Friday, February 20, 2026

OPEX Week or Not – I Have a Chart That’s Flying High

Trade of the Day Wake-Up Watchlist

"When the trading environment gets frustrating, I have to remind myself that I can only control what I can control."

Nate Bear, Lead Technical Tactician, Monument Traders Alliance

Nate Bear

This week is OPEX week.

If you're unfamiliar with OPEX, it stands for "Options Expiration."

It's when a large volume of options and futures contracts expire on financial markets, usually on the third Friday of every month.

In my experience, OPEX week can be a frustrating environment for traders.

In fact, the last 4 consecutive February OPEX weeks have been bearish for the markets, and 2026 is no different. The S&P and the Dow were both roughly 0.3% yesterday, with the Nasdaq off about 0.4%.

When a week like OPEX flips indexes bearish, I always tell myself…

"I can't control the indexes"

"I can't make them do what I want."

However, I can be patient and only trade chart setups I love, and there's one group I'm watching that's currently flying high despite OPEX frustration.

That ticker is Deere & Company (DE).

Here's why I like DE right now.

 

DE crushed earnings yesterday. As you'll see above, it's spiking with a 13% pop.

With its upward momentum against a choppy market, DE is a prime candidate for what I call a "lotto" trade.

Every Friday, I look for lotto trades that capture short-term momentum of a company like DE. These trades have the potential to lead to fast gains.

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Action Plan: DE crushed earnings and is currently sitting at all-time highs. At the time of this writing, it's currently sitting around $680, but I'm thinking we could be over $700 today on a gamma squeeze situation.

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