Let's get moving ahead of today's big events.
| | Good morning, Market Masters, | Trade talks hit their climax TODAY while markets coil ahead of tomorrow's inflation bombshell. This is where fortunes pivot. | If only there were a show… starting in 15 minutes… that will cover these key stories… | Oh… that's right. There is… | Today's Power Play And Tomorrow's Catalyst | Here's what on tap… | 1. We Hit Mission Critical on Trade | London trade negotiations enter the endgame. | Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick's "going well" comment sparked yesterday's chip rally (AMD +4%, ARM +4%), but today's the real test. Semiconductor export controls against rare earth access. Someone needs to blink by close or markets get nervous. | What retail will do WRONG: Chase yesterday's chip rally | What I'm watching: Any headline after 10 AM could whipsaw tech 2-3% either direction. | 2. This is a Big CPI Report | Markets pricing 63% odds of September cut… | But we know things can go wrong fast. | One hot print tomorrow changes everything. | Today's positioning tells you EXACTLY what smart money expects. | What retail will do wrong: Ignore Treasury signals | What I'm watching: Watch today's Treasury flows and VIX behavior. Institutions are placing their bets NOW. | 3. The Commodity Surge Continues | Silver hit 13-year highs at $36.60 (funds piling in pre-CPI) Gold gained another 0.4% overnight. Markets are getting defensive Oil is creeping higher on trade optimism and CTOT data.
| What I'm Watching: Commodity strength and muted equities is a sign of inflation hedge positioning | Your Tuesday Action Plan: | Opening 15 min: Gauge overnight positioning shifts 10:00 AM: Trade talk headline watch begins (Look for VWAP moves) 11:00 AM: 3-year Treasury auction preview (Will the Fed engage?) 1:00 PM: Don's precision setup for volatile markets (the kind of system that thrives on this chaos) 2:00 PM: Afternoon momentum setups (Look for VWAP moves) 3:30 PM: Power hour positioning for tomorrow's CPI
| Today's Session… | Today sets the table, tomorrow serves the meal. Miss today's positioning and you're playing catch-up in chaos. | Trade deal progress = Tech moon mission resumes Trade talks stall = Risk-off rotation accelerates No news = Choppy drift into CPI
| There's a strategy built for exactly these binary moments. Don's walking through it at 1 PM. | Tomorrow's CPI Scenarios: | Hot print and Fed hawks = June rally dies Cool print and Trade progress = SPX 6,300 by Friday In-line: Look to sell the news after initial pop
| Go LIVE right here. | See you in 15 minutes. | Garrett Baldwin | TheoLive: Market Masters |
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