Thursday, February 19, 2026

CEO drops $775M on his own stock during $2T tech massacre

Trade of the Day Wake-Up Watchlist

"You can't prompt-engineer your way into creating the MSCI World Index."

Karim Rahemtulla, Co-Founder, Monument Traders Alliance

Karim Rahemtulla

The AI panic sell-off just wiped out $2 trillion in software market cap. MSCI was caught in the crossfire because investors are conflating it with Salesforce and Palantir.

That's like saying McDonald's and a farm are the same business because they both involve food.

The "SaaS-pocalypse" started on February 3rd when Anthropic announced a legal AI plugin that could handle contract reviews and data analysis.

Suddenly, everyone's panicking that AI will replace all software. The carnage was brutal: Microsoft down 16%, Shopify 26%, Adobe 27%, Salesforce 30%.

Fair enough for pure SaaS plays. But MSCI isn't selling software that can be replaced by ChatGPT.

MSCI sells financial data infrastructure. Indices, ESG ratings, risk analytics - the stuff that asset managers need to benchmark against and make decisions. You can't prompt-engineer your way into creating the MSCI World Index.

The Market's Making the Wrong Comparison

The market's treating these three like they're the same company:

  • Salesforce (CRM): Down 30%. Makes sense - AI could automate sales processes and CRM tools
  • Palantir (PLTR): Trading at 165x P/E. Built on AI hype, dies by AI fear
  • MSCI: Down 13% from its Feb highs. But they're a data company with subscription revenue tied to assets under management

MSCI uses AI to enhance its analytics, but its moat isn't the AI - it's the proprietary datasets and methodologies that took decades to build. Good luck getting an LLM to replicate regulatory-compliant ESG scores or create globally accepted market indices.

And if you don't believe me, all you have to do is look at the scoreboard.

CEO Henry Fernandez just dropped $3.56 million buying shares at $517-$524.

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But here's the real conviction signal: his total stake is worth $775 million.

Over the last 12 months alone, he bought 30,200 shares for $20 million at an average of $546.

That's not hedging or token purchases. That's a CEO betting the farm on his own company during the AI panic.

Your Action Plan

I'm not chasing MSCI here. But at these levels, with massive insider conviction and a business model that shouldn't be grouped with disruptive software plays, it's worth tracking.

The setup: A quality data infrastructure company is punished for guilt by association with the $2 trillion software bloodbath.

The catalyst: The market recognizes that MSCI's business model is more resilient to AI disruption than pure software plays.

When the SaaS-pocalypse panic subsides - and it will - money will flow back into quality names that got unfairly beaten down. MSCI could be one of those rebounds.

If I do decide to make a play on MSCI, it will be in The War Room. If you'd like to learn more about what we do in The War Room, watch this.

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