Monday, April 21, 2025

Morning Market Update with TBUZ TV

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Monday
     - 10:30am - 4pm - Anniversary Class
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Friday
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     - 11:30am - Live Trading
     - 3pm - Weekly Wrap-Up

 

On Tuesday, Nate Tucci and I will share critical numbers as we wrap up the month. Click HERE to save your seat

Market Editorial - Chuck Crow

The Start of this Week
Sunday night open is 5283.75.  The market has moved down to an overnight low at 5273.00.  This is still above the low from last week at 5251.00.  Thursday’s high was 5371.25.  The market is coming back from the holidays in bits and pieces.  On Monday we have US markets, but European markets do not come back online until Tuesday.  Easter Monday puts a small twist on this week’s markets.  The low end number for the market to keep track of is still the low of the month at 4830.00, and beyond that is the 2024 open of the year at 4818.00.  On the upper side the top number to consider is the 5509.25 low of the 1st quarter.


Last Week’s Stock:
Regions Financial (RF)
RF made a strong move higher with earnings.  It still has the same qualities as when we looked at it last week.  The big difference is the earnings spike gives us a higher entry point after the two from last week.  The new level of resistance is at 21.40.

Regions Financial pays a quarterly dividend of 0.25 for a yield of 5.22%.  RF is one of the many financial stocks that will be reporting earnings on Thursday.  I’m still not entirely certain that this market is ready for investment potential.  So we are going to look at RF based on two lines in the sand and not just one.  The lower line is last week’s high at 20.31.  That tells us that this stock, and perhaps the broader market as well, is shaking off the drop from the first few days of April, and is ready to turn a new leaf.  The second line is 21.14, which was the low on March 31.  IF RF can reconnect to that upper range, then it should be able to climb through to 22.86.  That 22.86 level was the high on March 26, and the low on January 10.  RF rallied from the Jan 10 low to 25.38 on January 16.  25.38 is the high of the current year in RF.

New Stock:
Halliburton Co (HAL)
Of the many stocks reporting earnings this week, HAL reports on Tuesday, the same day as TSLA.  The March low in HAL was 23.42.  If this stock reports positive forward guidance, then HAL has the potential to be not only a solid trade from that price point, but it also has solid investment potential with a dividend of 3.02%.  HAL is trading at a PE ratio of 7.96%.

Past recommendations:
Dollar General (DG) I still like DG in terms of an investment, but the fact is they failed to break above 100.00.  They then retraced back below our 85.08 entry to 84.00.  It was a nice move higher, and then stock could make a secondary run.  Keep an eye on the 100.00 level.

McCormick & Company (MKC) Broke above the high line, running to 83.15 on March 31.  Like the broader market though, it started turning lower breaking support at 80.38 with a big tumble on April 4.  MKC dropped all the way to 76.31 before the end of day on Friday.

Marvel Technologies (MRVL) was predicated on a market recovery that never materialized.  This stock provided an exercise in how not to go numb while sitting on the sidelines.  There is really nothing more to add.

NVIDIA Corp (NVDA) took a little spin by breaking a key support level from February 21 at 134.03.  They dropped all the way to 124.44, but recovered a little on February 26, and started February 27, back above the 134.03 number at 135.00.  That early push on February 27 had us stepping to the sidelines after a successful short move.  The quick downtrend was actually broken on February 26 as the daily bar moved above the 130.20 high from February 25.  A subsequent sell off on February 27 left me kicking myself on the sidelines, and I think it may be best to leave NVDA there for now.

In Walmart (WMT), the February 20 high was 100.12.  This was after a bad showing following earnings the day before.  WMT pushed down to 92.12 last week, but may be trying to recover.  The original expected resistance was 105.30, the high from February 14.  Walmart should be booking to peek back above 100.12, and if it gets a little help from the broader market, then we could see some upward momentum.  The chaotic state of the broader market may suggest the need for a little caution.

Super Micro Computer (SMCI) is now off the table.  It moved back below support levels which initially started as resistance. SMCI was able to break above 38.50 and push past 48.00 and then 57.00, but could not rise above the third level of resistance at 67.00.  It then got caught up in last week’s mess.  This one is sidelined, after performing well. 

News for the Week





Probabilities for the Week




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