From NBC's Chuck Todd, Mark Murray and Ben Kamisar FIRST READ: Dems' struggles with rural and white voters hurt them on Tuesday night Yes, the political environment was rough for Democrats on Tuesday night. Yes, playing the Trump/Jan. 6 cards didn't work as well as they had hoped. And, yes, Dems lost independent voters in Virginia, per the exit poll.
But there's an even more troubling takeaway for Dems now that the dust has settled on Tuesday's results: They're losing white voters, rural voters and voters without college degrees by such large margins that it makes winning elections hard.
Even in diverse/highly educated states like Virginia and New Jersey.
Just look at these numbers:
In Virginia, white men made up 36 percent of the electorate, according to the exit poll, and they broke for Republican Glenn Youngkin over Democrat Terry McAuliffe by a 2-to-1 margin, 66 percent to 34 percent. (In 2017's gubernatorial contest, it was 63 percent to 36 percent.)
White women, who made up 38 percent of voters in Virginia, sided with Youngkin by 14 points, 57 percent to 43 percent. (In 2017, it was just by 3 points, 51 percent to 48 percent.)
Whites without a college degree, representing 36 percent of voters, went for Youngkin, 76 percent to 24 percent. (In 2017, it was 72 percent to 26 percent.)
And while there was no exit poll in New Jersey, we can see this same trend in Republican Jack Ciattarelli's performance in the state's whitest and most rural counties. Leah Millis/Reuters If you are losing 36 percent of all voters by a 76 percent-to-24 percent margin, it means you have to win 65 percent of ALL OTHER voters to get to 50 percent-plus one.
(Conversely, if you're Youngkin and winning these voters by that margin, it means you need to win just 35 percent of all other voters.)
That's the consequence of being a party that is struggling so mightily to appeal to these voters.
Men at work What's especially striking about Democrats' math problem with white/rural voters is that it's continuing during Joe Biden's presidency.
Look at these numbers from our latest NBC News poll:
And look again at those numbers with men. When we talk about gender gaps in American politics, we typically focus on the GOP's problem with women voters.
But is it time to say that Democrats' have a math problem with men, when they disapprove of the president's job performance by a 2-to-1 margin?
Tweet of the Day: Murphy wins in New Jersey – one day later
Data Download: The numbers you need to know today 2.3: The drop in life expectancy, in years, by American men in 2020, with the drop for women around 1.6 years per a new study that found the U.S.'s drop the second-most behind Russia out of the 31 countries studied.
36.4 billion: The number of metric tons of carbon dioxide emitted in the first nine months of 2021, about on par with 2019, and after a 2020 dip thanks to the pandemic.
46,271,540: The number of confirmed cases of the coronavirus in the United States, per the most recent data from NBC News and health officials. (That's 94,696 more since yesterday morning.)
753,699: The number of deaths in the United States from the virus so far, per the most recent data from NBC News. (That's 1,869 more since yesterday morning.)
425,272,828: The number of total vaccine doses administered in the U.S., per the CDC. (That's 1,330,034 more since yesterday morning.)
20,608,965: The number of booster vaccine doses administered in the U.S., per the CDC. (That's 825,044 more since yesterday morning.)
58.1 percent: The share of all Americans who are fully vaccinated, per the CDC.
69.8 percent: The share of all Americans 18-years and older who are fully vaccinated, per the CDC.
Shameless Plug: Tickets on sale now for the Meet the Press Film Festival at AFI Fest It's almost time for the fifth annual Meet the Press Film Festival at AFI Fest!
This year's festival features five programs of the best-in-class short documentaries — ticketholders can watch the films virtually or in-person on November 11th in Los Angeles.
You can get your tickets now at Fest.AFI.com
ICYMI: What ELSE is happening in the world? White House officials are deflecting Tuesday's massive election losses by deflecting blame onto Congress.
And Republicans, meanwhile, are energized about what the results could mean for 2022.
The Pentagon's review of the August drone strike in Afghanistan that killed 10 civilians found that at least one child could be seen on video shortly before the strike.
Buffalo Democratic mayoral nominee India Walton conceded to the city's current mayor, Byron Brown, who ran a write-in campaign after losing the nomination.
Republicans again blocked the Democratic push to bolster sections of the Voting Rights Act and make other changes to election law (Democrats successfully wooed one Republican, Alaska Sen. Lisa Murkowski, to their side).
The UK is the first country to authorize Merck's pill to treat Covid-19.
Download the NBC News Mobile App
|
Thursday, November 4, 2021
Math problems … and Murphy wins in New Jersey – one day later
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
Page List
Blog Archive
- October 2024 (201)
- September 2024 (2667)
- August 2024 (3156)
- July 2024 (3241)
- June 2024 (3107)
- May 2024 (3196)
- April 2024 (3104)
- March 2024 (3192)
- February 2024 (3006)
- January 2024 (3261)
- December 2023 (3176)
- November 2023 (3188)
- October 2023 (3191)
- September 2023 (2961)
- August 2023 (3120)
- July 2023 (3024)
- June 2023 (3042)
- May 2023 (3205)
- April 2023 (3030)
- March 2023 (2986)
- February 2023 (2584)
- January 2023 (2694)
- December 2022 (2745)
- November 2022 (2899)
- October 2022 (2916)
- September 2022 (2970)
- August 2022 (2981)
- July 2022 (2814)
- June 2022 (2759)
- May 2022 (2768)
- April 2022 (2692)
- March 2022 (2851)
- February 2022 (2550)
- January 2022 (2715)
- December 2021 (2641)
- November 2021 (2745)
- October 2021 (2836)
- September 2021 (2847)
- August 2021 (2756)
- July 2021 (2572)
- June 2021 (2738)
- May 2021 (2579)
- April 2021 (2698)
- March 2021 (2789)
- February 2021 (2532)
- January 2021 (2617)
- December 2020 (2664)
- November 2020 (2637)
- October 2020 (2824)
- September 2020 (2745)
- August 2020 (2704)
- July 2020 (2749)
- June 2020 (2669)
- May 2020 (2199)
- April 2020 (4060)
- March 2020 (5898)
- February 2020 (6963)
- January 2020 (7455)
- December 2019 (10)
Search This Blog
Financial Fraud News Update
Offices of the United States Attorneys You are subscribed to Financial Fraud ne...
-
View Images Library Photos and Pictures. Как сделать усилитель сигнала сотовой связи своими руками Усилитель 3G сигнала своими руками Антен...
-
Download Images Library Photos and Pictures. 3 Graduation Invitation Letter Sample Invitation Letter Sample Invitation Letter To Friend For...
No comments:
Post a Comment