Thursday, October 31, 2024

Upshot: Millions of movers show U.S. polarization

Also: A final Nate Cohn mailbag
The Upshot

October 31, 2024

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WEEKLY HIGHLIGHTS FROM UPSHOT AND FRIENDS

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Matt Burkhartt for The New York Times

This Time, It May Actually Come Down to Turnout

Democrats have gained among high-turnout voters, while Donald Trump has made gains among groups that tend to show up only for presidential races, or not at all.

By Nate Cohn

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The New York Times

What Threats Does My Vote Really Face?

Follow your vote from the ballot box to the Electoral College to understand our election system and what obstacles might stand in its way.

By Amy Schoenfeld Walker, K.K. Rebecca Lai and Lily Boyce

An illustration showing a wallet with one end of a tiny dollar bill sticking out, and a mirror reflecting the same wallet with a much bigger dollar bill coming out.

Juanjo Gasull

Wages Have Outpaced Inflation. But Not for Everyone.

On average, pay has risen faster than prices in recent years. But the overall picture is complicated — and it's not just facts versus "vibes."

By Ben Casselman

A photo illustration of a glass filled halfway with water, but from the top, not from the bottom.

Javier Jaén

Guest Essay

Trump Says the Country Is 'Dying.' The Data Says Otherwise.

Look at trends, not anecdotes.

By Steven Pinker

IN CASE YOU MISSED IT

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The New York Times

Voters Are Deeply Skeptical About the Health of American Democracy

Nearly half say it does not do a good job representing the people, and three-quarters say it is under threat, according to a Times/Siena poll.

By Nick Corasaniti, Ruth Igielnik and Camille Baker

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The New York Times

Trump's Pattern of Pressure to Overturn the 2020 Election

Donald J. Trump pressured state and federal government officials to overturn results of the 2020 election in more than 30 phone calls or meetings, according to The Times's analysis of the <a href="https://www.justice.gov/storage/US_v_Trump_23_cr_257.pdf">indictments</a> <a href="https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/georgia-indictment-trump/daed97d37562a76f/full.pdf">related</a> to those efforts.

By Lazaro Gamio and Karen Yourish

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