Wednesday, February 1, 2023

Raise Rates Now!

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Manward Financial Digest
 

The Ugly Truth About Easy Money

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Andy Snyder

Andy Snyder
Founder

Easy is rarely good... or right.

Later today, the markets will be cheering for easy money. At 2:30 p.m., Jay Powell will take the stage in Washington. He'll say a few words about nothing, tell the world what it already knows and talk about the future of money.

Most folks believe we'll get a 25-basis-point hike. Money will get more expensive... but hardly.

The more the banking boss hints that money will stay cheap, the higher stocks will go. Markets will pump their fists at any talk of money remaining easy to come by.

It's a bad idea.

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Cheap money is the banker's version of a tool with a "Made in China" label. It may get the job done once... but it won't last. Most often, it will end up costing you more than doing the job right the first time.

We don't need that junk.

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Long-term thinkers - the savers and the generationally minded - should pump their fists at the idea of tighter money. Money shouldn't be easy to come by. Borrowing it should come with a premium. Lenders should think twice about handing over such a precious asset.

When money is cheap... nobody cares where it goes.

It does ugly things to the economy and warps the fate of the folks trapped within it...

Personal Savings Rate

View larger image

The personal savings rate in America has plunged. Because of rising inflation, more than 7% of folks with an annual income of $50,000 or less can't afford to pay their monthly bills... let alone save for tomorrow.

Easy money - and three rounds of free money - has immensely distorted the value of things.

Tight money eases inflation. It makes spenders do the math. And it entices folks to save - imagine that.

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The Greatest "Arbitrage" in History?

One unique resource sells for just $10 in America... but $60-plus in Europe.

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In other words, you can buy it here... sell it there... and make six times your money!

And now, one company is making $200 million per shipload doing exactly that. Here's why Wall Street analysts just upped their price projection for this company to $280 (it's about $30 today).

 

We can see it in that chart above. Indeed, the savings rate has plunged. But look to the far right of the chart. There's an uptick. With real rates positive once again, folks have an incentive to save.

The further Jay Powell raises rates... the larger that incentive will be.

We've said for nearly a decade now that rates must rise substantially. It'll be politically painful - like pulling all of the "Made in China" junk off of Walmart's shelves.

But what a nation we'd be.

Strong money makes a strong economy.

Any other logic is shortsighted and is a threat to our nation and our long-term well-being.

Raise rates. And raise 'em high.

Be well,

Andy

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Andy Snyder | Founder

Andy Snyder is the founder of Manward Press, the nation's premier source of unfiltered, unorthodox views on money and what it means for a free society. An American author, investor and serial entrepreneur, Andy cut his teeth at an esteemed financial firm with nearly $100 billion in assets under management. He's been a keynote speaker and panelist at events all over the world, from four-star ballrooms to Capitol hearing rooms.

 

1 “High-Risk” Data Co. Should Analyze Its Own Numbers First

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1 “High-Risk” Data Co. Should Analyze Its Own Numbers First

  • To get ahead in business, companies use data to find out what customers want and when they want it.

  • Our Stock Power Ratings system tells you which stocks are good investments … and which one’s aren’t.

  • Today’s Stock to Avoid is a data analytics software developer that rates a “High-Risk” 1 out of 100 on our proprietary system.
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Matt Clark,
Research Analyst

I look at data every day.

I love the stories that numbers can tell us…

Numbers aren’t biased or emotional.

They are objective facts about the state of whatever it is you are analyzing.

That’s why businesses turn to data in challenging economic times.

By transforming numbers into insights with data analysis, businesses can get a better handle on what their customers want, when they want it and how much they’ll pay for it.

It takes a lot of the guesswork out of running a business.

According to Wakefield Research, 54% of businesses in the U.S. and Europe use data and analytics to help drive more revenue.

But with our Stock Power Ratings system, you can see that, while businesses are turning to data analytics to improve their bottom lines, some companies providing proprietary software aren’t strong stocks to buy.

Click here to see why that’s the case for the “High-Risk” stock.

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From our Partners at Banyan Hill Publishing.

What You Need to Know About the Middle-Class Massacre

A looming financial event that one expert calls the “Middle-Class Massacre” will soon devastate millions of hardworking Americans.
When it strikes, and all his research proves it will strike in 2023, he predicts stocks will crash 50% ... real estate will be slashed in half ... unemployment will surge to record highs ... and the wealth of millions will be decimated as the biggest bubble in history bursts.

Go here for the full story…


1 Indicator to Track the Current Bullish Trend

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Michael Carr,
Editor, The Banyan Edge

Breadth indicators measure how many stocks are participating in a trend.

A popular breadth indicator is the percentage of stocks trading above their 200-day moving average. It’s bullish right now but doesn't offer well-timed trade signals.

We can use a popular momentum indicator for that: the percentage of stocks on a moving average convergence/divergence (MACD) buy signal.

The chart below shows the percentage of stocks in the S&P 500 Index flashing a buy signal, with green segments of the price line showing when the indicator is greater than 50%.

The recent burst higher is usually associated with a new trend.

But while the indicator remains in bullish territory, it’s weakening. Check out the trend on blue line at the bottom of the chart.

A reversal would indicate this recent move was a bear market rally.

Bottom line: It’s worth following this indicator closely.

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(Click here to view larger image.)


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