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Monday, March 7, 2022

Pentagon Press Secretary John F. Kirby Holds a Press Briefing, March 7, 2022

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Transcript
Pentagon Press Secretary John F. Kirby Holds a Press Briefing, March 7, 2022
March 7, 2022

PRESS SECRETARY JOHN F. KIRBY:  Hey there everybody.  Couple things here at the top.  Let me get this thing working.  OK.  Let's, see?  OK.  So, I want to be -- to announce that over the weekend, Secretary Austin ordered the deployment from the United States of an additional approximately 500 U.S.  military personnel to locations in Europe to augment U.S. forces that are already in theater.

These additional personnel are being positioned to respond obviously to the current security environment caused by Russia's unprovoked invasion of Ukraine.  And certainly, to help reinforce and bolster deterrence and defense capabilities of the NATO alliance.

These as all the other ones we've talked about in recent weeks are not permanent moves.  They are temporary moves.  And we're going to adjust our posture continuously as conditions require.  And as President Biden has noted before, we are not and will not send forces into Ukraine.

So, these additional personnel will be going to NATO's Eastern Flank.  Specifically, we'll be sending a number of KC-135 refueling aircraft out of Fairfield Air Force Base in Spokane.  They will deploy with approximately 150 personnel.  They're scheduled right now.  They're planned right now to deploy to Souda Bay, Greece to provide additional area or fueling support to the commander of U.S.  European Command.

This 500 will also include an air support operation center out of Fort Stewart, Georgia.  They'll comprise basically 40 personnel.  Right now, they're planning to deploy to Poland into Romania, and again to help provide additional command and control for U.S.  European Command flight operations.  And then lastly, about 300 personnel will be making up a modular ammunition ordnance company out of Fort Bragg.  And as support maintenance company out of Fort Stewart, Georgia.

They'll be going to Germany to provide additional logistic support to the First Armored Brigade Combat Team Third Infantry Division already deployed there.  And we've already talked about.  Again, these are purely defensive forces.  These are specifically the ones we're talking about today are enablers.  And we said before when we deployed the additional 7,000, that there would be associated enablers with them.  This is part of that support.

All these posture adjustments are being done, as I think, you know, in full consultation with the NATO allies in question.  OK.  Shifting topics if I could, to the Red Hill storage facility in Hawaii.  Secretary Austin decided today, and you should have the statement.  If you don't, you'll have it shortly.  That directs the Secretary of the Navy in coordination with the Commander of the United States Indo Pacific Command to take all steps necessary to de-fuel and to permanently close the Red Hill bulk fuel storage facility in Hawaii.

I know many of you are tracking the importance that leaders across the Department of Defense have placed on that November leak and the contamination that resulted from it.  Secretary the Deputy Secretary leaders from across the Department of Defense and Navy as well as Indo PACOM remain very, very focused on this issue.  And the impact that it's had on families, communities, and of course, our responsibilities in both national security and being good stewards of our resources in the environment.

Throughout this process, the department's approach has been guided by a commitment to protect the population, the environment, and the security of the country.  And goals that are mutually supportive.  As the Secretary outlined in his direction to the Department of the Navy, the Department of Defense launched a thorough review of the facility's long-term future.  Work that was grounded in analysis and completely aligned with our focus.

So, a few points on today's decision.  First, national security, we will defuel Red Hill and reposition the fuel to land and afloat locations.  This will meet our national security objectives by better positioning the United States to meet future challenges in the Pacific region.  While ensuring environmental stewardship and protecting the population.  Secondly, as the Secretary noted, we're going to be able to take care of our people in the community.

We are committed to mitigating the impacts of the November incident.  And we are restoring safe drinking water to all affected residents and providing best in class sampling and testing to ensure the continued safety of the drinking water.  And finally, we're going to complete environmental mitigation efforts for the Red Hill drinking water well in any other impacted areas.  And continue to engage the community on land use.

One additional note which I believe many of you are tracking.  The Commander U.S. Pacific Fleet has directed a command investigation into the releases and contamination of the water supply.  When that review is complete, the Navy will publicly release the report and continue to work closely with the Department of Health in Hawaii, about pursuing follow on actions. That work continues.

I want to end by noting that the Secretary's decision is not considered by the department to be some sort of quick fix.  We have work to do.  We know that.  Across the enterprise with elected officials from Hawaii and local organizations, and of course, with our military families.  Many of whom have suffered as a result of that leak and that contamination.

We're going to stay transparent, as fully transparent on this work as we can.  We're going to continue to update you and them as actions are taken.  But we do believe that this decision by the Secretary today marks a significant first step in the path forward.  With that take questions.  Bob.

Q:  Thank you, John.  On Ukraine, why don't you give the -- discuss sort of the overall direction of the Russian campaign in Ukraine?  I'm thinking in particular, for example, their increased use of long-range fires, artillery, and rockets in recent days.

MR. KIRBY:  Yes.

Q:  Is this an adjustment by them?  Is this a new phase of the war?  Are they compensating for problems in other areas?  Or how would you describe the thrust of what they're -- where they are right now,

MR. KIRBY:  With the caveat, Bob, we don't have perfect visibility into Russian plans.  What we believe is happening as the Russians continue to get frustrated and slow down.  And they really haven't made any noteworthy progress in the last few days.  With the exception of down south.  In the south, they continue to have some progress, but up in the north and northeast, what we assess is as they continue to get frustrated, they continue to rely now more on what we would call long range fires.

So, this is bombardment, missile strikes, long range artillery, into city centers that they aren't in yet, at least not on the ground in any significant number.  So, we're seeing that and of course that has been leading to and as you would expect, it would when you're relying more on long range fires.  You're going to cause more damage, and you're going to kill more people and injured more people.  And so that's what we think is happening.

That's what we're seeing them do.  And we think it's because again, they have not been able to make up for the lost time that they continue to suffer from on the ground in terms of the advancement of ground forces.

Q:  And they have not taken control of any cities?  Is that...

MR. KIRBY:  I wouldn't say no cities.  I mean, we do assess that Curzon fell to the Russians.  Around the coast of the Sea of Azov, a town called Berdiansk, we believe that they have control over.  And certainly, that we anticipate -- we believe that they're in control of that power plant up near the Dnieper River that we talked about last week.

So, some smaller towns as they continue their advanced down south.  In the north we do not see them have any control over Kyiv, Kharkiv.  Still a lot of heavy fighting outside Kharkiv.  Of course, Kharkiv is really becoming victim to a lot of these long-range fires.  And then in that town to the northeast of Kiev called Chernihiv, they still are attempting to encircle the city, but they have not taken it yet.  So again, I think down south you see them have a little bit more success and some control over some local population centers.

But up in the north, not so much.  The other one that I would note is Mariupol on the Sea of Azov, just to the south of Donbass.  We believe that they very much are aimed on taking Mariupol.  Mariupol is a violent place to be right now, this is another location for long range fires and bombardment.  You've heard the mayor himself talk about power outages and water supply problems.

We believe that they are trying to encircle Mariupol as well, but they have not done it yet.  Jen.

Q:  John, have you seen any evidence that Russian's morale among the troops is low?  We've seen some reports.  But have you seen any evidence of that?  And how would you characterize that convoy, the 40-mile-long convoy north of Kyiv?  If it doesn't have tanks in that convoy.  Where are those tanks?  Where did they go?

MR. KIRBY:  Yes, I don't have perfect visibility on the convoy.  We're watching it with much the same imagery that you are.  We believe that the main purpose of it was resupply.  So, it does when you look at the images from the air, you can see a lot of it.  But they don't they don't look like armored vehicles so much as they look like resupply trucks.

