Thursday, June 1, 2023

PANTONE SUMMER SHADES


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Every Crisis Has a Winner

Adam O'Dell,
Chief Investment Strategist

Markets are competitive. When every decision comes down to something as binary as “buy or sell,” each winner must come at a loser’s expense.

Yet at first glance, there are zero winners in the banking crisis this year.

Silicon Valley Bank executives certainly lost — their company (worth $212 billion), their reputation and likely some portion of their minds. Executives at First Republic, Signature and Credit Suisse likely dealt with similar situations.

Bank depositors, while the FDIC will eventually make them whole, lost temporary but prolonged access to their funds. In the case of Silicon Valley Bank, who catered to the tech startups which so desperately need funds right now, this loss was even more dire.

The FDIC also lost by using up $22 billion of its recovery reserves. And now, banks have been assessed to refill the fund. (Those banks lost out, too…)

And speaking of losses, buy-and-hold investors are right up there with the C-suite at these failed banks.

Long before the bank went bust, Silicon Valley Bank stock slumped from heights of $755 per share all the way down to $100 before it was delisted. That’s an 85% loss … and tens of billions in market cap value completely destroyed.

First Republic fared even worse, losing over 98% of its value in the same time… Nearly $40 billion, down to less than $1 billion in just over a year.

So if all these actors lost, who could’ve won?

Traders, that’s who.

There’s been more than enough ink spilled on why we’re in a banking crisis.

That’s why I want to focus today on the small number of people who profited from this crisis, and previous crises, and how you can do the same with far less risk than they ever took.

How to Profit From the Banking Chaos by Going "Off Wall Street"

Adam O’Dell recently closed out a third of his position on a trade for 76% profits in just two weeks. All he did was capitalize on a major flaw in the banking sector using an “off Wall Street” trade. He believes many more opportunities will be up for grabs in the coming months. Go here for details.

One Man’s Trash…

Amid all the chaos of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank failing this year, some smart short sellers saw the risks beforehand … and turned it into a windfall profit.

According to financial analytics company Ortex, hedge funds were sitting on unrealized profits of $7.25 billion over the course of March. That made it the most profitable month for short sellers since the 2008 financial crisis.

And in early May, as First Republic went down, short sellers pocketed another $1.2 billion.

In all these situations, one man’s trash quickly became another’s treasure.

If you’re unfamiliar, short sellers bet against stocks and make money when their prices fall.

Now, opportunities like these don’t come around often. Markets generally go up — prolonged bear markets like we’re in now are rare throughout history.

That’s why short sellers focus on what are often called special situations — unique events where a confluence of factors come together and form a “perfect storm.”

With Silicon Valley Bank and other recent bank failures, it was the rapid rise of interest rates coupled with a slowdown in the tech sector. High interest rates damaged the banks’ bond portfolios. Struggling tech companies needed to withdraw more funds than SVB had available.

This became clear to most people only in hindsight. But for smart short sellers, this was a special situation they saw developing and capitalized on.

It’s far from the first time this has happened, and it certainly won’t be the last. In 2008, just a small number of short sellers saw the risks in the subprime mortgage market, understanding how quickly the contagion could spread to the stock market and even outside the U.S. That’s how Michael Burry famously made $800 million in his bets against the credit default swap market on mortgage bonds.

It goes back even further. George Soros “broke the bank of England” by shorting the pound with such volume, he forced Britain to back out of an effort to peg its currency to other European economies. That trade netted him $1 billion, one of the biggest profits of all time.

And we can even look to Paul Tudor Jones, who made $100 million in a single day by betting against stocks during the Black Monday market crash of 1987.

Now, I’m not recommending you go out and start trying to short stocks yourself for two reasons:

The market’s long-term bullish bias is working against you.
It’s incredibly risky for individual investors.

Shorting stocks involves borrowing shares and putting them up for sale. If the stock goes down, you can buy back the shares you sold for a profit. If it goes up, though … you’re exposed to unlimited risk. This can and has bankrupted many a trader who didn’t manage their risk well.

However, everything I’m seeing says that there will be more bank crises to come. Interest rates are still a huge problem for small and midsize regional banks, especially. And my research shows that nearly 300 publicly traded financial stocks are at high risk of extreme losses in the coming months.

I want you to be a winner, not a loser, in what’s to come.

So here’s what I want you to do…

The “Off Wall Street” Short

Like I said, shorting stocks is incredibly risky for individual investors who don’t have the bankrolls of multibillion-dollar hedge funds.

