Saturday, March 18, 2023

Canada Letter: Are Canada’s banks next?

The country's banks are stable at a time when those in the U.S. are in turmoil

Why Canada's Banks Remain 'Stable and Resilient'

If inflation and rising interest rates weren't enough to cause anxiety about the global economy, bank failures, or near collapses, have been added to the mix. But once again, Canada's banking system has come out, so far, looking reassuringly sober and stable.

Six large banks dominate Canada's market.Ian Austen/The New York Times

The current turmoil, of course, began with the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. While the bank was never a household name, it was the financial force behind many tech start-ups, American and Canadian, and worked with them in unconventional ways. But its collapse, as my colleague Maureen Farrell writes, did not stem from the current turmoil in the tech sector. "It was complete and utter bad risk management," one investor told her.

The dismal banking news continued through the week. In a fight for its life, Credit Suisse will borrow as much as $54 billion from the Swiss central bank. Eleven of the largest American banks joined together to infuse $30 billion into First Republic Bank, which is based in San Francisco.

Here in Canada, Chrystia Freeland, the finance minister, gathered all of her provincial and territorial counterparts this week, as well as officials from the banking regulator and the Bank of Canada, for a meeting. After it was over, she said in a statement that "The federal government can assure Canadians our financial institutions are stable and resilient."

ADVERTISEMENT

Ad

There's little dispute about that. And so far, the Canadian situation is mirroring the one after the 2008 financial collapse that was devastating for banking in the United States. Then, as now, there was no banking crisis in Canada.

Unlike its U.S. counterpart, the Bank of Canada does not regulate banking.Ian Austen/The New York Times

To find out what separates Canada and if Canadians' general smugness about their banking system is actually warranted, I spoke with Cristie Ford, a professor who studies banking regulation at the Peter A. Allard School of Law at the University of British Columbia and Don Drummond, the former chief economist for Toronto-Dominion Bank and, previously, a senior official in the federal Department of Finance.

ADVERTISEMENT

Ad

Both agree that one key difference is that Canadian banking never evolved like that of the United States, where banking is spread out among a large number of small banks.

"We have six large banks in Canada; it's a highly concentrated industry — some might say it's oligopolistic," Professor Ford said, adding that the dominance limits competitive choices for customers. "They all benefit from having a nice base of fee-paying depositors, which allows them to be extremely profitable businesses."

Collectively, the Big Six banks hold 90 percent of Canada's deposits, providing them with a steady stream of relatively low-cost money to lend out or invest. That dominance also means that Canadians shopping around find little difference in fees or interest rates.

Strong revenue from these fees and interest, Mr. Drummond told me, creates an "inherent bias to be relatively safe." The healthy profits generated by their market dominance, he added, made it unnecessary for Canadian bankers to boost earnings through risky ventures like the subprime mortgages that were at the heart of the U.S. crisis in 2008.

ADVERTISEMENT

Ad

There are also regulatory differences. In the United States, the central bank manages the economy and is the financial industry regulator. Here, the Bank of Canada looks after only monetary policy, leaving the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions to set and enforce the banking rules. Mr. Drummond said he believed this separation made for stronger oversight. Only the largest U.S. banks are required to keep cash on hand to reassure depositors — an issue with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse — at levels similar to those that regulators demand of Canada's Big Six banks.

Not only do Canada's banks follow the rules, Mr. Drummond said that their conservative ways mean that they often exceed them, for example, by holding more cash than the regulator requires.

Canada's banks are generally not risk takers.Ian Austen/The New York Times

Professor Ford isn't quite as charitable about the nature of the country's bankers. She recalled being at conferences in 2006 and listening to senior banking executives bitterly complain that their businesses were being held back and becoming uncompetitive globally because Canada would not match the United States on easing its regulatory control.

During the lead-up to the 2008 crisis, the Conservative government proposed a series of steps to deregulate banking. The market turmoil swiftly brought an end to that.

"Canada was lucky by being late," she said, adding that the bankers stopped grumbling about regulation and "were all acting awfully proud of their great wisdom and prudence."

There are costs to Canada's banking stability. In addition to lack of competition, Professor Ford said that the banks' play-it-safe approach stifles innovation. Among other things, she noted that the country's banks remain heavily vested in the oil and gas industry at the same time that the government is trying to advance an ambitious program to reduce climate change.

"Sometimes the Canadian instinct is to really look out for those times when we do better than our giant neighbor to the south and to attribute that to our own virtue," she said. "But it seems to me that we should really clarify what the Canadian values are that are at stake and think about how best to advance those values; not just say: 'Well, we're better than the Americans.' The question we should really be asking ourselves is: How can Canada do as well as it possibly can on its own terms?"

Trans Canada

A regulator found that Canadian Pacific's takeover of a railway it competes against in the U.S. won't lessen competition.Nathan Denette/The Canadian Press, via Associated Press
  • Canadian Pacific won regulatory approval for its takeover of Kansas City Southern, a deal that will make the Calgary-based railway the first one to link Canada, Mexico and the U.S. The regulator in the United States estimates that the $31 billion acquisition will shift about 64,000 truckloads to rail from the highways each year.
  • Scientists and musicians in Canada and elsewhere have been recording the sound of melting ice. Now those recordings might help reduce that melt in spite of the effects of climate change.
  • Lynn Seymour, a ballerina from Wainwright, Alberta, who pushed back against stuffiness in ballet and who partnered with Nureyev, Baryshnikov and others, has died at 83.
  • The Canadian filmmaker Daniel Roher spoke out against President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia at the Academy Awards ceremony after his film "Navalny" won the Oscar for best documentary feature. After the Canadian director and writer Sarah Polley won the award for best adapted screenplay for "Women Talking," she thanked the academy for "not being too mortally offended by the words 'women' and 'talking' put so close together like that." And The Times's Styles desk declared Ms. Polley to be the most comfortably dressed of those attending.
  • Volkswagen, which has never had much of a manufacturing presence in Canada, will build a battery plant in St. Thomas, Ontario, as part of its $193 billion investment in electric cars and software.

A native of Windsor, Ontario, Ian Austen was educated in Toronto, lives in Ottawa and has reported about Canada for The New York Times for the past 16 years. Follow him on Twitter at @ianrausten.

How are we doing?
We're eager to have your thoughts about this newsletter and events in Canada in general. Please send them to nytcanada@nytimes.com.

Like this email?
Forward it to your friends, and let them know they can sign up here.

Need help? Review our newsletter help page or contact us for assistance.

You received this email because you signed up for Canada Letter from The New York Times.

To stop receiving Canada Letter, unsubscribe. To opt out of other promotional emails from The Times, manage your email preferences.

Subscribe to The Times

Connect with us on:

facebooktwitterinstagram

Change Your EmailPrivacy PolicyContact UsCalifornia Notices

LiveIntent LogoAdChoices Logo

The New York Times Company. 620 Eighth Avenue New York, NY 10018

No comments:

Page List

Blog Archive

Search This Blog

(Nasdaq: AIMD) Has Pushed Above 4 Key Technical Chart Lines (Low Float Idea On Alert Now)

Ainos, Inc. (Nasdaq: AIMD) continues to heat up ahead of lunch time which means big things could lie ahead for this breakout idea. ...