That's not to say that there aren't combat vehicles in there.  We don't have perfect visibility on it.  But the assessment is that it was largely meant to help resupply and it is still stalled.  It is still stuck.  We don't assess over the course of the weekend that it has made any progress.  And I'm sorry, you had another one.

Q:  On morale?

MR. KIRBY:  Morale.  We certainly see what's in the open press that you see about anecdotal evidence that some soldiers are flagging in their morale.  We have also picked up other indications as well, on our own, that morale continues to be a problem for many of the Russian forces.  Particularly up in the north and the east.

It is not clear to us that all of the soldiers that Russia has put into Ukraine, realize that that's what they were doing.  That they were actually going to invade Ukraine.  It's not clear to us that they had full visibility on the mission that which they were being assigned.

Q:  And again, if that convoy was a resupply convoy, and not really armored vehicles.  Where were those columns of tanks that were supposed to encircle Kiev?  Were they sent elsewhere?

MR. KIRBY:  Yes, I don't know if that's a better question for the Russian Ministry of Defense.  We don't have perfect visibility in terms of what they're moving, and what alternative routes they might have taken.  And I don't want to leave you with the idea that we know perfectly what each and every vehicle is in there.

It looks to be like our assessment is that it's largely meant for resupply, but I can't rule out that there aren't combat vehicles.  That's a very, very long convoy.  We don't even know if it's all -- we can't even say that it is all one convoy, and not several.  But it does remain as our best assessment as it remains stalled.  Fadi ?

Q:  Thank you, John.  So, in the reports about efforts by the Russians to recruit Syrian fighters to fight in Ukraine.  First of all, what do you have to say about these reports?  And based on your knowledge did this effort start before the war, or after the war?  And who are these fighters they're seeking to recruit?  Are they from the Syrian military?  Or what is your understanding of this?

MR. KIRBY:  I can't speak for Russian recruiting efforts, Fadi.  We do believe that the accounts of them, the Russians seeking Syrian fighters to augment their forces in Ukraine.  We believe there's truth to that.  So, it's interesting that, that Mr.  Putin would have to find himself relying on foreign fighters here, who they are going to be?

How many they're getting?  What they're going to pay them?  All of that we don't have perfect visibility on.  But we're in no position to refute the accounts that they might be seeking to recruit Syrian fighters.

Q:  And since you mentioned that it's kind of interesting that he's -- the Russian President is trying to rely on foreign fighters.  Do you have an assessment, despite all the troops he has inside of Ukraine now, why he has to go and tap into foreign fighters, especially in Syria?

MR. KIRBY:  I can't get inside Mr.  Putin's head.  He has pretty much all the combat power that he assessed, I'm sorry that he assembled.  Our assessment is he has pretty much all of it inside Ukraine now, the ground forces in particular.  So, he has an awful lot of combat power available to him.  We still assess that he has the vast majority of that combat power available to him.

I can't begin to speculate why he would find it necessary to seek help from foreign fighters.  We do believe, as I said to Jen, that they are having morale problems.  They are having supply problems.  They are having fuel problems.  They're having food problems.  They are meeting a very stiff and determined Ukrainian resistance.  And we still maintain that they are several days behind what they probably thought they were going to be in terms of their progress.

But I can't honestly -- I cannot get inside, you know, Mr.  Putin's brain as to why he would find it necessary to seek support from foreign fighters.  David.

Q:  John, on this issue of Polish aircraft to Ukraine.

MR. KIRBY:  Yes.

Q:  A number of U.S.  officials have said this is under active discussion about how the U.S.  might backfill.  We just went back and looked at some previous statements by Polish officials.  On Sunday, the Chancellery of the Prime Minister of Poland tweeted Poland won't send its fighter jets to Ukraine.

On March 1, the President of Poland said we are not sending any jets to Ukraine.  So, what are we talking about here?  I mean, it sounds like this is flogging a dead horse.  Is this really a proposition on the table?

MR. KIRBY:  I can't speak for Polish leadership.  But David, what we've said is that this will be a sovereign decision for a nation state to make.  Whether it's Poland or anybody else, that should they want to provide aircraft to the Ukrainian Air Force, that's a sovereign decision that they can make.  The United States is not going to stand in the way of that.

There is -- there was discussion about if a nation such as Poland were to do this, would there be a capacity for the United States to backfill those aircraft with American made aircraft?  And what I can tell you is because I can only speak for the Department of Defense is that we are part of an interagency discussion to examine that possibility.

No decisions have been made.  Certainly, none that we're aware of by Poland even, as you pointed out in your quotes there.  But we are having a discussion about should a nation like Poland want to do this?  And should there be a desire or a need for some sort of backfill of assets.  You know, what would that look like?  How would we do that?  How many?  From where?

Those are the kinds of things we're talking about right now.

Q:  One other question on aircraft transfers.  Former NATO Commander General Breedlove has said the Ukrainians, some Ukrainians have been trained to fly the A-10.  There are, I think he said six A-10s in storage available for transfer to Ukraine.  Is that under consideration?

MR. KIRBY:  I have not heard anything about A-10s.  And I can't verify the number that are quote unquote, "in storage." Yes.

Q:  Hey John.  I wanted to ask about Red Hill.  Wonder if there are relief or assistance might still be available to affected military families?  And you also mentioned environmental mitigation.  Can you give us a sense of the scope of what needs to be done on that site?  And how long it might take or even a dollar figure that we're talking about?

MR. KIRBY:  Can't give you much of a dollar for your timeline.  We're -- so what -- here's what -- let me just talk process for you.  But before I do that, the impact of families obviously is foremost on everybody's mind.  And I don't want to speak for the Navy.  They're working very, very hard to get these families back safely to their homes and to take care of them where they are.

So, I would refer you to Navy just to speak to the specifics of that.  But as I said, and you'll see it in the Secretary's memo.  I mean, taking care of these folks is of paramount concern to him.  So, what's going to happen here, and this will -- this is a long way of getting to your question.  Which is to say I can't answer it specifically.  But just so you understand process.

There was already an assessment team that was in place to determine what it would take to get Red Hill operational again.  Because as you know, we suspended operations back in December.  So, it hasn't been in use since December.  That assessment team will now shift their focus to help us figure out what it takes to de-fuel it.  In other words, to get operational, capacity back up again, for the purpose of de-fueling.  Not for continuing operations for fueling.

We'll get that homework assignment back probably at the end of April.  We'll do the forensics on that, figure out what we need to do.  And then once we have prepared the site for de-fueling, and we know we can do that safely.  We estimate that it will probably take somewhere within 12 months or so to fully de-fuel and close it.

Then once it's closed, we'll begin to work on what land use for it looks like going forward.  And obviously a key part of that is going to be making sure that whatever we do in terms of closing down, that it's done in an environmentally safe way.  All of that is to say that I can't give you beyond the year or so that we know it's going to take to de-fuel once we can start de-fueling.

All the environmental mitigation impacts after that, we're still working -- we have to work our way through that.  And I couldn't possibly give you an estimate on what that's going to cost.

Q:  The financial, I'm sorry, the environmental mitigation, that's financial responsibility of DOD.

MR. KIRBY:  Eventually, yes, that will be -- that would fall on DoD in terms of because we're going to be we're going to be obviously closing down the site.  But I couldn't begin to tell you what the estimate is going to be right now.  All I can tell you is the Secretary is committed to doing this.

He believes this is the right decision, not just for our national security for a more distributed and dispersed fueling capability through the Indo Pacific.  But also, for the environment for a gracious host and neighbors in Hawaii, and of course for our military families.  Janne ?

Q:  Thank you, John.  I have two questions on Ukraine and South Korea.  There are hundreds of South Korean volunteers who kept stated supported to fight the Russian invasion.  Do you have anything on the number of U.S.  volunteers to fight the Russian invasion?

