Stocks vs. Bonds: The 0.72% Correlation You Can’t Afford to Ignore

That and more this morning’s “Premarket Must Watch” video!

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ON DECK FOR TODAY’S VIP TRADE ROOM:  Monday-Friday: noon ET Which U.S. sector is most vulnerable to China, and more downside for homebuilders? Analyzing the 20 major sectors, financial and chip stocks, mega-caps and major levels, strongest and weakest stocks over the past six months and fast-moving stocks! JOIN US HERE! _________________________________________________   Stocks vs. Bonds: The 0.72% Correlation You Can’t Afford to Ignore  Only about 51% of U.S. stocks above $2 a share that have been trading for at least six months are above their 200-day moving averages, and just under 34% are above their 50-day MA.  The Dow fell over 700 points to start the new year, and all of this info adds to my theory that the first half of this year could be rough for the market.  I mentioned this yesterday when the market looked bullish before the open, and we ended up having a pretty big down day.  When we open high and close way down, that’s not a good sign, and I expect we’ll see more of the same today. There’s no major catalyst and institutional activity likely won’t pick up till later next week, so there’s likely to be more chop and more downside ahead.  So while stocks are up premarket, we need to be careful! Something to consider right now is the correlation between the long bond (TLT) and U.S. stock market is the highest it’s ever been at 0.72%. The average stock has a 0.66% correlation with its cousin stocks.  This is why we should be paying close attention to the bond market (TLT). If you see bonds up, stocks are up. When bonds cool off, the rally disappears.  Look at it this way…  The international currency market is 1,000 times bigger than the bond market, and the bond market is 1,000 times bigger than the U.S. stock market.    That and More in Today’s ‘Premarket Must Watch’ _________________________________________________ LIVE AT 1 PM ET: MY TOP TRUMP STOCK FOR 2025  Just a quick reminder that today at 1 p.m. ET, I’m revealing my No. 1 Trump stock for 2025 And I’m giving you the ticker absolutely free! I’ve been closely watching Trump’s policies on energy, tariffs and interest rates.  Now, I cannot promise future gains or against losses, but these moves will help shape the markets in huge ways, and I’m ready to share the one stock I believe will thrive from all of it.  You’ll get my top pick today, at no cost to you, and I’ll walk you through exactly why it’s the perfect stock for the year ahead.    Join Me Here at 1 PM ET! _________________________________________________ Today’s Top S&P 500 Sectors Today’s S&P 500 CSI Leaders Grayscale Bitcoin ETF (GBTC) Tesla (TSLA) VanEck Semiconductor (SMH) United Airlines (UAL) Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) Taser International (AXON) _________________________________________________ 🎥 LIVE TRADE ROOM ACCESS 🎥   Join me and dozens of traders each day inside my LIVE VIP Trade Room! Each day, we analyze the markets together, build relationships and, more importantly… go over market education and new trade ideas! With the VIP Trade Room, you’ll have the opportunity to multiply your trading knowledge and confidence as quickly as possible.  I’ll take the time to answer all of your trading questions, so fire away! Make sure to join us LIVE each day! SCHEDULE:  • Monday-Friday: noon to 1 p.m. ET JOIN US HERE: http://rogerscott.com/viproom  _________________________________________________ CUSTOMER STORY OF THE DAY   Hi Roger, I just wanted to wish you a happy New Year to you and your family! On a side note, I have sent you a small token of appreciation. I think you will get a kick out of it. That being said, I can never give back what you have given me, what you have taught me and what I still have to learn from you. You are one of a kind! The kindness and care you show to people is amazing to me. One day, I hope to make it up to you, but you set a very high standard. I wish you all the best in 2025. Your friend, — Darren _________________________________________________ Follow along and join the conversation for real-time analysis, trade ideas, market insights and more!   • Telegram:https://t.me/+_vmfwkeP8fA5YWQ5 *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. Join the Conversation   Give us a follow on your social media platform of choice, and make your voice heard!

