The Morning: Excellent vaccine news

It continues to be better than many people realize.

View in browser|nytimes.com February 1, 2021 By David Leonhardt Good morning. The vaccine news continues to be better than many people realize. A nurse prepared a dose of the Moderna vaccine in the Bronx on Saturday.James Estrin/The New York Times Infections aren’t what matters The news about the vaccines continues to be excellent — and the public discussion of it continues to be more negative than the facts warrant. Here’s the key fact: All five vaccines with public results have eliminated Covid-19 deaths. They have also drastically reduced hospitalizations. “They’re all good trial results,” Caitlin Rivers, an epidemiologist at Johns Hopkins University, told me. “It’s great news.” Many people are instead focusing on relatively minor differences among the vaccine results and wrongly assuming that those differences mean that some vaccines won’t prevent serious illnesses. It’s still too early to be sure, because a few of the vaccine makers have released only a small amount of data. But the available data is very encouraging — including about the vaccines’ effect on the virus’s variants. “The vaccines are poised to deliver what people so desperately want: an end, however protracted, to this pandemic,” as Julia Marcus of Harvard Medical School recently wrote in The Atlantic. Why is the public understanding more negative than it should be? Much of the confusion revolves around the meaning of the word “effective.” What do we care about? In the official language of research science, a vaccine is typically considered effective only if it prevents people from coming down with any degree of illness. With a disease that’s always or usually horrible, like ebola or rabies, that definition is also the most meaningful one. But it’s not the most meaningful definition for most coronavirus infections. Whether you realize it or not, you have almost certainly had a coronavirus. Coronaviruses have been circulating for decades if not centuries, and they’re often mild. The common cold can be a coronavirus. The world isn’t going to eliminate coronaviruses — or this particular one, known as SARS-CoV-2 — anytime soon. Yet we don’t need to eliminate it for life to return to normal. We instead need to downgrade it from a deadly pandemic to a normal virus. Once that happens, adults can go back to work, and children back to school. Grandparents can nuzzle their grandchildren, and you can meet your friends at a restaurant. As Dr. Ashish Jha, the dean of the Brown University School of Public Health, told me this weekend: “I don’t actually care about infections. I care about hospitalizations and deaths and long-term complications.” The data By those measures, all five of the vaccines — from Pfizer, Moderna, AstraZeneca, Novavax and Johnson & Johnson — look extremely good. Of the roughly 75,000 people who have received one of the five in a research trial, not a single person has died from Covid, and only a few people appear to have been hospitalized. None have remained hospitalized 28 days after receiving a shot. To put that in perspective, it helps to think about what Covid has done so far to a representative group of 75,000 American adults: It has killed roughly 150 of them and sent several hundred more to the hospital. The vaccines reduce those numbers to zero and nearly zero, based on the research trials. Zero isn’t even the most relevant benchmark. A typical U.S. flu season kills between five and 15 out of every 75,000 adults and hospitalizes more than 100 of them. I assume you would agree that any vaccine that transforms Covid into something much milder than a typical flu deserves to be called effective. But that is not the scientific definition. When you read that the Johnson & Johnson vaccine was 66 percent effective or that the Novavax vaccine was 89 percent effective, those numbers are referring to the prevention of all illness. They count mild symptoms as a failure. “In terms of the severe outcomes, which is what