MR. KIRBY:  I don't have an estimate of Americans who might want to be volunteering to go there.  I would say what I said last week.  If you're an American, and you want to do right by Ukraine, the best thing you can do is find a way to donate to so many agencies that are trying to deal with what is now clearly a humanitarian crisis in the region, certainly there in Ukraine.

We still do not believe that Ukraine is a safe place for Americans to go.  We urge them not to go.  And if any are still there, we urge them to leave.

Q:  Another one on North Korea.  I think you know already last week Korea, launched another missile.  How does the United States evaluate North Korea's excessive missile launching?

MR. KIRBY:  These continue to be provocations.  Needless provocations at that.  We urge Pyongyang to cease these missile launches and these provocations.  And signal that they're willing to sit down as we are without preconditions to find a negotiated way forward here.  And a path -- a diplomatic path to reduce the tensions on the peninsula.  Yes.  Tom.

Q:  Which Tom?

QUESTION:  Which ever Tom won.

MR. KIRBY:  I was looking at use Squitieri.  But I -- if you guys want to trade off, it's up to you.

Q:  You get one I get one.

Q:  I get two.

Q:  I'd like to follow up on his question that finds a comment about extra forces.  What would Pentagon's assessment be if Putin begins drawing troops from the remainder of Russia, then we're not preposition to go into Ukraine?

MR. KIRBY:  What would our position be?

Q:  No what would your observation and analysis be if that move was made by him?

MR. KIRBY:  I mean, Tom, I don't want to speculate about future decisions that -- what I would -- look, I would just tell you, Tom.  We've assessed that he's got nearly all the mass combat power that he assembled inside Ukraine.  I haven't seen anything or any indication that he's pulling from elsewhere in the country.  And I don't want to get ahead of where we actually are right now.

This is not -- this is a Russian military invasion here.  And it's difficult for us to know, with great specificity on any given day what Mr.  Putin is going to do tomorrow, or the next day after that.  And I just don't want to get ahead of where we are.

Q:  My second question is regarding Moldova, it's two parts.  The -- have preparations began yet to withdraw the National Guard and their training the Moldovan forces.  And if not, what changes in the training have the National Guard been doing with the Moldova forces?

MR. KIRBY:  On the terms of training, I'd refer you to the National Guard.  I don't have a menu of the kinds of training that they do in Moldova.  And I don't have any change to their posture.

Q:  But they're staying there at this point?

MR. KIRBY:  To the best of my knowledge.  I don't know of any changes.

Q:  Thank you.

MR. KIRBY:  Tom.

Q:  John, there's a continual uptick in civilian casualties in Ukraine.  Do you get a sense that Russians are actually targeting civilians as President Zelensky says?  Or is it miscalculation or a little bit of both?  And we talked earlier about long term -- long range fires.  How much of that has to -- do you have a sentence with the increased civilian casualties?

MR. KIRBY:  I think we absolutely assess that the reliance on long range fires.  And I know that's a very wonky turn with artillery missile strikes.  You know, rocket attacks are having an increased effect on civilian casualties, and the damage and destruction of civilian infrastructure, be it homes, churches, hospitals, schools.

We see that increasing for sure.  And we do believe that it's a direct result of their increasing reliance on these long-range fires.  Now, the degree to which we can prove that these are incidental versus intentional, I don't think we've got that sense with any great fidelity, Tom.  So, it would be imprudent for me to speculate that we know for sure that a given target was intentional or not.

And I understand the context of the question, the bottom line is, more civilians are being killed and wounded.  More civilian infrastructure is being damaged or destroyed.  And Mr.  Putin still has a choice here, not to escalate.  And not to be more aggressive in the use of these long-range fires and his capabilities.  But to find a diplomatic path forward and end the invasion?

Q:  (Inaudible) or military targets they're going after now happen to be in more residential civilian areas, or you just don't know?

MR. KIRBY:  I don't have perfect visibility into their targeting process.  But look, clearly if you're having to rely on long range fires to go after cities because you can't move into city centers right now.  And you're even if pure as the driven snow you're going to go after just military and government targets in a big city like Kyiv or Kharkiv, you are increasing the chances that even in the best of your target and that you're going to miss.  And you're going to hit targets that you didn't intend to hit.  I'm not -- not making excuses for Mr.  Putin's targeting here.  We can't prove on any given day how much is indiscriminate and how much is intentional.  Bottom line is, more people are getting hurt, more damage is being done.  More people are having to now flee their country.

And all of it -- all of it, Tom, intentional or not, was completely unavoidable , completely unavoidable {AVOIDABLE], and, frankly, can still be unavoidable going forward if Mr.  Putin does the right thing.  Take his troops out, stop the invasion and sit down and try to find a negotiated way forward.

Q:  Can I follow up on that?

MR. KIRBY:  Sure.

Q:  Jen Psaki said on Friday, I think it was that the U.S.  is looking into whether they're -- Russia is intentionally targeting civilians.  Talking about potential some (serve ?) in the ICC action here.  Is DoD providing information to this review that's ongoing?  Are you looking for actual evidence that the Russians are targeting civilians for potential criminal court?

MR. KIRBY:  Not that I'm aware of.

Q:  And then second thing back to the jets.  Is -- can DoD say whether there are F-16s in an inventory right now that are not yet dedicated or supposed to go to some other country?  Or go to the United States or something that could be sent to Poland in a quick way?  Jen Psaki was also asked about that today.

And she was talking about the logistical hurdles and how it can take years to transfer weapon systems and aircraft to other countries.  So, I'm sure at this point now, this is in several days.  There's got to be some knowledge right now, if they're even F-16s to provide to Poland quickly.

MR. KIRBY:  I think we're still working our way through all that, Court.  We don't have -- it's too soon to know, with great specificity, what a potential backfill would look like.  But we're just not there in the discussions even within our own interagency, much less with a nation like Poland.  So, you know, it would depend on how many they would need.  It would depend on how long they would need them.

And then you'd have to look at where in inventory could you possibly provide that.  And Jens right.  I mean, if we're talking about a permanent sale, that can take some time.  We're just not there yet.  I mean, I appreciate the question, but we're just not prepared to answer it right now.

Q:  Is there a process for speeding up a sale like that?  I mean, I'm sure there's got to be some sort of a process, right?  That would exist in DOD to...

MR. KIRBY:  That, as you know, foreign military sales are done by the State Department, not by the Department of Defense.  Yes.

Q:  Follow up on this.  Has there been any discussions with Poland with respect to this...

MR. KIRBY:  With what?

Q:  With Polish government or Polish Defense Ministry with respect to these types of like transferring jets to Ukraine and then backfilling?

MR. KIRBY:  Again, we're at the beginning of a process here to determine what might be the right way forward.  I just don't have any more detail for you.

Q:  Also, Polish government is categorically denying this type (inaudible).  What triggered the interagency assessment in the United States if the Polish have actually no interest in doing something like this?

MR. KIRBY:  As I said, I think you all saw President Zelensky held a call with lawmakers and one of the things that he talked about was his desire for more material and to include aircraft.  And so we're having a prudent discussion about if there would be a request to backfill for a nation, what that might look like.

Q:  So, you're responding to what Zelensky said not to anything, the Polish government might have said?

MR. KIRBY:  I'm not going to get into international discussions.  I'm telling you that we're looking at this.  No decisions have been made.

Q:  The 500 Troops, you said these are being positioned to respond to the current security environment.  An environment caused by a Russian invasion of Ukraine.  (Inaudible) is actually way in South Flank of the NATO.  Why not like -- you position those tankers close to the theater where the tension is going on?  But way south.  Wasn't there any other positions or locations.

