In Today’s Masters in Trading: Live Fed chair Jerome Powell’s odds of staying at the helm of the Federal Reserve just got a lot longer. As many of you likely know, Powell’s chairmanship over the Fed officially ends in May. And while he’ll still have two years left of his Fed governorship, Powell is remaining pointedly mum about whether he’ll stay or go. That uncertainty has been fueling a high-stakes guessing game in prediction markets around the world over the last year. And now, many investors already think they know the top candidates to replace Powell. Earlier this year, it looked like a close, three-way race between former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh, National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett, and Bowman and BlackRock fixed income chief Rick Rieder. The breakdown on these three candidates? Rieder and Hassett emerged early as potential picks for a more Trump-friendly Fed. Growth-first. Liquidity-friendly policies. And Warsh? The markets are betting on him maintaining the disciplined status quo of a Powell. Slower, more deliberate cuts. Laser focus on maintaining a stronger dollar. Throughout 2025, odds were split almost evenly between Warsh and Hassett, with Rieder keeping pace. But now the narrative has suddenly shifted again – this time after direct input from President Trump himself. After Trump stated he’d prefer to keep Hassett in his position as top economic advisor, traders on predictions market site Kalshi raised their bets to a 60% chance of Warsh getting the job. That’s compared with just 16% for Hassett now. Of course, it’s still pure speculation at this point. And the odds could certainly shift once again. But whoever gets the job, those odds are showing us exactly how to get in position right now before the crowd rushes in. For us, it’s simple. It’s all about trading the probabilities – not the headlines. So join me for today’s episode of Masters in Trading LIVE at 11 AM EST. I’ll break down how I see the odds breaking down in the current Fed race. And I’ll show you exactly how traders can get in position the sectors best positioned to surge – whatever the outcome. P.S. Are you interested in taking the next step toward options mastery? The Masters in Trading Options Challenge is right here to help you in your journey. The Challenge is where we take everything you’ve learned in my daily LIVEs — fixed risk, thesis-driven exits, laddered entries, defined-duration trades, and emotional discipline — and put it into practice in a structured, step-by-step environment. For two weeks, we walk through the foundations of real options trading the way I learned them on the trading floor. You’ll learn exactly how I think, exactly how I build trades, and exactly how I manage both the winners and the losers. Just click here to check out what the Masters in Trading Options Challenge has in store for you. 
| Recommended Link | | | | Before GameStop rocketed up to 10,633, Jonathan Rose saw something strange: A sudden surge in options volume — thousands of contracts flooding in. The money hit deep inside the CBOE before Reddit posts created the short squeeze and before Elon’s tweet sent GameStop flying. Jonathan calls it the “Big-Money Tell,” and it’s flagged dozens of big trade opportunities including: 462.5% in C3.ai, 245.13% in Criteo, and 39.46% in Roku. And these are just some of the gains the “tell” has identified. Even better: He says the next big set-up could be forming right now. And there’s still time for you to get in before it kicks off as soon as seven days from now. Click here for the details from Jonathan himself. |  | | Remember, the creative trader wins, | 
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