| The following GAIN reports were released on July 2, 2025. _______ Australia is the world's second-largest producer and exporter of almonds, behind only the United States, and the industry continues to grow. Almond production for marketing year (MY) 2025/26 is forecast to reach a record 175,000 metric tons (MT), a 21 percent increase from the revised estimate for MY 2024/25. The previous year's production was adversely impacted by excessive heat and reduced crop inputs, driven by weaker price expectations. With only modest growth in domestic consumption, largely due to population increases, the forecast record production is expected to drive almond exports to an all-time high of 143,000 MT in MY 2025/26. Post forecasts MY2025/26 China's corn production at 298 MMT, up 3 MMT from MY2024/25, while imports are projected at 8 MMT, up 1 MMT year-over-year but still well below historical levels. Wheat production is forecast at 141 MMT for MY2025/26, up 1 MMT from MY2024/25, with imports rising to 6 MMT from 4.5 MMT as feed demand increases. Rice production remains stable at 146 MMT for MY2025/26, unchanged from MY2024/25, while imports edge up to 2.6 MMT from 2.4 MMT. Sorghum imports are forecast to increase slightly to 5 MMT in MY2025/26 from 4.7 MMT in MY2024/25, while barley imports are expected flat at 10 MMT as Beijing continues policies to limit grain imports. In 2024, Côte d'Ivoire's imports of U.S.-origin food and agricultural products grew to $42 million, up 121 percent compared to $19 million registered in 2023. Export growth in 2024, has been driven by the significant influx of U.S.-origin rice, valued at $22.3 million ( i.e., linked to USDA/FAS food security programing for the Coastal West Africa region), as well as by $13.4 million (record level) deliveries of U.S. soybean meal. In 2024, Côte d'Ivoire's global food and agricultural products imports are $3.6 billion. In 2025 (January-May), Ivorian imports are coming in at $1.8 billion (up 26 percent). FAS Abidjan, Accra (Post) find that the country's food retail industry is growing thanks to urbanization and a budding middle class. Inflation and high costs of living, notwithstanding, consumers are increasingly demanding quality products. In 2024, Ivorian imports of food processing ingredients surpassed $852 million, fueling the food processing industry's demand for product that domestic producers cannot fill. Following a lengthy period with a trade surplus, the U.S. trade balance with Indonesia in agricultural products began to reverse in 2021. Largely driven by increased palm oil exports, the highest trade deficit was recorded in 2022 at $1.8 billion. If the product scope is expanded to agricultural related products, including seafood and wood products, the deficit is even higher, valued at $3.7 billion in 2024. Overall, several factors substantially contributed to the U.S. agriculture trade deficit. These include increased competition (e.g., via tariff preferences and lower prices), non-tariff barriers (e.g., import licensing), and high U.S. demand for select Indonesian products. However, significant opportunities remain in this promising, albeit challenging, market, especially if the tariff and non-tariff barriers can be addressed. This report is an overview of the general legal and technical requirements for food and agricultural imports imposed by Kazakhstan. Since the 2024 FAIRS Report was published, there have been no major updates to Kazakhstani food and agricultural import regulations and standards. Section X includes information on the newly launched online "Kazakhstan Trade Portal" outlining required processes for importing, exporting, and transiting products to and from Kazakhstan. This report highlights export certification requirements for Kazakhstan. Please note that certification requirements may continue to change as Kazakhstan reforms its standards and regulations to meet Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) and World Trade Organization (WTO) commitments. Exporters are advised to verify export certification requirements with their importer before shipment. There have been no updates to export certification requirements since June 2024. Kenya's economy grew robustly over the past decade, driven by a youthful population, a growing middle class, and significant expansion in key sectors such as agriculture, manufacturing, and retail. While agriculture remains a vital part of the economy, the country faces challenges such as food insecurity, erratic weather, and land degradation. Despite these issues, agricultural trade has steadily expanded, with Kenya's agricultural exports reaching $4.3 billion in 2024. Trade with the European Union (EU) and the United States shows a competitive landscape, with the EU benefiting from favorable agreements, while the United States faces challenges due to higher tariffs and regulatory barriers. However, U.S. agricultural exports have notable opportunities in key sectors like wheat, soybean oil, dairy ingredients, and processed foods, which cater to Kenya's growing urban middle class. Peru is the fourth largest export market for U.S. agricultural products in South America. U.S.