MR. KIRBY:  I'm happy to -- these are decision made by the European Command Commander, General Wolters.  And as forces get added to the theater, General Wolters is best able to determine where he wants to put them and how he wants to employ them.  I think I'll leave it at that.  Yes.

Q:  If I could follow on Fadi's question on Syrian recruits.  What is it that led you to believe that Russia is trying to recruit Syrian fighters?  Is it based on some sort of evidence that you've seen or just the Russian...

MR. KIRBY:  We have indicators.  We have indications I'll leave it at that

Q:  Does it indicate what general areas Northwest or the Kurdish controlled area or under Syrian regime?

MR. KIRBY:  I'm not going to have any more detail for you on that today.  Jeff Schogol.

Q:  Thank you, can you say what steps the Defense Department is going to take to help Navy families and other families on Hawaii, who are worried about the long-term health issues that they may face from the contaminated drinking water?

And also, the state of Hawaii has asked that Red Hill be de-fueled in 30 days.  If I heard you right, it sounds as if once the Defense Department determines when it can begin de-fueling the process is expected to take a year?  Is it accurate to say that it is impossible to the fuel the facility in 30 days?  Thank you.

MR. KIRBY:  By the end of April, Jeff, we will get an assessment of what safe operation of the facility will look like and what needs to be done to get it back into safe operations.  It is shut down right now.  And in order to de-fuel it, you got be able to operate it.  And so, we have to know what safe operation looks like.  We won't get that assessment until the end of April.

Once we get that assessment, we'll review it.  We will comply with the requirements that the assessment team comes back with in terms of how to get the plant the facility back operational again.  Once it's operational, again, we will de-fuel it and we will close it.  And we estimate that that will take -- we can do that within 12 months.

As for the families, I think you've seen it in the Secretary's memo himself.  I mean, we owe these families our very best attention to make sure that they get the medical care they need for the way in which this contamination has affected their health.  We are 100 percent committed to that.  Tony Capaccio.

Q:  Hey.  Hey, John, a couple questions.  Is there a regular ongoing overland resupply effort going on right now into Ukraine?

MR. KIRBY:  There are -- there continue to be Tony.  Efforts by the United States and other nations to continue to provide security assistance material to the Ukrainian Armed Forces.  I'm not going to talk about the manner in which that material is getting to them, but we know it's getting to them.  And that they are able to use it.

Q:  Are the Russians at all trying to interdict or interrupt those -- that overland traffic?

MR. KIRBY:  That traffic and that material continues to flow.

Q:  Another quick question.  Do you have any sense of how much Russian armor has been destroyed in the -- since the invasion?  And has that destruction been a contributing factor to the offenses of bogging down?

MR. KIRBY:  I don't have a count of how many vehicles or armored vehicles or combat vehicles or supply vehicles the Russians have lost.  What I can tell you is that on the ground in the north, they continue to experience delays.  They continue to experience a stiff resistance.  And they continue to experience logistics and sustainment challenges of their own, that have slowed them down.

But I couldn't give you a vehicle count.  Look, the other thing is, even if I could, it wouldn't be smart for me to do that.  Because every day the Ukrainians are fighting.  Every day, they're in combat for their own country.  And every day, they do what they can to continue to slow down Russian advances.

So, whatever, even if I had a number, whatever I would give you today, would probably not be good tomorrow.

Q:  All right, but they're destroying armor.  Is that right?  Can we say that?  Can you say that?

MR. KIRBY:  I think you can see for yourself when you just look at the imagery coming out of there the damage that they have been able to do to some Russian vehicles.

Q:  OK.  Thank you.

MR. KIRBY:  Demetri.

Q:  Hi, John.  You said that nearly 100 percent of the Russian combat power is now in Ukraine.  So, I'm curious, what route the new forces coming in recent days?  Do you expect a fresh Russian effort to take Kyiv now that all their forces are in the country?  And then secondly, you talked about increased use of long-range fires.  Are you also seeing increased use of Russian combat aircraft or other kinds of warplanes in Ukraine or has that remained kind of static?

MR. KIRBY:  On the routes, Demetri, most of what we've seen introduced in the last several days were introduced from the north of Ukraine.  I think that's about the best way I can characterize that.  And on Russian aircraft, I would say the airspace over Ukraine remains contested.  The Russians have not achieved air superiority over the whole country.  It is dynamic.  It changes day to day.

But Ukrainian aircraft are flying.  Russian aircraft are flying.  Missiles from both are also in the airspace very contested.  I don't have the Russian Air Operations Plan.  So, I can't tell you with any specificity on any given day, how many of their aircraft are up and flying and what missions are conducting.  But clearly, and you can again -- you guys can see this for yourself.

And in the imagery coming out of Ukraine.  I mean, the Russians continue to be able to fly their aircraft, but it is contested.  And it is contested by the Ukrainians.  Let's see Oscar from the Polish Press Agency.

Q:  Thanks.  Thanks.  So, I wanted to ask, Dr. Karlin, recently said in Congress that you are going to have to review the -- redo the global posture review in light of the new realities.  And some lawmakers and governments today (inaudible) have been pushing for permanent U.S. presence on the Eastern Flank.  Is that something that's being considered?

And if and when could we see the results of this overhaul?  Thank you.

MR. KIRBY:  I think you might be misunderstanding a little bit of what Dr.  Karlin said.  She -- I don't think she said we have to redo the global posture view.  She said that certainly in the wake of this invasion, it would be wise for us to take a look at our European posture.  That makes a lot of sense, given what we're seeing right now and at the appropriate time we'll do that.

It's not the time now to be looking at redrawing the posture map of Europe. Right now, we're focused on making sure that we can better bolster the capabilities of the alliance.  And that's what we're doing, including with those 500 troops I just talked about today.  But certainly, we would be taking into consideration it over the long term, whether or not European posture does need any adjustments.

No decisions have been made, about changing any permanent presence in Europe, whether it's in Latvia or anywhere else.  So, we're focused on making sure that we can continue to help Ukraine defend itself and continue to make sure that NATO can defend itself.  That's what our focus is on right now.  Jared, from Al Monitor.

Q:  Hi John.  Just wondering if you give us an assessment, how effective has U.S.  and Western support to Ukrainian resistance been slowing down the Russians?  Thanks.

MR. KIRBY:  All I can tell you, Jared, is that we know that the material that we have been sending into Ukraine.  And it's not just us, it's 14 other countries.  But we know that, that material is getting into the hands of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

And we do know that they're using it, and they're using it quite effectively.  The results you can see for yourself.  I think I'd again, just leave it at that.  Meghann, Military Times?

Q:  The last figure you have for us about the number of U.S.  troops who've been put on heightened alert to possibly go to Europe was between 10,000 and 12,000.  Is that the same now?  Or have there been more troops put on that alert?

MR. KIRBY:  I know of no other units that were put on additional PTDO Meghann.  Caitlin, Stars and Stripes?

Q:  John, thank you.  Yes, I'm wanting to talk a little bit more about the jet and Poland situation.  Can you talk a little bit about the logistics and the problems and challenges that the U.S. would face to do that backfill?  Jen Psaki, today talked a little bit about, you know, talking about where the planes would depart from?  Could they fly to NATO airspace?  Can you talk a little bit about those problems?

MR. KIRBY:  I would just say again, we're very early on in a discussion here about a possibility.  It's not even a done deal at this point.  But it's just a discussion about the possibility of should there be a nation that would want to give aircraft to the Ukrainians and would ask for a backfill from the United States.  Should that happen, what would that look like?  How would we do that?