ON DECK FOR TODAY’S VIP TRADE ROOM:  Monday-Friday: noon ET   Which U.S. sector is most vulnerable to China, and more downside for homebuilders? Analyzing the 20 major sectors, financial and chip stocks, mega-caps and major levels, strongest and weakest stocks over the past six months and fast-moving stocks!   JOIN US HERE! _________________________________________________   Stocks vs. Bonds: The 0.72% Correlation You Can’t Afford to Ignore   Only about 51% of U.S. stocks above $2 a share that have been trading for at least six months are above their 200-day moving averages, and just under 34% are above their 50-day MA.    The Dow fell over 700 points to start the new year, and all of this info adds to my theory that the first half of this year could be rough for the market.    I mentioned this yesterday when the market looked bullish before the open, and we ended up having a pretty big down day.    When we open high and close way down, that’s not a good sign, and I expect we’ll see more of the same today.   There’s no major catalyst and institutional activity likely won’t pick up till later next week, so there’s likely to be more chop and more downside ahead.    So while stocks are up premarket, we need to be careful!   Something to consider right now is the correlation between the long bond (TLT) and U.S. stock market is the highest it’s ever been at 0.72%. The average stock has a 0.66% correlation with its cousin stocks.    This is why we should be paying close attention to the bond market (TLT). If you see bonds up, stocks are up. When bonds cool off, the rally disappears.    Look at it this way…    The international currency market is 1,000 times bigger than the bond market, and the bond market is 1,000 times bigger than the U.S. stock market.    That and More in Today’s ‘Premarket Must Watch’ _________________________________________________ LIVE AT 1 PM ET: MY TOP TRUMP STOCK FOR 2025   Just a quick reminder that today at 1 p.m. ET, I’m revealing my No. 1 Trump stock for 2025   And I’m giving you the ticker absolutely free!   I’ve been closely watching Trump’s policies on energy, tariffs and interest rates.    Now, I cannot promise future gains or against losses, but these moves will help shape the markets in huge ways, and I’m ready to share the one stock I believe will thrive from all of it.    You’ll get my top pick today, at no cost to you, and I’ll walk you through exactly why it’s the perfect stock for the year ahead.    Join Me Here at 1 PM ET! _________________________________________________ Today’s Top S&P 500 Sectors Today’s S&P 500 CSI Leaders Grayscale Bitcoin ETF (GBTC) Tesla (TSLA) VanEck Semiconductor (SMH) United Airlines (UAL) Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) Taser International (AXON) _________________________________________________ 🎥 LIVE TRADE ROOM ACCESS 🎥   Join me and dozens of traders each day inside my LIVE VIP Trade Room!   Each day, we analyze the markets together, build relationships and, more importantly… go over market education and new trade ideas!   With the VIP Trade Room, you’ll have the opportunity to multiply your trading knowledge and confidence as quickly as possible.    I’ll take the time to answer all of your trading questions, so fire away!   Make sure to join us LIVE each day!   SCHEDULE:  Monday-Friday: noon to 1 p.m. ET JOIN US HERE: http://rogerscott.com/viproom  _________________________________________________ CUSTOMER STORY OF THE DAY   Hi Roger, I just wanted to wish you a happy New Year to you and your family! On a side note, I have sent you a small token of appreciation. I think you will get a kick out of it. That being said, I can never give back what you have given me, what you have taught me and what I still have to learn from you. You are one of a kind! The kindness and care you show to people is amazing to me. One day, I hope to make it up to you, but you set a very high standard. I wish you all the best in 2025. Your friend, — Darren _________________________________________________ Follow along and join the conversation for real-time analysis, trade ideas, market insights and more!   Telegram:https://t.me/+_vmfwkeP8fA5YWQ5   *This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk. Join the Conversation   Give us a follow on your social media platform of choice, and make your voice heard!

ABOUT US:  We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. The TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from The TradingPub are for your informational purposes only. Neither The TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. The TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions.  Please visit https://thetradingpub.com/terms-of-service/  for our full Terms and Conditions. Unsubscribe This email was sent to stevenmagallanes520.nims@blogger.com by The TradingPub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States Roger Scott

ABOUT US:  We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. The TradingPub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. DISCLAIMER: FOR INFORMATION PURPOSES ONLY. The materials presented from The TradingPub are for your informational purposes only. Neither The TradingPub nor its employees offer investment, legal or tax advice of any kind, and the analysis displayed with various tools does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice and should not be interpreted as such. Using the data and analysis contained in the materials for reasons other than the informational purposes intended is at the user’s own risk. DISCLAIMER: TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK; TRADING INVOLVES RISK OF LOSS; SEEK PROFESSIONAL ADVICE. The TradingPub is not responsible for any losses that may occur from transactions effected based upon information or analysis contained in the presented. To the extent that you make use of the concepts with the presentation material, you are solely responsible for the applicable trading or investment decision. Trading activity, including options transactions, can involve the risk of loss, so use caution when entering any option transaction. You trade at your own risk, and it is recommended you consult with a financial advisor for investment, legal or tax advice relating to options transactions.  Please visit https://thetradingpub.com/terms-of-service/  for our full Terms and Conditions. Unsubscribe This email was sent to stevenmagallanes520.nims@blogger.com by The TradingPub 101 Marketside Ave, Suite 404 PMB 318 Ponte Vedra, Florida 32081, United States Roger Scott