Friday, January 30, 2026

My Son Threw Away $1 Million at the Car Dealership

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THE SHORTEST WAY TO A RICH LIFE

How My Son Threw Away $1 Million at the Car Dealership

Alexander Green, Chief Investment Strategist, The Oxford Club

Alexander Green

My 22-year-old son recently bought a new car. He also threw away over a million dollars.

Yet he claims that he still doesn't see it that way.

Let me explain...

My son is a car guy. And he recently fell in love with a 2026 Audi RS3.

I explained that - at his age - it doesn't make a lot of sense to buy a brand-new luxury car that will depreciate rapidly.

But since when did being in love ever make sense? He had to have that car.

More to the point, he is gainfully employed, and it was his money (which put me squarely in the peanut gallery).

In the end, there was nothing to do but shake my head, congratulate him, and wish him many years of driving enjoyment.

Then he told me he was also springing for an extra $4,000-worth of add-on warranties.

Since he had not yet signed the papers, I urged him to reconsider.

Studies show that those extra warranties on a brand-new car are a losing bet for most customers.

The majority of buyers end up paying more for the coverage than they ever get back in repairs - and plenty never use them at all.

Dealers push these products hard because they're a big profit center.

In many cases, the dealer pockets hundreds or thousands of dollars per contract. (The markup is significant compared to what the warranty actually pays out.)

On top of that, new cars already come with factory warranties.

Most modern, mainstream vehicles are reliable enough that the expected cost of repairs during the "extended" period is often lower than the price of the warranty - especially if you finance it and pay interest on it for years.

Things like paint protection, rustproofing, fabric protection, nitrogen-filled tires, VIN etching, and bundled "protection packages" are usually overpriced fluff.

You can get similar services cheaper elsewhere - or you don't need them at all, especially on a new car built with modern materials and corrosion protection.

Moreover, many third-party warranties look good on paper but fall apart when you actually try to use them.

Exclusions, denied claims, and limited repair networks are common complaints.

Those appearance or protection bundles can easily add hundreds or thousands to the price, without doing much - if anything - for the car's lifespan or resale value.

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For most buyers getting a reliable new car, the smartest move is simple: skip the dealer add-ons and keep that money in savings for repairs or emergencies.

Yet this wasn't the most salient part of my argument.

"It's not just the $4,000," I told him. "You also have to consider what that sum will turn into eventually if you invest it."

I could tell from the puzzled look on his face that he didn't have a clue what I was talking about.

I explained that the S&P 500 has returned about 14% annually over the past 16 years.

However, I used the more conservative return it has earned since its launch in 1957.

Since then, an investment in the S&P - with dividends reinvested - has doubled about every seven years.

That means the $4,000 my son was throwing to the wind would be worth approximately $8,000 in seven years, $16,000 in 14 years, $32,000 in 21 years, $64,000 in 28 years, $128,000 in 35 years... and more than $1 million in 56 years.

That's when my son will be 78 and living like George Jetson.

Of course, nobody imagines being that old when they're in their early 20s.

Yet ask your average 78-year-old if they remember being 22 and they'll say, "like it was yesterday."

The point really isn't what a poor deal extended warranties are.

(You could make the case that they're a better investment than most meme stocks and crypto coins.)

It's what $4,000 unspent will turn into if invested wisely.

I know. I know. Everybody wastes money when they're young - as well as when they're old enough to know better.

But virtually nobody calculates what those funds would be worth in the years ahead if it wasn't.

The only upside? It's probably better for their peace of mind that they don't.

Good investing,

Alex

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