levels that only work if rates stay stable or fall. The Fed may pause rate cuts in December. Treasury yields are already climbing.
When financing costs rise, the capital-intensive growth stories built on cheap debt get repriced. Data centers, AI infrastructure, cloud buildouts. All leveraged. All vulnerable.
The bond market is warning. The equity rotation confirms it. And most traders are watching the wrong signals.
CLICK HERE to continue reading Brandon’s article.
Blake Young: Something Wicked This Way Comes - Trading Lessons from Ray Bradbury
Last week, as part of my Halloween tradition, I watched the 1983 film adaptation of Something Wicked This Way Comes and re-read the novel.
I've been a Ray Bradbury fan since sixth grade, consuming as many of his books as I could find and listening to audio recordings of Ray Bradbury Presents.
This particular book has always checked the boxes of Halloween atmosphere, nostalgia, and life lessons for me. But the story has changed meaning dramatically over the years.
CLICK HERE to continue reading Blake’s article.
Tony Rago: When the Market Owes You Nothing
Monday morning, 9:30 AM. The NASDAQ gaps up overnight. Big earnings on deck. FOMC looming. All-time highs across the board.
A trader in my room asks where I think the market is going today.
Here's what I told him: "If anybody sits here and tells you they do, like at 9:30 in the morning when the market opens we're going here today, they're probably guessing at best, lying maybe. We have to let this stuff materialize, but this is giving us all the clues."
The market never tells you where it's going. It only tells you where it's been and what needs to happen next.
CLICK HERE to continue reading Tony’s article.
No comments:
Post a Comment