we really care about, the news is fantastic,” Dr. Aaron Richterman, an infectious-disease specialist at the University of Pennsylvania, said. The variants What about the highly contagious new virus variants that have emerged in Britain, Brazil and South Africa? The South African variant does appear to make the vaccines less effective at eliminating infections. Fortunately, there is no evidence yet that it increases deaths among vaccinated people. Two of the five vaccines — from Johnson & Johnson and Novavax — have reported some results from South Africa, and none of the people there who received a vaccine died of Covid. “People are still not getting serious illness. They’re still not dying,” Dr. Rebecca Wurtz of the University of Minnesota School of Public Health told me. The most likely reason, epidemiologists say, is that the vaccines still provide considerable protection against the variant, albeit not quite as much as against the original version. Some protection appears to be enough to turn this coronavirus into a fairly normal disease in the vast majority of cases. “This variant is clearly making it a little tougher to get the most vigorous response that you would want to have,” Dr. Francis Collins, director of the National Institutes of Health, said. “But still, for severe disease, it’s looking really good.” A vaccination site in North Charleston, S.C.Cameron Pollack for The New York Times What would an expert do? The biggest caveat is the possibility that future data will be less heartening. Johnson & Johnson and Novavax, for example, have issued press releases about their data, but no independent group has yet released an analysis. It will also be important to see much more data about how the vaccines interact with the variants. But don’t confuse uncertainty with bad news. The available vaccine evidence is nearly as positive as it could conceivably be. And our overly negative interpretation of it is causing real problems. Some people worry that schools cannot reopen even after teachers are vaccinated. Others are left with the mistaken impression that only the two vaccines with the highest official effectiveness rates — from Moderna and Pfizer — are worth getting. In truth, so long as the data holds up, any of the five vaccines can save your life. Last week, Dr. William Schaffner of Vanderbilt University told my colleague Denise Grady about a conversation he had with other experts. During it, they imagined that a close relative had to choose between getting the Johnson & Johnson vaccine now or waiting three weeks to get the Moderna or Pfizer vaccine. “All of us said, ‘Get the one tomorrow,’” Schaffner said. “The virus is bad. You’re risking three more weeks of exposure as opposed to getting protection tomorrow.” THE LATEST NEWS POLITICS Senator Susan Collins is leading a group of Republicans on a compromise bill on Covid relief.Anna Moneymaker for The New York Times President Biden will meet with ten Republican senators who outlined a framework for a smaller coronavirus relief bill. At least 19 state and local elected officials attended former President Donald Trump’s rally on Jan. 6, and some stormed the Capitol. “77 Days: Trump’s Campaign to Subvert the Election” — a Times story with new details. OTHER BIG STORIES Police officers arresting a protester in Moscow yesterday.Sergey Ponomarev for The New York Times Protesters rallied across Russia in support of the jailed opposition leader Aleksei Navalny. A winter storm is moving through the Northeast. Officials issued emergency declarations, expecting heavy snow. The police in Rochester, N.Y., released body-camera footage that shows officers using handcuffs and pepper spray on a 9-year-old girl. Myanmar’s military launched a coup against the country’s elected government and detained the civilian leader, Daw Aung San Suu Kyi. Myanmar had been a rare case in which generals willingly handed over some power to civilians after elections in 2015. Twenty-one men accused John Weaver, a co-founder of the anti-Trump group the Lincoln Project, of sending them unsolicited and sexually provocative messages. MORNING READS Cicely Tyson in “Sounder,” in 1972.20th Century Fox, via Getty Images An Appraisal: “She seemed delicate. But only ‘seemed.’ She was delicate the way a ribbon of steel holds up its part of a bridge.” The critic Wesley Morris reflects on Cicely Tyson’s career. From Opinion: Athletes should get their shots in public to boost confidence in the vaccine, Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, the basketball great, writes. Lives Lived: Sophie was an innovative producer and performer whose music distilled speed, noise, melody, clarity and catchiness into hyperpop. She died at 34. The photographer Corky Lee was determined to restore the contributions of Asian-Americans to the historical record and to document their present-day lives and struggles. Lee died, from Covid-19, at 73. This newsletter is free, but you can go deeper into the stories we highlight each morning with a subscription to The Times. Please consider becoming a subscriber today. ARTS AND IDEAS Jessica Tull in a YouTube “Clean with Me” video.Jessica Tull and Ruby Tull The joys of watching other people clean Vacuuming floors, scrubbing bathtubs, folding laundry. That’s not just a household to-do list — it’s also a list of what you’ll find on a popular genre of YouTube channel, in videos like “Clean with Me” or “Extreme Cleaning.” The videos are largely motivational: Some people watch them while cleaning their own homes, while others use them as inspiration — especially during the pandemic, when many people need a pick-me-up. “The influencers play the role of cheerleader and best friend, commiserating about the mess and offering strategies on how to tackle it,” The Times’s Ronda Kaysen writes. The genre also has an aspirational quality, similar to home-improvement TV shows. The homes are usually large, with expansive kitchens. The videos are set to soothing music, and their stars are often young women. The videos reframe, and monetize, their labor. Jessica Tull started her channel in 2017 as a way to make friends while she was at home with small children. “My ex-husband laughed at me,” Tull told The Times. He told her there was no way she could make a living cleaning the house on YouTube. She has more than half a million followers, and YouTube is her full-time job. PLAY, WATCH, EAT WHAT TO COOK Julia Gartland for The New York Times Korean barbecue inspired these savory-sweet meatballs. WHAT TO READ The first piece in “Black History, Continued,” a series that will explore transformative figures in Black culture. LATE NIGHT John Krasinski hosted “Saturday Night Live.” NOW TIME TO PLAY The pangrams from Friday’s Spelling Bee was toughen. Today’s puzzle is above — or you can play online. Here’s today’s Mini Crossword, and a clue: Dental string (five letters). Thanks for spending part of your morning with The Times. See you tomorrow. — David P.S. Ayatollah Khomeini returned to Iran after a lengthy exile 42 years ago today, as you can see on this Times front page. You can see today’s print front page here. Today’s episode of “The Daily” is about GameStop. On the Book Review podcast, Ron Lieber talks about paying for college and Michael J. Stephen talks about human lungs. Claire Moses, Ian Prasad Philbrick, Tom Wright-Piersanti and Sanam Yar contributed to The Morning. You can reach the team at themorning@nytimes.com. Sign up here to get this newsletter in your inbox. Continue reading the main story Need help? Review our newsletter help page or contact us for assistance. The Morning Briefing newsletter is now The Morning newsletter. You received this email because you signed up for the newsletter from The New York Times, or as part of your New York Times account. To stop receiving these emails, unsubscribe or manage your email preferences. Subscribe to The TimesGet The New York Times app Connect with us on: Change Your EmailPrivacy PolicyContact UsCalifornia Notices The New York Times Company. 620 Eighth Avenue New York, NY 10018