At the same time, the short opportunity we’re presented with today is one you cannot afford to ignore.

I’ve identified a number of special situations in the banking crisis right now — just as Paul Tudor Jones, George Soros, Michael Burry and many others have before me.

But I will NOT recommend any of my subscribers short these stocks. The risks are far too great.

Instead, I’m recommending an “off Wall Street” trade that few people know about … or if they do, they don’t know how to take advantage of it.

This trade isn’t much different from buying a share of stock in your brokerage account. However, it has the potential to rise multiples faster than any stock position, even when prices fall and especially in times of volatility like we’re in now.

To give you an idea of the potential, let me walk you through a trade I recently recommended to my subscribers.

Back on April 18, I made my case for why the mainstream media was too early on calling an end to the banking crisis. The price action in a certain niche of the banking sector wasn’t reflecting that, and the sector had (still has) huge exposure to an asset that’s set to rapidly lose value.

So I recommended a trade against the sector.

Now get this… Three weeks and two days later, we got exactly what I was looking for.

Our target continued to slide as the problems at First Republic became more apparent. And we pocketed a 76% gain on part of the position (we’re still holding the rest open for further gains).

There are no limits to opportunities just like this one as the banking sector continues through this rough patch.

And just yesterday, I shone a light on four toxic bank stocks that I believe could severely underperform the market in the months to come.

These four companies, along with 278 other high-risk financial stocks, are targets of my top trading strategy that takes advantage of high volatility.

If you’d like to know which of these stocks you might have in your portfolio, go here for the full details.

To good profits,

Adam O'Dell signature
Adam O'Dell
Chief Investment Strategist, Money & Markets

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Another NVDA And How To Spot Them

Nvidia has been the belle of the ball lately and is getting tons of press. After releasing amazing performance data the stock skyrocketed. But the amazing thing is that there are others doing the same thing and traders are prone to overlook them. Let's take a look at how to spot them and another example of and explosive stock.

AMD has also seen a staggering rally lately and it telegraphed its moves in advance. In fact there were a number of people who got an early heads up on how to turn that move into money in the bank.

Hidden trigger points that hardly anyone knows about illuminate the runaway winners. Click here to learn how to spot the trigger points and cash in.

Back in early May, AMD had been pulling back for a few weeks before its chart showed a key signal. The MACD spotted the reversal and gave traders a heads up that it was about to change directions. The Bullish MACD Crossover is a very reliable signal and has repeatedly spotted winners. But for some it was even easier than that.

Ian Cooper has combined the MACD with other indicators that supercharge their big move detection power. As effective as this signal is some just don't take advantage of it. It is easy to spot these when you find that chart, like AMD, that is clearly displaying this signal. But which chart shows it? How do you confirm the signal is really true? Ian has made it easy for the folks reading his Trigger Point Trade Alerts and they got a great email not too long ago.

Exited AMD June 16, 2023 105 calls for a win of 108% and 295%

Exited half of the AMD June 23, 2023 110 calls for a win of 126%

It isn't impossible to learn these signals and the confirmation that identify when they are strong. In fact Ian includes his manual when people sign up for Trigger Points Trade Alerts. But you sure can't beat having money makers like AMD just appear in your inbox.

Be sure to check it out.

Keep learning and trade wisely,

John Boyer

Editor

Market Wealth Daily

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Poisoned Water: How a Navy Ship Dumped Fuel and Sickened Its Own Crew

Daily Brief

01 June 2023

Poisoned Water: How a Navy Ship Dumped Fuel and Sickened Its Own Crew

A years-long investigation reveals that the Boxer unintentionally compromised its own water supply in 2016.

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Some profit examples are based on hypothetical or simulated trading. This means the trades are not actual trades and instead are hypothetical trades based on real market prices at the time the recommendation is disseminated. No actual money is invested, nor are any trades executed. Hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. Also, the hypothetical results do not include the costs of subscriptions, commissions, or other fees. Because the trades underlying these examples have not actually been executed, the results may understate or overstate the impact of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Universal makes no representations or warranties that any account will or is likely to achieve profits similar to those shown. No representation is being made that you will achieve profits or the same results as any person providing a testimonial. Testimonials relate to various other products offered by Wendy Kirkland and not the product offered here, but all of these products are based on Ms. Kirkland's P3 pattern system. Performance results of other products described in such testimonials may be materially different from results for the product being offered and may have been achieved before the product being offered was developed.

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Thursday, June 1, 2023

PANTONE SUMMER SHADES