Tuesday, March 21, 2023

DTI Daily Rundown - March 21

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On TBUZ TV Today:

4009.00 Pivot.

4045.00 Resistance

3960.00 Support

Open of 2023: 3895.00, Open of March 3968.50

Overnight climb in the market. NQ catching up.

Gold pulling back. Bullish tint to the market.

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Market Review:

All Eyes on Wednesday

That CME FedWatch Tool has been very sensitive to changes in the market. We have gone from a near certainty of a quarter point rate hike, to a near certainty of a half point rate hike, and back to a certainty of no changes to rates, and as of this morning, an 84.9% probability of a quarter point rate hike.

Eight weeks ago after the FOMC press conference and statement from February 1 the view with the most traction was the FOMC would raise by a quarter point on March 22. In the weeks leading up to March 22, that viewpoint has been all over the place. Sometimes, the best view we get on what the FOMC will do next, actually comes from the FOMC.


Over 70% of stocks track with the S&P 500 Futures

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Major Events:

Mar 22 FOMC Statement

Mar 24 Flash Services PMI

Mar 28 Consumer Confidence

Mar 31 Core PCE

Apr 3 ISM Manufacturing PMI


Key Numbers Opens: Above or Below

4085.75 was the open of Feb 2023

3986.50 is the open

3968.50 is the open of the Month

3963.75 is the open of the Week

3895.00 is the open of 2023

What's Hot and Not!

Gold

Gold Futures opened the month at 1827.10 and the low in Gold this month has been 1811.50. Recently Gold has pushed up to a high of 2003.90. However, they have pulled back off those highs and may be seeking support. Friday's low and open in Gold 1946.00 may be the next level down, but for now, keep an eye on 1966.00.

Past performance is not indicative of future results. Futures trading involves substantial financial risk.

Please consult your personal financial advisor before using this information for your own trading purposes.

RISK DISCLAIMER There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading.. DTI Trader and all individuals affiliated with this site assume no responsibility for your trading results. The indicators, strategies, columns, and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as advice. Information for futures trading observations are obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not warrant its completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the trading observations is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade with your broker and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein.

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