And we don't have all the answers right now.  I understand the great interest in it.  But the truth is we're very early on in in a discussion right now about what the possibilities of that could be.  We just don't have enough granularity to be able to make tough -- easy decisions right now about how many aircraft?  Where they would come from?  How they would get to where they're going?  We're just not there yet.

Look, I think it's -- we should all just kind of step back just a little bit here.  And rather than get dragged down into the idea of backfill of aircraft, just take a look writ large about what's going on here.  Ukraine is in a significant fight for its country and its citizens.  The United States, and many other nations are doing a lot to try to help them in that fight.  And President Zelensky has shown great courage and poise and leadership by staying in Kiev and truly leading his country through this.

And what I can tell you is that from the United States perspective, certainly from the Department of Defense, but I'd say across the administration.  We're going to continue to look for ways to help Ukraine defend itself.  We're not always going to have all the answers in the moment that they become news.  But it doesn't mean that we're not going to take them seriously and consider them and look at them and see what can be done.

The other thing that we're doing, and I hope it's clear, in the brief announcement I had today.  We're going to continue to look for ways to bolster NATO.  To look for ways innovative ways, creative ways to make sure that Mr. Putin understands how seriously we take Article Five.  And how seriously we take our collective security requirements inside that alliance.  How seriously we consider the importance of alliances and partnerships.

We've invested a lot of time in the last year in revitalizing alliances and partnerships in Europe and around the world.  And I think you're really seeing that bear fruit right now.  I just think it's important to keep a little bit bigger perspective on this, and not just get dragged down into the particular headline of the day.

Q:  All right.  Well...

MR. KIRBY:  Yes.  Last question.

Q:  Thanks, John.  You know that bombardment has been increasing in Ukraine.  A senior defense officials said that earlier.  We also know that the Russians used bombers and other aircraft attack ground targets, at least earlier on in the invasion.  Can you say at this point what role Russian aircraft seemed to be playing in the bombardment of these populations...

MR. KIRBY:  Again, it's difficult for me to get into a tactical level briefing of what Russian operations look like.  We don't have perfect visibility.  What I can tell you, Matt, is that we continue to see Russian air forces participate in this invasion.  They continue to launch weapons.  They continue to conduct attacks in support of Russian objectives inside Ukraine.

I can't tell you on any given day, what that looks like, how many aircraft?  How many sorties?  How many munitions dropped?  We don't have that -- we just don't have that information.  But they clearly are and continue to be a part of the Russian Arsenal that's being applied against the people of Ukraine, no doubt about that.  What I would tell you is, and I think I said this last week, I think it remains true today.  We aren't seeing the level of integration between air and ground operations that you would expect to see.  In other words, they're -- not everything they're doing on the ground is fully being supported by what they're doing in the air.  There does seem to be some disconnects there.

So, it's not clear to us how significant their air operations are being in helping alleviate the lack of progress that they're having on the ground.  Because they don't seem to be fully coordinated between air and ground elements.  But beyond that, I really -- I couldn't give you much more specifics.  OK.

Q:  John.  John you just told Demetri that forces are coming in from the north.  Did you just mean for Russia or also from Belarus?

MR. KIRBY:  I think we -- over the last few days we've seen them come in from both.

Q:  OK.  Thank you.

MR. KIRBY:  Yes.  OK.  Thanks, everybody.

Q:  Thank you.

Right

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Monday, September 7, 2020

Fox News Halftime Report -- Five key counties to watch

Fox News Halftime Report

Sept. 7, 2020
By Chris Stirewalt


FIVE KEY COUNTIES TO WATCH
Labor Day has long been the traditional kickoff for the fall campaign season, especially in presidential years.

Though it may sound odd in this era of goons drunk on toxic tribalism brawling in our city streets and self-interested doomsaying about the imminent death of our glorious old republic, this was once considered something of a time of fun and frivolity.

The tradition of "treating" – rewarding one's partisan supporters with free food and lots of ardent beverages – added a great deal to the fun. Those pints of Old Crow handed out to coal miners and steelworkers for their votes in the middle of the last century had pedigrees dating back to colonial days. Marching bands, lots to eat and drink… sounds kind of like a college football tailgate.

But what really made things more fun was that quite often both sides were genuinely excited about the future.

Think about this: In 1963, as it looked increasingly like Arizona Sen. Barry Goldwater would capture the Republican nomination the next year, he and his good friend and former Senate colleague, President John Kennedy, hatched a plan to campaign together in 1964.

Goldwater and Kennedy would barnstorm around the country for a series of speeches and debates "like politicians should do," Goldwater said wistfully after Kennedy was assassinated. "Standing up to state our points, our issues, and then debating each other."

We will never know what might have been because Lyndon Johnson, never content to win when he could win dirty, smeared Goldwater as a lunatic bent on nuclear war and a massive escalation in Vietnam (the same escalation Johnson would undertake).

But just imagine, if you can, what it was like in America when people could actually look forward to election season.

When one regards our self-absorbed political class and much-abused civic institutions, it may be hard these days to be optimistic about our political system. But our experience has taught us that if you want to find good reason for hope, look less at those who want to be elected and more at the electorate.

Bearing that very much in mind, let's take this day's labors and devote them to breaking down five counties that may prove decisive this year, or at least offer us some insights on how the race is shaping up.

You'll find below, along with some Labor Day tidbits, a brief look at what's driving the voters in these key counties and how what we know about them shapes our understanding of the contest as a whole.

Please enjoy. Politics is too important to take so daggone seriously.

THE RULEBOOK: WORKING CLASS
"Will not the merchant understand and be disposed to cultivate as far as may be proper the interests of the mechanic and manufacturing arts to which his commerce is so nearly allied?" – Alexander Hamilton dismissing calls that Congress should reserve set numbers of seats for each socioeconomic class, Federalist No. 35

TIME OUT: DREAM JOB
Detroit Free Press: "Walter Reuther is known as the man who gave birth to the [United Auto Workers]… But … he was a noted civil rights leader, even standing alongside Martin Luther King Jr. during the famous 1963 'I Have a Dream' speech… Reuther was born in Wheeling, West Virginia, on Sept. 1, 1907. …railroad cars would pass through taking people north to jobs in industrial cities such as Detroit. Young Reuther noticed [Black] people were made to sit in the train's cattle cars… 'He felt it was an injustice to treat other human beings like that.' [his son-in-law said]  … "Before the most famous speech of the century, 'I have a dream,' Walter Reuther gave a stirring speech to the crowd,' [Prof. Harley Shaiken] said. 'He believed in it deeply, that civil rights would benefit all UAW members and he believed in the values behind the march and he was willing to do whatever he could to help it succeed.'"
 
Flag on the play? - Email us at HALFTIMEREPORT@FOXNEWS.COM with your tips, comments or questions.
 
SCOREBOARD
NATIONAL HEAD-TO-HEAD AVERAGE
Trump: 42.6 percent 
Biden: 51.2 percent 
Size of lead: Biden by 8.6 points 
Change from one week ago: Biden no change, Trump ↓0.4 points 
[Average includes: CNN: Trump 43% - Biden 51%; Quinnipiac University: Trump 42% - Biden 52%; USA Today/Suffolk: Trump 43% - Biden 50%; Grinnell/Selzer: Trump 41% - Biden 49%; ABC News/WaPo: Trump 44% - Biden 54%.
 
