From NBC's Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, Carrie Dann and Melissa Holzberg FIRST READ: Trump still has a 50 percent problem in the NBC News/WSJ poll The good news for President Trump in our latest national NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll is that his numbers have improved across the board by about 2 points since July, though that movement is well within the poll's margin of error.
(That slight improvement is reflected in many of the other national polls we've seen over the past few days.) REUTERS/Sarah Silbiger The bad news for Trump is that he still has a 50 percent problem in the poll — where half (if not more) of the national electorate is firmly against him.
And that's a tough place for any incumbent to be. Consider these numbers:
Our pollsters stress that the election – now 78 days away – isn't a done deal.
And Biden has his own challenges in the poll, which we'll address ahead of his Democratic convention speech on Thursday.
But Trump's 50 percent problem is maybe the biggest force shaping this election – at least so far.
More from the poll: 61 percent say the U.S. response to the coronavirus has been unsuccessful The other major force shaping this election is the coronavirus.
And don't be surprised when that issue becomes a key talking point during the Democratic convention, especially for tonight's speeches from New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo and Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer. (More on tonight's speaking lineup is below.)
According to the NBC News/WSJ poll, 61 percent of all voters think America's response to the coronavirus has been unsuccessful. That includes 84 percent of Dem respondents, 58 percent of independents, but just 37 percent of Republicans.
Also from our poll: 53 percent of voters say Trump didn't take the coronavirus threat seriously at the beginning – and still isn't handling it well.
That's another 50 percent problem for the president.
The Postal Service story affects almost everyone On Friday, we said the state of the U.S. Postal Service is the most important story right now in American politics.
And that storyline continues today, with Speaker Nancy Pelosi calling the House back to session to address the issue. Democrats have further requested that Postmaster General Louis DeJoy testify in front of the House Oversight Committee on Aug. 24.
What makes the controversy so politically potent is that this is something that affects EVERYONE.
"This is something – in a way like the virus – that everyone is experiencing in their own specific way," NBC's Kasie Hunt said on "Meet the Press" yesterday.
TWEET OF THE DAY: Mailing it in
DATA DOWNLOAD: The numbers you need to know today 5,420,179: The number of confirmed cases of coronavirus in the United States, per the most recent data from NBC News and health officials. (That's 145,706 more than Friday morning.)
170,883: The number of deaths in the United States from the virus so far. (That's 2,554 more than Friday morning.)
66.97 million: The number of coronavirus TESTS administered in the U.S., according to researchers at The COVID Tracking Project.
58 percent: The share who disapprove of President Trump's response to the coronavirus crisis.
Four weeks: The delay in New Zealand's national election due to a new coronavirus outbreak.
2020 VISION: It's Day One of the Democratic convention The Democrats today kick off a convention season that will be unlike any other – due to the coronavirus – where the programming will consist of speeches and performances from different remote locations.
Here's the Monday night lineup of speeches, which will take place from 9:00 pm ET to 11:00 pm ET:
FYI: Convention planners say most of the speeches and segments will be shorter than in years past – think between two and five minutes.
As for the Republican counterprogramming, President Trump will be traveling to Minnesota and Wisconsin to deliver economic speeches in the afternoon.
AD WATCH from Ben Kamisar While Democrats were supposed to flood Milwaukee this week for their convention, it's the Republicans who have in-person events in Wisconsin this week.
But as both campaigns embark on dramatically different strategies regarding in-person events, the DNC and Biden campaign are out with a brutal new ad that argues Trump's in-person events are putting Americans "at risk."
The spot echoes words of a Tulsa public health official saying people could "connect the dots" between Trump's June rally there and the subsequent spike in COVID-19 cases in the city (the Trump campaign defended the decision at the time by noting guests were provided a mask and temperature-checked). Then it warns that "now, Trump is coming to Wisconsin for a political stunt that puts you at risk."
The ad just started running this morning, first in Washington D.C. according to the ad trackers ad Advertising Analytics. So it's not clear yet how widely it will run. But that one political party can run an attack ad based off of the other's decision to hold in-person events is yet another sign of how COVID-19 has flipped political campaigning on its head.
THE LID: Conventional wisdom Don't miss the pod from Friday, when we remembered what happened at the GOP convention four years ago, raising the question of whether political conventions matter.
SHAMELESS PLUG: Rock the Vote When is the deadline to register in your state? Can you vote by mail without an excuse? When is the first day you can cast your ballot? Our state-by-state guide has everything you need to know about voting in the 2020 presidential election.
