Upshot: A guide to election night

Also: Four possible scenarios

View in browser|nytimes.com November 5, 2024 Nick Hagen for The New York Times What We'll Know and When We'll Know It: A Guide to Election Night The vote count will still feature "blue mirages" and "red mirages," but they won't be as extreme as in 2020. By Nate Cohn Emily Elconin for The New York Times How the Election Could Unfold: Four Scenarios A look at plausible outcomes that might wind up seeming obvious in hindsight. By Nate Cohn Feedback For suggestions on how we can improve this newsletter, write to theupshotnewsletter@nytimes.com. If you have a compelling data set you'd like us to pursue, send it to dear.upshot@nytimes.com. WEEKLY HIGHLIGHTS Rachel Mummey for The New York Times What That Surprising Iowa Poll Might Be Telling Us Sometimes outliers are early indicators, capturing something other polls just haven't measured yet. Other times, they're a fluke. By Kaleigh Rogers The New York Times When to Expect Results in Each State on Election Night, and Beyond The Times surveyed election officials in all 50 states to learn how they will count the votes, and when we might know the outcome in the battleground states. By Alicia Parlapiano and Lazaro Gamio The New York Times What Time Do the Polls Close? This guide offers a state-by-state breakdown, with some tips on what results to watch for at each hour of the night. By June Kim, Leanne Abraham and Maggie Astor 10-Minute Challenge: Edward Hopper's 'Manhattan Bridge Loop' We'd like you to look at one piece of art for 10 minutes, uninterrupted. By Larry Buchanan IN CASE YOU MISSED IT Will Matsuda for The New York Times Guest Essay Want to Make Sense of the Chaos on Election Night? Here Are the House Races I'm Watching. Key districts will give us clues for how the election is going. They may also answer some of the big demographic questions looming over U.S. politics. By Kyle Kondik Karl Russell How Markets Could Respond to the Election Investors are considering the candidates' policies and historical trends to bet on where stocks, bonds and currencies are headed. By Danielle Kaye, Joe Rennison and Karl Russell Like this email? Forward it to your friends, and let them know they can sign up here. Need help? Review our newsletter help page or contact us for assistance. You received this email because you signed up for The Upshot from The New York Times. To stop receiving The Upshot, unsubscribe. To opt out of other promotional emails from The Times, including those regarding The Athletic, manage your email settings. To opt out of updates and offers sent from The Athletic, submit a request. Subscribe to The TimesGet The New York Times app Connect with us on: Change Your EmailPrivacy PolicyContact UsCalifornia Notices The New York Times Company. 620 Eighth Avenue New York, NY 10018