BATTLEGROUND POWER RANKINGS
(270 electoral votes needed to win)
Toss-up: (109 electoral votes): Wisconsin (10), Ohio (18), Florida (29), Arizona (11), Pennsylvania (20), North Carolina (15), Iowa (6)
Lean R/Likely R: (180 electoral votes)
Lean D/Likely D: (249 electoral votes)
 
TRUMP JOB PERFORMANCE
Average approval: 42.8 percent 
Average disapproval: 53.6 percent 
Net Score: -10.8 points 
Change from one week ago: ↑ 0.8 points 
[Average includes: CNN: 41% approve - 54% disapprove; Quinnipiac University: 43% approve - 54% disapprove; USA Today/Suffolk: 45% approve - 52% disapprove; Grinnell/Selzer: 43% approve - 51% disapprove; ABC News/WaPo: 42% approve - 57% disapprove.] 
 
GOT A WILD PITCH? READY TO THROW A FASTBALL?
We've brought "From the Bleachers" to video on demand thanks to Fox Nation. Each Wednesday and Friday, Producer Brianna McClelland will put Politics Editor Chris Stirewalt to the test with your questions on everything about politics, government and American history – plus whatever else is on your mind. Sign up for the Fox Nation streaming service here and send your best questions to HALFTIMEREPORT@FOXNEWS.COM.
 
BLADEN COUNTY, NORTH CAROLINA
Population: 35,722
Ethnicity: White (non-Hispanic) - 60%; Black - 34%; Hispanic - 8%
Coronavirus cases reported: 764
Median household income: $32,378; 51.3% of the national average. 
College-educated adults: 15%
Major employers: Meatpacking, textiles, local schools/government 
Recent results: '00 - Gore 53.9%; '04 - Bush 50.1%; '08 - Obama 50.7%; '12 - Obama 50.5%; '16 - Trump 53%
 
Remember former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards? No, not the icky stuff. The "Two Americas" class-struggle business that once made him the darling of the labor left. And when he mounted his two runs for president, he had places like Bladen County very much in mind as the bottom half of that split. Textile imports and the end of tobacco's heyday spelled serious trouble for counties like these. Fayetteville and Ft. Bragg lie to its north and Wilmington and the Outer Banks lie to its south. Bladen County is large in size but lightly populated.

What's driving voters - While voters here clearly responded to President Trump's protectionist populism in 2016, just as they had with Barack Obama before him, the coronavirus has meant major headaches here for meatpacker Smithfield and its workers. And like many poor counties, the challenge of reopening schools has been a tough one.

What to watch for - Though small in population itself, Bladen County looks a lot like much of rural and exurban North Carolina. With a high concentration of working-class White voters, the Trump campaign is hoping to win again on a platform of anti-China policies and outage over urban lawlessness. The Biden campaign is looking to win back some traditional labor Democrats among White voters, but more crucially see massive turnout among Black residents that helped drive back-to-back wins for Obama. Another big issue here is voter fraud. The county was the scene of the most significant voter fraud case in recent memory when a Republican operative was found to have rigged ballots in an effort to deliver a win in the 2018 House election here.
 
What you didn't know - Old timers here will remember stories around the campfire about "the Beast of Bladenboro" that famously terrorized local farmers over the New Years' week of 1953 into 1954 – killing nine dogs and some livestock. Witnesses who saw the beast during or after its attacks described the animal as large, sleek, black and stealthy. Most chillingly, the dogs' owners said the dead animals had been drained of their blood. The story became a regional sensation and hundreds of men turned up night after night for hunting parties. There was no conclusive killing or capture of the quarry. Locals have embraced the story as cherished local lore.
 
PINELLAS COUNTY, FLORIDA
Population: 974,996
Ethnicity: White (non-Hispanic) - 74%; Black - 11%; Hispanic - 10%
Coronavirus cases reported: 20,425
Median household income: $51,454; 81.4% of the national average
College-educated adults: 31%
Major employers: Finance, media, manufacturing, tourism
Recent results: '00 - Gore 50.4%; '04 - Bush 49.6%; '08 - Obama 53.4%; '12 - Obama 52.1%; '16 - Trump 48.1%
 
On the Gulf of Mexico side of Tampa Bay, Pinellas County is one of America's true beauty spots. It's also one of the most reliably unreliable counties when it comes to politics. In 2018, it split its support in House races, but went heavily for the Democrat in the Senate race. Voters backed a Democrat for governor, but Republicans for attorney general and state treasurer. What else would you expect of a county that has picked the winner of the national popular vote in every election from 1980 to 2012? Pinellas reflects the eternal challenge of Central Florida politics. With a state as red as Alabama to the north and one as blue as New York to the south, the more moderate middle part of the state is always the decider. And in a state always so narrowly divided as Florida, every voter in the region will be desperately sought.

What's driving voters - Like much of Florida, Pinellas has been hit hard by the coronavirus with nearly 700 reported deaths and massive economic disruption. The reopening of schools in late August has been a fraught topic, especially as neighboring Hillsborough County, home to Tampa, opted for distance learning instead. Satisfaction with the GOP's message on the virus and the economy will be the main driver. 
 
What to watch for - Older voters were key to Trump's 2016 victory in Florida and in Pinellas County. While certainly a key target for the Trump campaign's culture war efforts, these voters are also the most at risk from the virus. Which message will connect? Plus, how will those folks of similar age to Trump and Biden respond to attacks on Biden's cognitive powers?
 
What you didn't know - When one thinks of nature in Florida, beaches and palm trees likely come to mind. The name Pinellas is derived from the Spanish words Punta Pinal which translates to "point of pines." This name was an accurate description of this area of Florida when it was discovered in 1528 by Panfilo de Narvaez. Today the Heritage Village, known for its programs and exhibits on the area's local history, is the home to the Shirley McPherson Native Plant trail. Visitors can walk the trail through the pine flatwoods habitat that showcases the various plants that were used by early inhabitants of the peninsula.
 
LUZERNE COUNTY, PENNSYLVANIA
Population:
 317,417
Ethnicity: White (non-Hispanic) - 79%; Hispanic - 14%; Black - 7%
Coronavirus cases reported: 3,882
Median household income: $51,646; 81.8% of the national average
College-educated adults: 23%
Major employers: Government/public education, health services, retail
Recent results: '00 - Gore 52%; '04 - Kerry 51.2%; '08 - Obama 53.3%; '12 - Obama 51.5%; '16 - Trump 57.9%

If you wanted just one county to explain the historic upset of the 2016 election, Luzerne County might be the one. Home to Wilke-Barre in the long-ago industrial heartland of Eastern Pennsylvania, Luzerne is just south of Joe Biden's hometown of Scranton and about equidistant to New York and Philadelphia. Until 2016, the county seemed to be making a pretty smooth transition from blue-collar union Democrat to suburban Democrat thanks to an influx of folks looking to get out of the big cities. Luzerne is among the counties nationally with the greatest swing from 2012 to 2016 at 11 points. When Democrats picked Biden, places like Luzerne were very much in their reasoning.
 
What's driving voters - Was 2016 about a fundamental realignment of the region's politics or was it a one-off based on two unusual candidates and one unusual election? With Biden on the ballot we're getting ready to find out. Except for Sensate candidate Lou Barletta, who represented the county in Congress, Democrats had the advantage here in 2018.
 
What to watch for - This part of Pennsylvania holds totemic significance for both candidates, each of whom claim to be the tribune of the industrial workers who once populated places like these. You can expect both campaigns to die hard here, whatever the polls say.
 
What you didn't know - Wilkes-Barre, the county's seat, is reportedly the location of one of Babe Ruth's longest home runs. Wilkes-Barre Citizens' Voice: "On October 12, 1926, Babe Ruth visited Wilkes-Barre's Artillery Park to play in an exhibition game between Hughestown and Larksville. Suiting up for Hughestown, the Yankee slugger challenged Larksville's hurler Ernie Corkran to throw him his 'best stuff'—a fastball right down the heart of the plate. Corkran obliged and Ruth crushed the pitch into deep right field. When the ball cleared the fence, a good 400 feet away from home plate, it was still rising. It finally landed in Kirby Park on the far side of a high school running track. Ruth himself was so impressed by the feat that he asked for his homer to be measured. Originally estimated at 650 feet, the prodigious blast is considered to be the longest home run in baseball's storied history."

