Monday, October 3, 2022

Important Charts

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Manward Financial Digest
 

These Charts Have Good News for Short-Term Traders

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We'll keep it short and simple this morning - just a few important charts.

It's looking to be a busy week. We're hosting a live call with our paid subscribers on Wednesday. We're working overtime to bring you something quite interesting (for free!) from some friends. And, well, the market is giving us all sorts of trading opportunities to dive into.

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We watched several of our short positions surge during last week's market mayhem. We're batting a thousand on them.

Will we see a repeat of the uber-bearishness this week?

At least one indicator says no. It's telling us this may be a good week to get in... and get back out with some profits.

It has to do with this oddball chart...

NYSE Weekly Advance-Decline Index

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The chart looks complex, but it's not. It's showing us two separate things.

First, the teal line is a breadth indicator. It shows the number of stocks on the NYSE that are increasing or decreasing in value. In this case, we're looking at weekly data.

When the teal line is above zero (using the right-hand numbers), it means more stocks are rising in price than falling. When that line is below zero... the opposite is true. More stocks are falling.

As you can see, the indicator hit new lows for the year last month. When that's happened previously, stocks have rebounded quickly.

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We can see that play out in the red line. It represents the S&P 500. It shows the index tends to rise after the advance-decline index bottoms out.

That makes sense. If more stocks are rising than falling... the index should rise.

Without considering the other macro factors in play this week, that appears to be where we're headed - toward a short-term pop.

Zooming out to include the COVID-19 meltdown, you can see how tough the last 10 months have been. The number of weeks where declines outnumbered advances by a wide margin has been quite high - far higher than it had been over the previous two years.

NYSE Weekly Advance-Decline Index Since 2020

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But look at this... the same indicators, but on a monthly scale. It shows why "hold your nose and buy" investing hasn't worked.

NYSE Monthly Advance-Decline Index Since 2020

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The COVID-19 crash was so fast-moving that it hardly registers when we look at the advance-decline index over 30-day periods. The same clearly can't be said for the gut-testing bear market we're in now.

But we can see that the last two times the index hit this level, we got a fairly strong relief rally in the ensuing few weeks.

There's little doubt about the long-term trend. There's more trouble ahead.

But in good news for fast-moving traders looking to make a speculative bet... a quick move higher looks to be in the cards.

Take advantage of it.

Get in. But be ready to get right back out.

Be well,

Andy

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Andy Snyder | Founder

Andy Snyder is the founder of Manward Press, the nation's premier source of unfiltered, unorthodox views on money and what it means for a free society. An American author, investor and serial entrepreneur, Andy cut his teeth at an esteemed financial firm with nearly $100 billion in assets under management. He's been a keynote speaker and panelist at events all over the world, from four-star ballrooms to Capitol hearing rooms.

 

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Before you go - must read: "These Two Signs Indicate You Have Memory Problems"

How many times have you walked into a room to get something, only to forget what you were looking for? Such times can be annoying, but they don't necessarily indicate you have memory loss problems. However, memory loss problems can happen to anyone, and identifying the early signs can help you keep them under control.

Here are two signs that indicate you may have memory problems.

You Often Forget Important Information

Not remembering something a friend told us a while back may be frustrating (for the friend), but it usually isn't a cause for concern. However, if you started forgetting important information that affects your everyday life, you may have memory loss problems.

Forgetting information like important birthdays, deadlines, or anniversaries can cause problems at work/school and affect our personal relationships.

You Often Forget Recently Learned Information

If you often can't remember a piece of information you recently learned, your brain may have problems storing new memories. This can be frustrating, especially for those who try hard to remember something. Others may think you're not paying attention when, in fact, you have a problem with memory loss.

Forgetting recently learned information can also signal your existing memories are fading. This may mean your memory loss problems are progressing and can lead to more severe issues.

Don't Ignore the Signs

Besides these two signs, not being able to focus can also indicate you have memory issues. If you're experiencing any of these symptoms, it's important to visit a doctor as soon as possible. The doctor can examine you and recommend a treatment to control the symptoms.

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Youth Resource Connections October 2022 Edition

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Here is the October 2022 issue of Youth Resource Connections (YRC) published by the Division of Youth Services (DYS), U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration.  It is attached in "PDF" file format.  If you cannot open the file, please contact DYS at (202) 693-3036.  An electronic copy of the YRC will also be available on the Youth Connections Community of Practice:  https://youth.workforcegps.org/.

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In dramatic reversal, U.K. scraps plan to cut taxes for the highest earners that sent pound crashing

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NBC News
Oct 03, 2022
In dramatic reversal, U.K. scraps plan to cut taxes for the highest earners that sent pound crashing

Faced with a growing political rebellion after days of economic chaos, Britain's prime minister of less than a month said early Monday she was abandoning a signature plan to cut taxes for the country's highest earners. The dramatic reversal comes just hours after Liz Truss defiantly defended the tax cut and her broader radical economic agenda, saying it was necessary to solve the country's long-term economic woes.

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Infilmpact Film Sets Ukraine Feature Doc 'The War Behind Closed Doors' (EXCLUSIVE)

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Int'l Breaking News

October 03, 2022

Infilmpact Film Sets Ukraine Feature Doc 'The War Behind Closed Doors' (EXCLUSIVE)

'The War Behind Closed Doors' is a feature documentary reconstructs the events of March 2022 in Irpen, Buch��, Hostomel, and Vorzel in Ukraine.

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