Tuesday, March 3, 2020

Live Now: Super Tuesday Results

Here are links to the live results, the live forecast and analysis from New York Times reporters.
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By Lisa Lerer

Politics Newsletter Writer

Welcome to Super Tuesday, On Politics readers. Fourteen states are holding Democratic primaries, and the first wave of polls are beginning to close. Follow live results here.

Tonight, tonight, it all began tonight.

As the Super Tuesday polls close tonight, we should begin to get a much clearer picture about whether Democrats are likely to face a long, contentious fight to the nomination — or whether they have an all-but-certain nominee.

For weeks, it seemed like Super Tuesday was Bernie Sanders’s to lose. Events over the past few days have changed the calculus: Joe Biden won by a commanding margin in South Carolina, and the party consolidation around his candidacy that came after has reduced the chances of Mr. Sanders emerging with an insurmountable delegate lead.

But there’s so much we still don’t know.

We don’t know how the departures of Amy Klobuchar and Pete Buttigieg will affect the race. Some of their support will certainly go to Mr. Biden, but Elizabeth Warren and Michael Bloomberg could also benefit. Speaking of Mr. Bloomberg, this is his first real test as a presidential candidate and we don’t know how well he’ll perform.

We may not get the answers to all of these questions tonight: In 2018, results from competitive districts in California were up in the air for days.

The number to watch, as I wrote last night, is 15 percent. Think of it as the Rule of More.

The more candidates who break that threshold, in more states and congressional districts, the more drawn out this battle will be.

Here’s how to follow everything that’s happening tonight:

Then join us tomorrow morning for another edition of On Politics, with all the latest political analysis. And I’ll be back tomorrow evening with my thoughts on everything that happens.

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