Arrestation par l’armée des dirigeants civils de la Birmanie

Traduction fournie par le département d'État des États-Unis à titre gracieux   Arrestation par l'armée des dirigeants civils de la Birmanie Département d'État des États-Unis Antony J. Blinken, secrétaire d'État Le 31 janvier 2021 Communiqué de presse Les États-Unis expriment leur profonde préoccupation et leur inquiétude face aux informations selon lesquelles l'armée birmane a placé en détention de nombreux dirigeants du gouvernement civil, dont la conseillère d'État Aung San Suu Kyi, ainsi que des leaders de la société civile. Nous appelons les dirigeants de l'armée de Birmanie à libérer tous les responsables du gouvernement et de la société civile et à respecter la volonté du peuple birman telle qu'elle s'est exprimée lors des élections démocratiques du 8 novembre. Les États-Unis se tiennent aux côtés du peuple de Birmanie dans ses aspirations à la démocratie, à la liberté, à la paix et au développement. L'armée doit immédiatement faire marche arrière concernant ces agissements. Voir le contenu d'origine : https://www.state.gov/burmese-military-arrests-of-civilian-government-leaders/ Nous vous proposons cette traduction à titre gracieux. Seul le texte original en anglais fait foi.

 

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وزیر خارجہ بلنکن کی پاکستانی وزیر خارجہ سے بات چیت

یہ ترجمہ امریکی دفترخارجہ کی جانب سے ازراہ نوازش پیش کیا جارہا ہے۔   وزیر خارجہ بلنکن کی پاکستانی وزیر خارجہ سے بات چیت امریکی دفتر خارجہ دفتر برائے ترجمان 29 جنوری 2021 ترجمان دفتر خارجہ نیڈ پرائس کے مطابق: وزیر خارجہ اینتھنی جے بلنکن نے آج پاکستان کے وزیر خارجہ شاہ محمود قریشی سے بات کی۔ وزیر خارجہ بلنکن اور وزیر خارجہ قریشی نے سزا یافتہ دہشت گرد احمد عمر سعید شیخ اور امریکی صحافی ڈینیئل پرل کے اغوا اور قتل کے دیگر ذمہ داروں کا احتساب یقینی بنانے پر تبادلہ خیال کیا۔ وزیر خارجہ بلنکن نے پاکستانی سپریم کورٹ کے فیصلے اور ان قیدیوں کی ممکن رہائی پر امریکہ کے خدشات کا پرزور اظہار کیا۔ علاوہ ازیں وزیر خارجہ بلنکن اور ان کے پاکستانی ہم منصب نے افغان امن عمل، علاقائی استحکام میں معاونت اور دونوں ممالک میں تجارت اور تجارتی تعلقات کو وسعت دینے کے امکانات پر امریکہ-پاکستان مسلسل تعاون کی اہمیت پر تبادلہ خیال کیا۔ اصل عبارت پڑھنے کا لنک: https://www.state.gov/secretary-blinkens-call-with-pakistani-foreign-minister-qureshi/ یہ ترجمہ ازراہ نوازش فراہم کیا جا رہا ہے اور صرف اصل انگریزی ماخذ کو ہی مستند سمجھا جائے۔

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کسی بھی وقت منقطع کرنے کے لیےاپنے اکاؤنٹ کے ترجیحات والے صفحہ پر جائیں۔ لاگ ان کرنے کے لیے آپ کو اپنے ای میل کا اندارج کرنا ہوگا۔.

اگر آپ کو سلسلہ فراہمی معلومات کے بارے میں کچھ پوچھنا ہے یا اس حوالے سے مشکلات کا سامنا ہے تو مہربانی کر کے اس ای میل پر subscriberhelp.govdelivery.com رابطہ کریں۔

 

آپ کو یہ سہولت دفتر خارجہ کے بین الاقوامی میڈیا سے رابطہ کے شعبہ کی طرف سے بغیر کسی معاوضے کے فراہم کی گئی ہے۔

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وزیر خارجہ بلنکن کی انڈیا کے وزیر برائے خارجہ امور جے شنکر سے بات چیت

یہ ترجمہ امریکی دفترخارجہ کی جانب سے ازراہ نوازش پیش کیا جارہا ہے۔   وزیر خارجہ بلنکن کی انڈیا کے وزیر برائے خارجہ امور جے شنکر سے بات چیت امریکی دفتر خارجہ دفتر برائے ترجمان 29 جنوری 2021 ترجمان دفتر خارجہ نیڈ پرائس کے مطابق: وزیر خارجہ اینتھنی جے بلنکن نے آج انڈیا کے وزیر برائے خارجہ امور ڈاکٹر ایس جے شنکر سے بات کی۔ اس دوران انہوں ںے بڑھتی ہوئی امریکہ۔انڈیا شراکت کی توثیقِ نو کی اور باہمی دلچسپی کے امور بشمول کوویڈ۔19 کی ویکسین سے متعلق کوششوں، علاقائی ترقی اور دوطرفہ تعلقات کو وسعت دینے کے آئندہ اقدامات پر تبادلہ خیال کیا۔ وزیر خارجہ نے ہند۔الکاہل میں ایک اہم امریکی شراکت دار کی حیثیت سے انڈیا کے کردار اور علاقائی تعاون کو وسعت دینے بشمول اس سلسلے میں چہار رخی اتحاد کی کوششوں کی اہمیت واضح کی۔ دونوں وزرائے خارجہ نے عالمی سطح پر ہونے والی پیش ہائے رفت پر قریبی رابطہ رکھنے اور جتنا جلد ہو سکے بالمشافہ ملاقات کرنے پر اتفاق کیا۔ اصل عبارت پڑھنے کا لنک: https://www.state.gov/secretary-blinkens-call-with-indian-external-affairs-minister-jaishankar/ یہ ترجمہ ازراہ نوازش فراہم کیا جا رہا ہے اور صرف اصل انگریزی ماخذ کو ہی مستند سمجھا جائے۔

