Milwaukee Bucks star Giannis Antetokounmpo is on board with Kalshi. The NBA star has become a shareholder in the prediction market platform. As part of the partnership, he'll be lending a hand with live events and marketing. Antetokounmpo shared his enthusiasm in a release touting the deal, as reported by ESPN. |
 | Giannis Antetokounmpo |
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"I love the Kalshi markets and have been checking them often recently," he said. "I like to win. It's clear to me Kalshi is going to be a winner and I'm excited to be getting involved." |
A deal between one of the game's top stars and a platform where you can trade on NBA outcomes has sparked criticism. In the days before the announcement, contracts on the star player's next destination attracted significant volume. Antetokounmpo ultimately stayed put in Milwaukee and now adds Kalshi shareholder to his bio. |
Top 5 Markets |
Fed decision in March? Maintain rate remains the price leader by a wide margin at 82 cents, but "cut 25 bps" is gaining a little traction at 18 cents. |
 | Kalshi |
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What price will Bitcoin hit in February? The volatile crypto continues to swing, now hovering around $70k. Over $75k is the Polymarket price leader at 54 cents. |
 | Polymarket |
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2026 Winter Olympics - Most gold medals? Norway holds a commanding lead in pricing to top the charts, trading for 72 cents, with the US second at 25 cents. |
 | Polymarket |
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US strikes Iran by? The growing US presence in the Gulf and ongoing heated rhetoric are raising alarm bells. The market price for "by February 28" is up to 23 cents. |
 | Polymarket |
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Will the US take control of any part of Greenland? It was quiet for a while here, but the contract returned to the featured carousel at Kalshi, with "before 2027" at 19 cents. |
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Biggest Movers |
Another U.S. government shutdown by February 14? Perhaps they'll get a long-term deal done at some point. The latest deadline is now trading for 69 cents, up 57 points. |
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Which company has the best AI model end of February? Anthropic has surged 38 points to take the lead at 79 cents. Google plummeted to 16 cents, a 56-point decline. |
 | ANTROPIC AI |
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Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game? Once trading as high as 63 cents, this contract expired worthless when the halftime headliner did not seal the deal. |
 | Bad Bunny |
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What Comes After the Super Bowl Surge? |
The Super Bowl served as a defining moment for prediction markets and the staggering growth cycle of the past year. Now that one of the top draws, the NFL, heads into a lengthy offseason, will interest start to wane?
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Activity: When it comes to sports, the NFL remains the unquestioned volume leader at U.S. prediction market platforms. In terms of general interest, there's no comparison for the Big Game, outside of a presidential election. |
Drivers: This time last year, Kalshi was still finding its way after the Super Bowl. It's a different story this time around, with numerous media deals in place, plus positioning as a go-to spot for high-profile events. |
Volume may decline overall, but markets beyond sports remain incredibly active. Politics, economics, and crypto inspire active trading, as will other sports and upcoming major events, like March Madness. |
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The staunchest critics of prediction markets will gravitate toward post-Super Bowl volume as some kind of proof that they are a passing fad. That view overlooks the reality. Trading activity may dip for a bit, but it'll spike again for the Oscars and so on. Add in the midterm elections later this year, and interest in prediction market trading isn't going away.
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New & Trending Markets |
2027 Pro Football Champion? Kalshi wasted little time opening the market for the next Big Game winner. The Seahawks (12 cents) are favored to repeat in early trading, followed by the Rams (9 cents). |
 | Kalshi |
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Will Trump say "Bad Bunny" this month? Will the commander-in-chief reference Bad Bunny by name after making his displeasure with the halftime show clear? The contract for "yes" is currently priced at 43 cents. |
 | Kalshi |
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When will OpenAI achieve AGI? You can speculate on when Artificial General Intelligence may be achieved by the organization behind ChatGPT. The market for "before 2030" is priced at 42 cents. |
 | Kalshi |
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News to Know |
Kalshi is making headlines again while drawing lines in the sand on insider trading. InGame has the scoop on its new enforcement and surveillance efforts. |
Prediction markets were a huge talking point across the mainstream media landscape ahead of the Super Bowl, including this look from CBS News. |
As anticipated, prediction market volume was massive for the Super Bowl. GamblingInsider takes a look at the numbers. |
The Big Game wasn't all roses and daisies for Kalshi users. FrontOfficeSports has the news on frustrating glitches sparked by high user demand. |
It has been a long road for fantasy app Sleeper's entry into prediction markets. SBC Americas has insight into the path for the new offering. |
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The Super Bowl capped a year of explosive growth and gave prediction markets perhaps their most visible proof point yet. They were a big part of the conversation surrounding the most-watched sporting event of the year, which is no small feat when you consider everything that battles for attention during the run-up to the Big Game. |
That said, the achievement of massive growth and heavy user interest has been clearly unlocked. Now, it becomes about sustainability in the face of ongoing regulatory questions, plus how the landscape shakes out as platforms battle for market share. The past year has been one to write home about for the industry, but it's still a beginning chapter in the overall story. |
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