Upshot: How polls have changed since 2020

Also: A surprising abortion trend

View in browser|nytimes.com October 24, 2024 Illustration by Andrew Sondern; photograph by Tony Cenicola/The New York Times How Polls Have Changed to Try to Avoid a 2020 Repeat Pollsters are constantly tinkering, but they have also made some substantial adjustments. By Nate Cohn Ryan Carl Two Theories for Why the Polls Failed in 2020, and What It Means for 2024 To make polling better, you have to figure out what went wrong in the first place. By Nate Cohn Feedback For suggestions on how we can improve this newsletter, write to theupshotnewsletter@nytimes.com. If you have a compelling data set you'd like us to pursue, send it to dear.upshot@nytimes.com. WEEKLY HIGHLIGHTS FROM UPSHOT AND FRIENDS Sophie Park for The New York Times Abortions Have Increased, Even for Women in States With Rigid Bans, Study Says A new analysis shows how many women in states with bans are seeking procedures or pills from out-of-state providers. By Claire Cain Miller, Margot Sanger-Katz and Josh Katz Erin Schaff/The New York Times Harris May Be Catching Up on a Key Polling Question: Which Candidate Helps You? Many voters believe Donald Trump's policies have helped them, Times/Siena polls show. Kamala Harris has made up some lost ground on that question, though there are warning signs in the swing states. By Ruth Igielnik Nolan Pelletier 5 Books to Help You Understand the Economy Before Voting The brightest minds explore the issue at every level, from the levers that control inflation to the best way to achieve work-life balance. By Jason Furman Sam Whitney/The New York Times Peter Coy People Keep Making These Six Mistakes About Inflation Thanks to human nature, we misunderstand the pain, and sometimes the purpose, of rising prices. By Peter Coy IN CASE YOU MISSED IT Doug Mills/The New York Times, Erin Schaff/The New York Times Harris Has Championed Family Policies. Now Trump Likes Them, Too. It's unclear whether the longtime Democratic goals are a priority for Donald Trump. Yet the fact that he's talking about them at all is part of a recent shift on the right. By Claire Cain Miller The New York Times Harris Sets Record for Biggest Fund-Raising Quarter Ever Donald Trump is raising less money than he did during his run in 2020, building a far smaller campaign than Kamala Harris. By Theodore Schleifer and Albert Sun Like this email? Forward it to your friends, and let them know they can sign up here. Need help? Review our newsletter help page or contact us for assistance. You received this email because you signed up for The Upshot from The New York Times. To stop receiving The Upshot, unsubscribe. To opt out of other promotional emails from The Times, including those regarding The Athletic, manage your email settings. To opt out of updates and offers sent from The Athletic, submit a request. Subscribe to The TimesGet The New York Times app Connect with us on: Change Your EmailPrivacy PolicyContact UsCalifornia Notices The New York Times Company. 620 Eighth Avenue New York, NY 10018