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کسی بھی وقت منقطع کرنے کے لیےاپنے اکاؤنٹ کے ترجیحات والے صفحہ پر جائیں۔ لاگ ان کرنے کے لیے آپ کو اپنے ای میل کا اندارج کرنا ہوگا۔.

اگر آپ کو سلسلہ فراہمی معلومات کے بارے میں کچھ پوچھنا ہے یا اس حوالے سے مشکلات کا سامنا ہے تو مہربانی کر کے اس ای میل پر subscriberhelp.govdelivery.com رابطہ کریں۔

 

آپ کو یہ سہولت دفتر خارجہ کے بین الاقوامی میڈیا سے رابطہ کے شعبہ کی طرف سے بغیر کسی معاوضے کے فراہم کی گئی ہے۔

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Notable Earnings (Feb 1)

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Trump announces his new impeachment defense team days before Senate trial to begin

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Monday, February 1, 2021 Good morning and welcome to Fox News First. Here's what you need to know as you start your day ... Trump announces his new impeachment trial legal defense team – Who's on it? Former President Donald Trump on Sunday announced a new legal defense team after he parted ways with five of his impeachment lawyers just over a week before his Senate trial is set to begin, Fox News has confirmed. South Carolina lawyers Butch Bowers and Deborah Barbier and former federal prosecutors Greg Harris, Johnny Gasser and Josh Howard had left the defense team by Saturday, a source said, calling it a mutual decision. The source said the lawyers left over a difference of opinion on the direction of the defense's argument. Another anonymous source told the Associated Press Bowers and Barbier left because Trump wanted them to make election fraud allegations during the trial. Trump will now be represented by trial lawyers David Schoen and Bruce L. Castor, Jr. The changes come with little time before the former president faces charges that he incited the insurrection at the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, leaving the exact members of his defense team and their approach up in the air at a crucial moment. Trump was all but certain to be acquitted, however, because 45 out of 50 Republicans in the Senate voted earlier this month to dismiss the trial on a point of order brought forward by Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ky. CLICK HERE FOR MORE ON OUR TOP STORY. In other developments: - Politico reporter: Trump base is 'getting stronger' since he left office, impeachment would only empower him - Trump impeachment conviction urged in letter circulated by House aides - 'Vindictive' and 'harsh' Trump impeachment trial won't bode well for Democrats: Historian Jay Winik - Calling 'QAnon Shaman' as impeachment witness would turn trial into 'circus,' Graham says COVID-19 vaccines effective against current variants, but new one may prove more difficult, Inglesby says Dr. Tom Inglesby, Director of the Center for Health Security of the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, said Sunday that while COVID-19 vaccines continue to prove effective against the current variants, this might not continue to be the case if more variants emerge. Inglesby downplayed concerns about recently discovered variants, particularly the South Africa variant which has reportedly displayed resistance to some treatments and possibly the vaccine itself. "What we're seeing is that in the variant that was found in South Africa, at least in mild to moderate disease, some of the vaccine studies are showing diminished effectiveness," Inglesby confirmed to "Fox News Sunday" host Chris Wallace, while noting that "we still have enough cushion with the vaccines that they will still be very effective at this point." Inglesby warned, however, that "it's a message that's saying this virus is evolving and could continue to evolve in ways that make it more dangerous – either more transmissible or more lethal." Inglesby praised the Johnson & Johnson vaccine, however, saying that it was an "amazing" development that provides a much-needed boost as the country pushes to vaccinate more people in an aggressive campaign. CLICK HERE FOR MORE. In other developments: - Top epidemiologist urges single doses of COVID-19 vaccine - American taxpayers have spent jaw-dropping amount on keeping 9/11 mastermind alive - Dr. Marc Siegel: Congressman tests positive after COVID vaccine – here's what this case tells us - Instagram influencer got COVID-19 vaccine in NYC, arguing she's an 'educator' US expresses 'grave concern' over reports of military coup in Burma, 'will take action' U.S. Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken condemned reports that the Burmese military took control of the country and detained senior leaders—including Aung San Suu Kyi, its de facto leader—and called for the military to "reverse these actions immediately." Myawaddy TV, which is controlled by the military, announced the takeover and cited a section of the military-drafted constitution that allows the military to take control in times of national emergency. The presenter said the reason for the takeover was, in part due, to the government's failure to act on the military's claims of voter fraud in last November's election and its failure to postpone the election because of the coronavirus crisis. A state of emergency has been declared for a year. The National League for Democracy, which is led by Suu Kyi, said in a statement obtained by Reuters that those in the country should reject the military actions. "The actions of the military are actions to put the country back under a dictatorship," the statement read. "I urge people not to accept this, to respond and wholeheartedly to protest against the coup by the military." Jen Psaki, the White House press secretary, said the U.S. is "alarmed" by reports from Burma. President Biden has been briefed on the unfolding situation by National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan. CLICK HERE FOR MORE. In other developments: - Burma's leader Aung San Suu Kyi and other officials arrested, party spokesman says - Gordon Chang: China testing Biden with incursions against Taiwan, India: 'This is a very dangerous time' CLICK HERE TO GET THE FOX NEWS APP TODAY'S MUST-READS: - California Gov. Gavin Newsom, facing GOP-led recall, criticized by Democrats over COVID-19 response - Democratic Party tweet accused of contradicting Biden's original promise for third, $2000 stimulus check - Kushner, deputy nominated for Nobel Peace Prize over Israel deals - Sanders dismisses Biden 'unity' pledge to push COVID relief bill - Chicago mayor orders teachers to return to classroom as tug-of-war with union intensifies THE LATEST FROM FOX BUSINESS: - Chevron, Exxon Mobil executives discussed merger: WSJ - New Republican stimulus proposal would cost $600B, include more direct checks: What to know - US consumers shunning cash during COVID-19 pandemic: WSJ - US hedge funds bought, sold most stocks in 10 years last week - Covid-19 lockdowns spur shift to high-end liquor #The Flashback: CLICK HERE to find out what happened on "This Day in History." Not signed up yet for Fox News First? Click here to find out what you're missing. 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Арест мьянманскими военными руководителей гражданского правительства

Перевод предоставлен Государственным департаментом США   Арест мьянманскими военными руководителей гражданского правительства Заявление для прессы Государственный секретарь Энтони Блинкен 31 января 2021 года Соединенные Штаты выражают серьезную обеспокоенность и тревогу в связи с сообщениями о том, что мьянманские военные заключили под стражу нескольких лидеров гражданского правительства, включая Государственного советника Аунг Сан Су Чжи, и лидеров гражданского общества. Мы призываем мьянманских военных лидеров освободить всех правительственных должностных лиц и лидеров гражданского общества и уважать волю народа Мьянмы, выраженную в ходе демократических выборов, состоявшихся 8 ноября. Соединенные Штаты поддерживают народ Мьянмы в его стремлении к демократии, свободе, миру и развитию. Военные должны немедленно отменить эти меры. Для просмотра оригинала: https://www.state.gov/burmese-military-arrests-of-civilian-government-leaders/ Этот перевод предоставляется для удобства пользователей, и только оригинальный английский текст следует считать официальным.

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