Upshot: Trump Needs a Polling Error Bigger Than 2016′s

Also: America's swing voters have swung

View in browser|nytimes.com Continue reading the main story November 2, 2020 Dave Sanders for The New York Times What Trump Needs to Win: A Polling Error Much Bigger Than 2016’s Several factors that led to the misfire last time are no longer in play. By Nate Cohn   It’s Not Just Suburban Women. A Lot of Groups Have Turned Against Trump. Independents are swinging toward Biden, a large survey shows. By Lynn Vavreck No matter the polling method, Biden is ahead. By Nate Cohn How Long Will Vote Counting Take? Estimates and Deadlines in All 50 States We asked officials about their election results processes and what share of votes they expect to be counted by Nov. 4. By Alicia Parlapiano Continue reading the main story ADVERTISEMENT Special Episode of ‘Daily’ Tune into The Daily’s first live broadcast on Election Day. Reporters will share what’s happening on the ground in key battleground states, speak to voters as they head to the polls, and discuss the latest on the state of the race. Listen in from 4-8 p.m Eastern at nytimes.com/thedaily. WEEKLY HIGHLIGHTS Eve Edelheit for The New York Times   Americans Are Afraid. Not for Themselves, but for the Country. A feeling of alarm and fear about the future of democracy, from voters across the political spectrum. By Emily Badger Jim Lo Scalzo/EPA, via Shutterstock   What Makes a Man Manly? Trump and Biden Offer Competing Answers Amid a large gender gap among voters, one version of masculinity stresses toughness and the other a duty to protect the weak. By Claire Cain Miller and Alisha Haridasani Gupta The Yarn Store Would Like You to Vote And so would nearly every company out there this year. By Margot Sanger-Katz IN CASE YOU MISSED IT Michelle Mishina-Kunz for The New York Times   Why Blue Places Have Been Hit Harder Economically Than Red Ones The different mix of jobs is a big driver, but there are other factors, too. By Jed Kolko     The Battlegrounds Within Battlegrounds Here are 20 counties in battleground states that are crucial for a White House victory. By Keith Collins, Trip Gabriel and Stephanie Saul Like this email? Forward it to your friends, and let them know they can sign up here. Continue reading the main story Need help? Review our newsletter help page or contact us for assistance. You received this email because you signed up for The Upshot from The New York Times. To stop receiving these emails, unsubscribe or manage your email preferences. Subscribe to The TimesGet The New York Times app Connect with us on: Change Your EmailPrivacy PolicyContact UsCalifornia Notices The New York Times Company. 620 Eighth Avenue New York, NY 10018