-origin food and agricultural product exports to Peru benefit significantly from the U.S. - Peru Trade Promotion Agreement (PTPA). The United States plays a pivotal role in Peru's consumer-oriented food sector, accounting for 18 percent of the market share. In 2024, consumer-oriented imports from the world reached $2.0 billion. The growing middle class in Peru seeks high-quality products and there is a positive perception of U.S. food quality, variety, and innovation. Consistently ranking as the top Southeast Asia destination for U.S. consumer-oriented agricultural products, the Philippines presents a resilient market for U.S. food and beverage products, supported by a young workforce with high disposable income, a growing middle-income consumer base, and remittances from overseas workers. With long-standing trade ties and a strong consumer trust on U.S. origin products, the Philippines provides export opportunities driven by strong demand for fruit and vegetable juices, beef and pork products, tree nuts, fresh vegetables and fruits, poultry meat and products, wine and related products, condiments and sauces, dairy products, and processed vegetables. Romania continues to be a growing market for U.S. food and agriculture exports. Romania's total resident population was just over 19 million people as of early 2024, representing a marginal decrease from the previous year, with about 48 percent still living in rural areas. The annual rate of inflation saw a significant improvement, reaching an average of approximately 5.1 percent in 2024, a substantial drop from the 10.4 percent recorded in 2023. In 2024, Romania's total agricultural imports reached an estimated $15.3 billion, marking a 4.6 percent increase over 2023. Of this, approximately 80 percent were sourced from EU Member States. Germany, Hungary, Poland, and the Netherlands remained among Romania's major trading partners in 2024, with Ukraine also maintaining a notable presence. Meat, dairy, grains, oilseeds, and beverages continued to be the primary product import categories. This report provides an overview of Senegal's food and agricultural market, based on engagements with major retailers, importers, processors, and food service operators throughout the country. Senegal's growing urban population, rising middle class, and dynamic retail and hospitality sectors are driving demand for high-quality imported food products. While traditional markets remain dominant, modern retail chains and U.S.-product-focused niche stores are rapidly expanding, especially in urban areas like Dakar and Thiès. The hospitality sector, particularly around Dakar and the new Diamniadio hub, is also scaling in to accommodate increasing numbers of international visitors tied to increasing major events happening in Senegal and rising business travel linked to oil and gas investments. U.S. exporters have opportunities to supply competitively priced, halal-certified, and value-added products across the retail, processing, and food service sectors by partnering with well-established local distributors. South Africa boasts one of Africa's most developed and diverse economies, supported by a robust commercial sector and sophisticated distribution networks. While its self-sufficient agriculture industry meets most primary food needs, the country presents strong opportunities for U.S. exports, particularly consumer-oriented products and ingredients for its dynamic food processing sector. Shifting health-conscious habits and openness to new products are driving demand for specialized U.S. food and beverage exports. However, U.S. exporters face challenges such as local competition, preferential trade agreements favoring competitors, and an unfavorable exchange rate, which must be addressed to capitalize on South Africa's growing demand for high-quality imports. Marketing year (MY) 2025/26 rice production in the Republic of Korea (ROK) is forecast further down on reduced planted area approaching half of the government's reduction target of 80,000 hectares. Delayed transplanting because of unfavorable weather in May postponed the official planting forecast announcement to July. Since Lee Jae-myung's victory in the ROK snap presidential election on June 3, 2025, the Democratic Party is driving revisions to the Grain Management Act, which had been vetoed by the previous administration. Although demographic changes continue to drive down domestic rice consumption, exports of processed rice products are rising. Stocks of imported table rice continue to pile up as the Ministry refuses to resume weekly auctions of U.S. table rice, which have now been suspended for over 18 months. The government plans to transfer stocks of U.S. table rice from the 2022 crop year into alcoholic beverage production because it is no longer marketable for household consumption. This report provides information on the regulations and procedures for the importation of food and agricultural products from the United States to the Democratic Socialist Republic of Sri Lanka (Sri Lanka). The report is supplemented by the Sri Lanka Food and Agricultural Import Regulations and Standards (FAIRS) Export Certificate Report 2025. This FAIRS report lists the export certificates required for food and agricultural products shipped to the Democratic Socialist Republic of Sri Lanka (Sri Lanka). An export certificate matrix is included in this report. The requirements listed are specific for consignments coming directly from the United States of America to Sri Lanka, or transshipped in sealed containers with invoices stating that Sri Lanka is the final destination. Thai rice exports declined amid rising global supply and lower imports by major buyers. While fragrant rice prices saw a slight rise, prices for most other grades fell. Export volumes dropped year-on-year, but stronger demand from Iraq and China helped offset weaker markets elsewhere.
For more information, or for an archive of all FAS GAIN reports, please visit gain.fas.usda.gov/.
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