Dear Reader,
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Gold analyst Sean Brodrick called this historic rally every step of the way.
After the election last year, Brodrick went out on a limb and declared the yellow metal was going much, much higher.
Everybody laughed at him at the time.
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Here's everything you need to know.
Sincerely,
Eliza Lasky
Weiss Advocate
The Quiet Before the Catalyst: Vertical Aerospace's Next Move
Written by Jeffrey Neal Johnson. Published 9/9/2025.
Key Points
- Vertical Aerospace's upcoming investor event is expected to provide the first updated look at the company’s long-term strategy and path to commercialization.
- A series of major operational achievements and strategic board appointments provides a strong foundation of credibility for the company's future projections.
- Investors anticipate new details on the company's unique revenue strategy, including its asset-light manufacturing model and recurring battery sales.
For innovative, technology-driven companies, there comes a moment when the narrative must shift from dazzling prototypes to a credible blueprint for profitability. For Vertical Aerospace (NYSE: EVTL), that moment is fast approaching.
On Sept. 17, 2025, the company will host its Capital Markets Day in New York, an event where it is expected to provide a detailed update on its comprehensive, long-term financial strategy.
Gold surges past $3,600 … but this has beat gold by 1,000x (Ad)
Gold has surged past $3,600 an ounce — up 45% in the past year — but one veteran metals analyst says the real opportunity isn't in coins or bullion. In every major gold rally of the past 50 years, there's been another investment that has delivered dramatically higher returns.
See the full strategy behind this rare opportunityThis comes at a pivotal time. After a summer rally driven by breakthrough operational news, the stock has since pulled back from its 50-day high of nearly $7.00.
That consolidation presents a potential buying opportunity as Vertical prepares to outline the hard numbers and business models defining its path from a pre-revenue innovator to a commercial enterprise.
More Than Promises: A Track Record of Execution
The projections and strategic plans set to be unveiled at the investor day are grounded in significant, tangible progress achieved so far in 2025. By systematically de-risking key aspects of the business, management has earned credibility and laid a solid foundation for its forward-looking statements.
In just the past few months, Vertical has addressed major investor concerns head-on. The historic piloted airport-to-airport flight in July validated the VX4 aircraft's real-world capability. A landmark partnership with Tier 1 supplier Aciturri to build the entire airframe solved a core manufacturing challenge and confirmed the company's capital-efficient, asset-light approach.
Most recently, Vertical strengthened its governance by appointing Patrick Ky, the former Executive Director of the European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA), to its Board of Directors. His regulatory expertise directly reinforces the credibility of Vertical's 2028 certification timeline.
The Market's Billion-Dollar Questions
On Sept. 17, investors expect the first detailed look at the metrics that will underpin the company's long-term business case. Based on guidance from Vertical Aerospace's last earnings call, the disclosures should address four critical areas:
- The Cost to Certification: A detailed breakdown of the total capital required to fully certify the VX4—arguably the most important metric for analysts as it defines future funding needs and refines long-term valuation models.
- The Manufacturing Roadmap: Building on the Aciturri partnership, management will outline its production strategy, explaining how the asset-light model leverages partners' infrastructure to minimize upfront capital expenditure and accelerate the path to profitability.
- The Razorblade Model Economics: A deeper dive into the proprietary battery business, where recurring replacements could eventually account for a 50/50 revenue split with initial aircraft sales—targeting gross margins above 40% and delivering a high-margin, recurring revenue stream.
- The Differentiated OEM Model: How Vertical's focus on selling aircraft to established operators as an Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM) offers a more capital-efficient path than competitors planning to build and operate their own air taxi services, which require far higher operating costs and a longer break-even timeline.
Vertical Aerospace's Path to a Re-Rating
With a market capitalization of about $440 million, there appears to be a significant disconnect between the current stock price and the future value implied by these developments. Wall Street acknowledges the upside: the consensus 12-month analyst target is $10.43, implying substantial gains for investors entering at current levels. Investor Day is designed to deliver the financial data needed to bridge that gap.
Market sentiment remains mixed, however. While the stock has consolidated, short interest rose to 2.32 million shares in mid-August, suggesting lingering skepticism. That makes the upcoming disclosures an even more critical catalyst to shift sentiment.
By providing clear, data-driven answers on certification costs, manufacturing economics and its long-term revenue model, Vertical Aerospace aims to replace speculation with a credible financial plan. For investors, the event represents a crucial opportunity to gain detailed insight into the company's strategy and assess its value proposition before the broader market fully digests—and potentially re-rates—the stock.
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