OZAUKEE COUNTY, WISCONSIN 
Population: 89,221
Ethnicity: White (non-Hispanic) - 91%; Black - 2%; Hispanic - 3%
Coronavirus cases reported: 1,089
Median household income: $82,807; 131% of the national average 
College-educated adults: 48%
Major employers: Hospital, electrical services, higher education, metalworks
Recent results: '00 - Bush 65.2%; '04 - Bush 65.8%; '08 - McCain 60.3%; '12 - Romney 64.6%; '16 - Trump 55.8%
 
Wealthy, well-educated and blessed with strong institutions, you could make an argument for Ozaukee County as America's showplace suburb. Perched on beautiful Lake Michigan north of Milwaukee, it has for decades been a paragon of the post-WWII suburban ideal. And, like most wealthy suburbs, it has been a bastion for the Republican Party, backing the red team in every election other than 1964 -- and will certainly do so again this year. The question is by how much. Just as Trump did better in the working-class precincts south and west of the city than a typical Republican, he fared worse among the traditional GOP constituencies in places like Mequon. On the state level, the county is as Republican as it ever was, with red team candidates still clocking 65 percent of the vote or more. But as 2016's presidential campaign and 2018's Senate showed, there's a serious drop-off on the federal level.
 
What's driving voters - Much of Democrats' message this year is aimed squarely at voters in places like Ozaukee County. When you see Biden portrayed as a good man and a moderate interested in bipartisan solutions, that's all about voters like these. That's because without much energy for minor party candidates, Democrats need voters to make the leap all the way over to supporting the blue team this year. Trump may not be popular personally here, but it takes a lot to reverse decades of partisan affiliation. With urban unrest south of the city, though, Republicans are hoping to get their traditional supporters here to stay red in order to send a message to Democrats on the state and local level.
 
What to watch for - Gov. Tony Evers and other state and local Democrats have their work cut out for them in dealing with the racial unrest in metro Milwaukee. Peace and unity would be a huge boost to Biden while lingering unrest would surely help the GOP keep these voters in the fold.
 
What you didn't know - As would befit such a patriotic spot, Ozaukee County is the birthplace of Flag Day. Teacher Bernard Cigrand instituted the observance in his classroom in Fredonia on June 14, 1885 – the anniversary of the official adoption of the U.S. flag in 1777. Even after he left teaching and became a dentist, Cigrand stuck with it and gained increasing public support for his dream of a Flag Day holiday. It wouldn't be until 1948, 17 years after his death, that the law establishing the official observance was passed.
 
MARICOPA COUNTY, ARIZONA  
Population: 4,485,414
Ethnicity: White (non-Hispanic) - 55%; Hispanic - 31%; Black - 6%
Coronavirus cases reported: 136,000
Median household income: $61,606; 97.5% of the national average
College-educated adults: 32%
Major employers: State/local government, healthcare, finance 
Recent results: '00 - Bush 53.2%; '04 - Bush 56.9%; '08 - McCain 53.4%; '12 - Romney 53.5%; '16 - Trump 48.1%
 
Maricopa County, home to Phoenix, is big. Real big. It has more people than every county in the country except for the ones containing L.A., Chicago and Houston. It has more than half of all the people in Arizona. And until recently, it was the largest reliably Republican county in America. But that is changing. In 2018 the county went strongly for incumbent Republican Gov. Doug Ducey but also went decisively for Democratic Senate candidate Kyrsten Sinema. Part of the change is likely demographic as Americans from across the country have poured in to take advantage of the state's growing economy and warm winters. But some of it is probably about the shift in the GOP. Arizona has been a bastion of what was once called "Western conservatism," as typified by Arizona Sen. Barry Goldwater. It's a small-government, liberty-first brand that may not sit well with the new nationalism and big spending Republicanism now popular with the national GOP.
 
What's driving voters - Arizona seemed to be getting off easily on the coronavirus until mid-summer when the virus devastated the state. Much blame has fallen on Ducey for failing to take the precautions other leaders have. But Trump and the GOP's struggles in Arizona predated the pandemic. The long-term stakes for the parties are high. If Maricopa County goes blue for keeps, Arizona and the GOP's traditional pathway to electoral success look very much in doubt.
 
What to watch for - Immigration politics have long been the bread and butter of Arizona elections. The longtime success and ultimate failure of the county's former sheriff, Joe Arpaio, is testament to that fact. While Trump has talked precious little about the issue that he rode to the White House four years ago, it may not be avoidable in Arizona. Though it certainly cuts both ways, it would be an improvement for Trump over the coronavirus question.
 
What you didn't know - The Old West may be gone, but the folks in Maricopa County allow it to live on. At the Silver Pony Cocktail Lounge cowboys and cowgirls can ride in and tie off their horses at the hitching post offered for patrons. Only six miles south of downtown Phoenix, it's a one of a kind watering hole.
 
AUDIBLE: LIKE A JOB
"America recognizes no aristocracy save those who work. The badge of service is the sole requirement for admission to the ranks of our nobility." – President Calvin Coolidge in an address to labor leaders on Labor Day in 1924.
  
FROM THE BLEACHERS
"You have stated that parties are not ideological, so is that the difference with a populist that they actually believe what they are saying? For me it's about abortion, I want to vote for the person that is against any type of abortion, no matter what. What I take away from you talking about parties, is that I should disregard every word they are saying because they don't mean it. Is voting for a populist the only way to vote for someone real?" – Mike OwensResaca, Ga.
 
[Ed. note: Let me make it even worse for you, Mr. Owens: Populism isn't ideological either! Individuals and interest groups have ideologies. Parties try to win elections. Republicans didn't produce a campaign platform this year for the first time in their 164 years of presidential nominations -- but that only makes more obvious what both parties' platforms really say: "Here is a list of positions we think will attract enough voters without offending too many activists who swarm our primaries pushing broadly unpopular positions." The GOP has just cut to the chase this year and basically said that it supports winning. Platforms are not governing documents, but public declarations aimed at keeping ideological voters on board – ransoms paid to the party faithful who demand their own pet issues be addressed in exchange for their time, money and support. But as we saw the swing in the GOP from 2012 to 2016, the parties are quite willing to reinvent themselves to suit the needs of the moment. The parties can be vehicles for ideologies, but that's only incidental of the purpose of the organizations, which is to obtain and maintain power for themselves. Populism, on the other hand, isn't ideological at all. Populism is what we call it when a group of voters, believing that they have been victimized by an unfair system, attack the system itself. Populism is about grievance, and whether that's Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez or Donald Trump Jr., the concept is the same: Let us rise up against our oppressors and end their tyranny. One says those oppressors are on Wall Street, the other says they are at the New York Times, but the construct is the same. Populism is a style, not substance. So, where does that leave you? It sounds like you would never support a pro-choice candidate, but the Republican Party often has. But you're not a likely pickup for the Democratic Party because they almost never back pro-life candidates. It seems you might be like the 21 percent of respondents in our most recent poll who expressed no party affiliation or only mild ones. You guys need to weigh each candidate on the issues that matter to you and make the best choice (or no choice) that suits you. A party is not a reliable custodian of one's beliefs, but rather an instrument through which voters can choose to advance those beliefs. Populism is just one method of trying to advance one's beliefs, left or right.]
 
