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Folks, the market is in a very precarious situation right now... The S&P 500 Index, our broad measure for stocks, is frothy with volatility. And the market has endured a series of rallies and crashes since the beginning of this year.

Don't Let Bear Market Rallies Burn You By Marc Chaikin, founder, Chaikin Analytics Folks, the market is in a very precarious situation right now... The S&P 500 Index, our broad measure for stocks, is frothy with volatility. And the market has endured a series of rallies and crashes since the beginning of this year. Don't let this back-and-forth environment bait you into taking unusual risk. I've learned an important lesson during my 40-plus-year career in the financial industry... Investors can lose more money turning prematurely bullish in a bear market than in the steep, early declines.   We discussed the fears of a financial "hurricane" about a month ago. As I said at the time... The day of reckoning is getting closer. In short, a three-fold dynamic is driving stock prices lower...   1.    Rampant inflation higher than 8%, year over year 2.    Impending interest-rate hikes and a deleveraging of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet 3.    A collapse in price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios – particularly for megacap and speculative growth stocks that led the bull market to all-time highs The P/E ratio for the S&P 500 has dropped nearly 50% from its peak. But that doesn't mean the market is "fairly priced" today... Growth can still experience a slowdown. In fact, that's playing out right now as businesses hunker down for a recession... Layoffs are rampant. And non-core projects are being canceled. As I've said before...   In past Fed rate-hike cycles that were fast like this one, P/E ratios didn't bottom until well into a bear market. That's when analysts started cutting their earnings estimates. So plain and simple... The short-covering rallies in stocks in recent months are typical of bear markets. Now, the other shoe is about to drop. And you need to pay attention to one thing in particular... Recommended Links: Get Dr. David Eifrig's Latest Market Call On Tuesday, July 19, Dr. David Eifrig is stepping forward with the biggest announcement of his career. It all centers around a wave of money flooding Wall Street, even as stocks crash. He says this misunderstood corner of the market could ravage the wealth of those who aren't prepared. This critical update is 100% free – click here for details. A Massive Wave of Bankruptcies Is Coming It's actually much bigger and more important than what happens to the Nasdaq or S&P 500. Yet some of the world's best investors are practically drooling in anticipation. Because this crash will create a slew of 100%-plus opportunities... backed by legal protections that stocks can only dream of. A top analyst tracking the story believes this could happen within months – and you must prepare now. Get the full story here right away. The biggest unknown – and biggest risk – for the stock market is second-quarter earnings reports and management's guidance for the rest of 2022. We'll need to watch these reports closely. They'll help us see how companies' management teams are dealing with rampant inflation and an impending economic recession. Widespread layoffs and hiring freezes like the ones announced by software giant Oracle (ORCL) are noteworthy. Combined with sharply higher interest rates and a shrinking of the money supply from the Fed, continued fears could generate a broad liquidation of stocks. So it's no surprise that the past month has seen typical, volatile bear market price action... The markets have experienced a series of sharp declines followed by swift retracement rallies. However, in the end, the S&P 500 is still showing a bearish pattern of lower highs and lower lows. It's clear on the chart. Take a look... Lower lows and lower highs are a classic bear market pattern. Investors need to take this pattern seriously. It's the one thing we need to pay attention to right now. Don't let little bear market rallies suck you in. You're not going to "call the bottom" doing that. You'll just wind up with a lot of frustration – and likely more losses. If the S&P 500 were to close above 3,950 or 4,000, it would be constructive from a short-term perspective. Still, that might be difficult to achieve given the flood of economic and earnings data coming out this week. So for now, be patient. Keep watching for the washout buying opportunity I expect to happen later this year. From what I'm seeing, it could happen around September or October in the range between 3,400 and 3,600. That means the S&P 500 could drop another 5% to 10% from here. Until then, stay vigilant. And don't let a bear market rally burn you. Good investing, Marc Chaikin Market View Major Indexes and Notable Sectors     # Hld:     Bullish     Neutral     Bearish Dow 30 -0.72% 2 22 6 S&P 500 -0.52% 30 338 131 Nasdaq -0.21% 9 54 36 Small Caps -0.09% 215 1126 472 Bonds +1.15% — According to the Chaikin Power Bar, Small Cap stocks and Large Cap stocks remain Bearish. Major indexes are all bearish. *  *  *  * Top Movers Gainers TWTR +7.90% MOS +3.21% CTRA +3.04% CLX +2.58% DPZ +2.52% Losers FAST -6.44% ODFL -5.13% DAL -4.47% GWW -4.18% ILMN -3.62% *  *  *  * Earnings Report Reporting Today Rating Before Open After Close CAG CTAS, MS FRC, JPM No earnings reporting today. Earnings Surprises DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc. Q2 $1.44 Missed by $-0.28 FAST Fastenal Company Q2 $0.50 Beat by $0.01 *  *  *  * Sector Tracker Sector movement over the last 5 days Energy +0.41% Discretionary -0.01% Staples -0.44% Utilities -0.70% Information Technology -0.93% Financial -1.10% Materials -1.14% Industrials -1.48% Real Estate -1.55% Health Care -1.77% Communication -2.48% *  *  *  * Industry Focus Telecom Services 4 22 19 Over the past 6 months, the Telecom subsector (XTL) has underperformed the S&P 500 by -1.29%. Its Power Bar ratio, which measures future potential, is Very Weak, with more Bearish than Bullish stocks. It is currently ranked #7 of 21 subsectors and has moved up 4 slots over the past week. Indicative Stocks VSAT Viasat, Inc. INFN Infinera Corporation UI Ubiquiti Inc. *  *  *  * You have received this e-mail as part of your subscription to PowerFeed. If you no longer want to receive e-mails from PowerFeed, click here. You're receiving this e-mail at STEVENMAGALLANES520.NIMS@BLOGGER.COM. For questions about your account or to speak with customer service, call +1 (877) 697-6783 (U.S.), 9 a.m. - 5 p.m. Eastern time or e-mail info@chaikinanalytics.com. Please note: The law prohibits us from giving personalized investment advice. © 2022 Chaikin Analytics, LLC. All rights reserved. Any reproduction, copying, or redistribution, in whole or in part, is prohibited without written permission from Chaikin Analytics, LLC. 201 King Of Prussia Rd., Suite 650, Radnor, PA 19087. www.chaikinanalytics.com. Any brokers mentioned constitute a partial list of available brokers and is for your information only. Chaikin Analytics, LLC, does not recommend or endorse any brokers, dealers, or investment advisors. Chaikin Analytics forbids its writers from having a financial interest in any security they recommend to our subscribers. All employees of Chaikin Analytics, LLC (and affiliated companies) must wait 24 hours after an investment recommendation is published online – or 72 hours after a direct mail publication is sent – before acting on that recommendation. This work is based on SEC filings, current events, interviews, corporate press releases, and what we've learned as financial journalists. It may contain errors, and you shouldn't make any investment decision based solely on what you read here. It's your money and your responsibility.

Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report Update

You are subscribed to Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the U.S. Department of Labor. This information has recently been updated. In the week ending July 9, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 244,000, an increase of 9,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of 235,000. The 4-week moving average was 235,750, an increase of 3,250 from the previous week's unrevised average of 232,500. Read the full news release.   Stay up to date with everything that is happening at the Department of Labor by subscribing to our weekly newsletter. You'll get the latest news, information about upcoming DOL events, stories about the impact of DOL programs on individuals and much more delivered to your inbox every week! Questions? Contact Us   STAY CONNECTED:   SUBSCRIBER SERVICES: Manage Preferences  |  Unsubscribe  |  Help This email was sent to stevenmagallanes520.nims@blogger.com using GovDelivery Communications Cloud on behalf of: United States Department of Labor · 200 Constitution Ave NW · Washington, DC 20210 · 1-866-4-USA-DOL (1-866-487-2365)

Producer Price Index News Release

Bureau of Labor Statistics

The latest Producer Price Index news release has been posted on the BLS website at https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/ppi.pdf and also archived at https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/ppi_07142022.pdf. Highlights are below. PPI for final demand advances 1.1% in June; goods rise 2.4%, services increase 0.4% 07/14/2022 The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 1.1 percent in June. Prices for final demand goods rose 2.4 percent, and the index for final demand services advanced 0.4 percent. Final demand prices moved up 11.3 percent for the 12 months ended in June. HTML | PDF | RSS | Charts

Update Subscriber Preferences  |   Change Password or Email Address  |   Send Feedback |   Follow Us  NEW Charts Related to the Latest BLS News Releases: https://www.bls.gov/charts/ Questions or problems? Please contact subscriberhelp.govdelivery.com GovDelivery, Inc. (800-439-1420) sending on behalf of the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Postal Square Building, 2 Massachusetts Avenue NE, Washington, DC 20212-0001