Use the interactive tool to see where your state stands on voting rules, plus read up on deadlines, how to track your ballot after you vote and more. NBCNews.com/planyourvote
ICYMI: What ELSE is happening in the world? Biden may be leading in the polls, but Democrats are apprehensive heading into the convention.
States are scrambling to assure voters that their ballots are still safe.
Without in-person conventions, lobbyists have been sidelined.
The Trump administration got a win in the Middle East last week. But a UN move on Iran was a humiliation for the U.S. just a day later.
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is calling the House back to address the Postal Service crisis.
Here's the latest in the political standoff in Belarus.
Trump wants to meet with Vladimir Putin before the election, NBC News reports.
A private security company is holding migrant children at hotels, the New York Times reports.
Download the NBC News Mobile App
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Monday, August 17, 2020
Good news, bad news … and it’s Day One of the Democratic convention
Attention: Home and Community-Based Services (HCBS) Residential and Non-Residential Providers and Case Managers/Care Coordinators
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Attention: Home and Community-Based Services (HCBS) Residential and Non-Residential Providers and Case Managers/Care Coordinators
The Department of Health and Human Services continues to monitor the statewide effects of COVID-19 and HCBS validation activities that have occurred over the last thirty days by utilizing a "safe practices" approach. The Department has determined HCBS validations will resume statewide, effective immediately, using "safe practices" approaches as described below. When contacted regarding setting validations, providers should respond timely and continue to fully participate in the HCBS validation process. By doing so, providers will receive their settings' findings reports sooner and as a result, will have more time for setting remediation, if necessary. Disability Rights Maine (DRM) will now conduct virtual/remote HCBS validations, in all districts, for residential settings which were previously selected for on-site validations. Providers are encouraged to contact Katrina Ringrose at DRM by email at kringrose@drme.org or call her at (207) 626-2772, ext. 234 to schedule HCBS validations for these settings. DRM is expected to complete all virtual/remote residential setting validations by December 31, 2020. Individual Experience Assessments (IEAs) will now resume statewide and can be conducted either virtually/remotely or during an outside in-person visit utilizing "safe practices." Through piloting of IEAs conducted telephonically, via Zoom, FaceTime or Skype, the Department has determined that valid results could be obtained this way. The Department thanks OHI and Spurwink for their assistance with this pilot to ensure IEA validity despite the impact of COVID-19. The Department will resume notifications to Case Management agencies regarding the monthly prioritization of settings, with all IEAs to be completed and results uploaded into the EconSys portal by December 31, 2020. Community Supports, Work Supports-Group, and Brain Injury Work-Ordered Day Clubhouse settings will receive on-site validations by DRM and OADS staff. On-site validations in Aroostook county will begin the week of August 17, 2020. Providers operating these settings in other counties will be contacted by DRM or OADS staff regarding scheduling these validations. All on-site validations will be done using a "safe practices" approach and will be completed by December 31, 2020. Office of Aging and Disability Services staff will continue to conduct mini desk level reviews for residential settings that are not selected for on-site validations. These will also be completed by no later than December 31, 2020. With all setting validations completed by December 31, 2020, providers are expected to receive their setting findings reports by no later than January 31, 2021. All settings that require remediation are expected to have remediation plans (Transition to Compliance Plans) approved by the state by no later than March 3, 2021. Please note that, as a result of the CMS extension of the final date for states to fully comply with the HCBS Settings Rule to March 17, 2023, providers will now have until July 31, 2022 to complete all remediation required for their HCBS settings. Finally, the Department encourages all providers to begin or continue to upload documentation to support the validation process (e.g. documents supporting compliance with the HCBS Settings Rule) to the EconSys HCBS Compliance Portal. Please keep in mind, however, that documents containing personally identifying information (PII) for HCBS participants should *not* be uploaded to the portal, but they should be retained for secure email transmission to validators when they request these documents. The Department will continue to monitor the statewide effects of COVID-19 and implications to HCBS validation strategies and adjust as necessary.Thank you for your continued efforts, especially during these challenging times, to help the State of Maine reach compliance with the HCBS Settings Rule. Please feel free to submit any HCBS related questions to HCBS.DHHS@maine.gov Update your subscriptions, modify your password or email address, or stop subscriptions at any time on your Subscriber Preferences Page. You will need to use your email address to log in. If you have questions or problems with the subscription service, please visit subscriberhelp.govdelivery.com. This service is provided to you at no charge by Maine Department of Health & Human Services. |
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