"Hey Chris, your hate is showing [by including the 'Read it here' link to the Atlantic article in Friday's Halftime Report]. Since when does an Anonymous Sourced article deserve your publication? Where is the article telling a dozen ON THE RECORD witnesses debunk the leftist smear campaign. Fair and Balanced!" – Al DiStefano, Cumming, Ga.
 
[Ed. note: I don't want to get on hip waders to delve into your characterizations here, Mr. DiStefano, but I think you should have read the article before the link that has you so upset. The headline was, in all capital letters, "Trump denies insulting America's war dead, POWs." If the excerpt of the president's vigorous denunciations did not satisfy you, you could have clicked through the link and you would have been bathed in the warming glow of the many quotes from people agreeing with you. You have been a long-time correspondent and we have at times gone to lengths to explain how this note works and what we're doing here. But one more time: Our goal is not political persuasion, but to be of service to people following the election. We would, therefore, want to make it easy for people to read the article that everyone was talking about and reach their judgements themselves. We think you are up to that task. Hang in there in these closing weeks. It's just another election and it will all work out. Believe in America.]
 
"Between [Thursday] and [Friday] morning, we heard of another report bashing our President.  This time because of his-reported-disdain for America's soldiers, both fallen and active duty (as evident by the reported wondering that how come the then Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff joined in the Military, given that he was so smart!). And of course all of this was vehemently denied by the president. But while this controversy is-as of now-the latest, news of this sort, and denial or glossing over has been aplenty. That got me wondering - is President Trump the most controversial President in History?  Are you aware of any other President generating as much controversy since the Declaration of Independence 244 years ago?" – Shardul Pandya, North Chesterfield, Va.
 
[Ed. note: As is so often the case, I think it would be pretty hard to top Abraham Lincoln on that one. I mean, I know the folks in blue states really don't like President Trump, but so far, none have opened fire on any federal installations. Lincoln's successor, Andrew Johnson, was also hugely controversial as he battled the Radical Republicans in Congress all the way through America's first impeachment. I'd also say that both Richard Nixon and Lyndon Johnson were at least as "controversial" than Trump in their own ways. The collapse of Johnson's Vietnam strategy in 1968 and Nixon's abuses of power to win a second term divided and agitated the nation in ways more profound than the fight over whether Trump is fit for office. So many of the controversies around Trump have very short durations. They're intense bursts of outrage that quickly fade and are then replaced by the next one. That speaks in part to the nature of the controversies, which does buy in bulk, but also to the highly distracted American partisan electorate that can't ever seem to settle on what it is that matters except that they beat the other guy.]

Share your color commentary: Email us at HALFTIMEREPORT@FOXNEWS.COM and please make sure to include your name and hometown.
 
IT'S A GOOD SIGN THAT HE LOVES HIS WORK
WMTV: "The mind behind the punchy signs on state and interstate highway is Jon Riemann, a communication manager with the Wisconsin Department of Transportation. 'It's the most fun part of my job, but it's also the smallest part of my job, so that's a little unfortunate,' he said, with a laugh. His work ranges from 'Hocus Pocus drive with focus' to 'That's the temperature not the speed limit.' With interests in 'wordplay and wordsmithing,' Riemann said he considers himself a creative person. But he also gets help from a committee, which he often calls the 'Creative Traffic Safety Message Committee, depending on how creative [they] get.' … 'It gets people to talk about safety. It's great when we'd hear people say, 'I'd talk about it with my friends.'' … 'Baby Yoda always rides in a car seat. Be safe he will,' Riemann said, giving us a preview of what's to come. He added, 'I will not attempt to do a Yoda [impression].'"
 
AND NOW, A WORD FROM CHARLES 
"…the catastrophe that awaits everyone from a single false move, wrong turn, fatal encounter. Every life has such a moment. What distinguishes us is whether – and how – we ever come back." – Charles Krauthammer (1950-2018), writing in Washington Post on Aug. 17, 2007.


 



Friday, May 26, 2023

Australia Letter: An Indigenous perspective on Australian media

Stan Grant's departure has sparked a conversation about race and racism in the media.
LETTER 308

'Different Standards': The Struggle of Indigenous Journalists in Australia

By Yan Zhuang

reporter

Stan Grant announced that he would step back from his television hosting duties after receiving "relentless" racial abuse.Jason McCawley/Getty Images
The Australia Letter is a weekly newsletter from our Australia bureau. This week's issue is written by Yan Zhuang, a reporter in Sydney.

This week, I wrote about the conversation about race and racism in the Australian media industry that had been set off by the announcement from Stan Grant that he would step back from his television hosting duties. Mr. Grant, one of Australia's most high-profile journalists, said that he and his family had received "relentless" racial abuse after he spoke about colonial-era violence as part of the Australian Broadcasting Corporation's coverage of the coronation of King Charles III.

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I spoke to Narelda Jacobs, who hosts Network 10's midday news program, about her experience as a Noongar woman who has worked in media for two decades, the extra challenges and burdens Indigenous journalists face, and how she hoped Mr. Grant's departure would be a "watershed moment" for the industry.

What she said stuck with me, so I thought I'd include some of her remarks that didn't make it into the article. (Quotes have been edited for length and clarity).

On the heavy price Indigenous journalists pay for challenging mainstream perspectives

The king's coronation is really a perfect example. Craig Foster said similar things as Stan, and yet people didn't come after him in the same way. There are different standards that apply for First Nations people.The media in Australia has been unbalanced throughout history. And this goes to anyone who is providing a balanced view in an industry that has never been balanced: people come after you. And that's exactly what happened to Stan. He was trying to be the balance and then he got attacked for it for.

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When you start out, you have to toe the line. You have to do what you're told. It's only when you are in Stan's position that you can say no. But then, you do it, but at what cost? Because you speak your truth to power, but then you sit back and wait to see whether you're going to be public enemy No. 1.

On why conversations around race and colonialism are so fraught in Australia

The really hard truth is that for a lot of intergenerationally wealthy families, the wealth began because the land was stolen. That's a really difficult thing for people to confront. It's much easier to believe in the romanticized view of colonialism in Australia.

Australians kind of have this view of Australia as being a really fair country, like everybody can walk into a hospital and be treated. But for First Nations people, we've seen coronial inquiries where people are turned away from emergency with Panadol and they go home to die, or people die in custody that shouldn't have even been there.

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On being an Indigenous journalist and the constant concern that your words won't be interpreted in good faith

Every conversation does come with a cultural load because you don't know how it's going to be perceived. Perception is dictated by the caption that goes with the story, the headline that goes with the story. And they're often the only things that people will read, they won't read the body of the story. So that's the risk, that you'll be taken out of context, your words will be skewed.

You make these comments for the greater good because you want the country to be better and to try to progress and actually, just to keep in line with the rest of the world — but it takes a huge toll. And you just have to be fit and ready for the fight. But at what cost? I guess the question is always: At what cost?

On the role of the media in fanning the flames

I think that's what's at the heart of the problem, what sets the trolls off: It's the opinions that they've read about what's happened, a lot of the time. They don't listen to the original thing that Stan, or someone else, has said. They don't see it in context.

It's for Australians to stand up and say, I don't want to read this garbage. And it's for people like Stan to stand up and say, 'We've got a problem in this country, in the media,' and recognize that 'I might have been a part of it, I need to step back.' We all need to have a good hard look at ourselves.

Now for this week's stories:

Doing the Nutbush in Birdsville, Australia, in 2021.Marc Grimwade/Getty Images

Around The Times

Local barbecue delicacies at a street market that is now a popular tourist destination in Zibo, China.Qilai Shen for The New York Times

On another note: Last week, we asked readers what they wanted to see from the Australia Letter going forward. We received an avalanche of responses — thank you! We won't be able to respond to everyone, but rest assured, we are eagerly reading every email.

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