Saturday, August 1, 2020

Trump Reverts, Biden’s V.P. Search: This Week in the 2020 Race

President Trump’s more sober messaging on the coronavirus crisis didn’t last long. For Joe Biden, the search for a running mate may last a little longer.

Welcome to our weekly analysis of the state of the 2020 campaign.

Former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. appears to be giving himself an extension to complete his ticket.Michelle V. Agins/The New York Times

The week in numbers

  • Less than 100 days before the election, President Trump’s approval rating is stuck deep in the red. Gallup updated its approval tracker this week, showing Trump 15 points down.
  • His approval rating on the coronavirus is even weaker (–21), according to FiveThirtyEight’s polling average.
  • A Monmouth University poll of Georgia, traditionally a red state, showed a dead heat, with Trump and Joe Biden each receiving 47 percent support from registered voters.
  • Polls of Arizona, Florida and North Carolina showed Biden with an edge in each of those states, all of which Trump won four years ago.
  • Biden spent $11.8 million on television ads, while Trump spent $4.7 million. Trump’s campaign pulled its TV ads for six days, briefly bringing its spending to $0 nationwide, as the new campaign manager, Bill Stepien, conducted a “review” of the ad strategy.
  • On Facebook, Trump again outspent Biden, roughly $4.2 million to just under $810,000.

Catch me up

President Trump’s approval rating remains underwater.Al Drago for The New York Times

If last week was billed by White House officials as a new direction for Mr. Trump — an attempt to stabilize his sinking approval rating by appearing to take the coronavirus crisis more seriously — this week is the one we all knew would inevitably follow, when his id took back the steering wheel.

Gone was the new message about the importance of wearing masks, or any sustained focus on what he claims is fast progress toward a vaccine. On Thursday, Mr. Trump suggested for the first time that the election could be delayed — a move some of his own former advisers described as a feeble attempt to get ahead of a potential loss in November.

Earlier, Mr. Trump defended his decision to retweet a claim that hydroxychloroquine was a “cure” for the virus and that masks were unnecessary.

“They’re very respected doctors,” he said, referring to a woman who has also promoted videos claiming doctors make medicine using DNA from aliens. “There was a woman who was spectacular in her statements about it, and she’s had tremendous success with it.”

And he made an appeal to white suburban voters by trying to stir up racist fears about low-income housing and the people who live there.

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In short, it’s nearly four years in, and we know there’s never a new tone, just short periods of quiet before the president once again reveals his baser instincts.

Mourning Herman Cain, but avoiding reality

Herman Cain in 2012, when he ran for the Republican presidential nomination.Monica Lopossay for The New York Times

This week brought the grim reality that few close to the president wanted to acknowledge: that failing to strictly follow precautions against the coronavirus, like wearing masks and practicing social distancing, could have dire personal consequences.

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Herman Cain, a former Republican presidential candidate who served as a chairman of Black Voices for Trump, died Thursday because of complications from the virus, weeks after attending Mr. Trump’s indoor rally in Tulsa, Okla. It had been a loaded setting and date — the weekend of Juneteenth, as protests over the death of George Floyd spread across the country — and the president needed as many Black supporters in attendance as he could muster.

Mr. Trump tweeted his condolences, calling Mr. Cain “an American patriot, and great friend.” Kayleigh McEnany, the White House press secretary, said in a statement that Mr. Cain “represented the very best of the American spirit.”

There was no nod to the reality that Mr. Cain may have put himself at greater risk because he was trying to be a good soldier for Mr. Trump. Inside the Tulsa arena, Mr. Cain posted selfies showing him sitting with other Black Trump supporters, none of whom wore masks.

It was an outcome that few in Trumpworld wanted to bear a measure of responsibility for. One campaign adviser said Thursday he hoped no one would “politicize” Mr. Cain’s death, and noted that it was impossible to tell where someone might have contracted the virus. The campaign did not respond to a request for comment about Mr. Cain’s attendance at the rally.

Meanwhile, the coronavirus continues to circle Mr. Trump:

  • His national security adviser, Robert O’Brien, became the latest and most senior member of the administration to test positive for the coronavirus.
  • Kimberly Guilfoyle, the girlfriend of Mr. Trump’s eldest son and a top fund-raising official for the re-election campaign, has received a clean bill of health since her positive test for the coronavirus this month. And she’s already been spotted back at the White House.

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A rarity: Obama goes there

Former President Barack Obama eulogized Representative John Lewis in Atlanta.Pool photo by Alyssa Pointer

To describe former President Barack Obama’s public statements about his successor as carefully crafted is an understatement. Each word is considered, each jab measured exactly, as Mr. Obama balances the weight of his global prominence with his desire to let the current leaders of the Democratic Party chart their own course.

On Thursday, however, he leaned all the way in. No more flowery Medium posts.

Delivering the eulogy for John Lewis, the civil rights giant and Atlanta congressman, Mr. Obama gave his full treatise on the current political moment, laying out policy priorities and a searing critique of Mr. Trump without ever saying his name. It was the type of anti-Trump counterprogramming that many of Mr. Obama’s supporters have wanted to see for years.

It also represented a soft evolution from the former president, who embraced several ideas that he had not endorsed while in the White House. Consider what he backed, and his history:

  • Mr. Obama made a spirited call for election reforms, including making Election Day a national holiday and restoring the Voting Rights Act, which was neutered in 2013 by the Supreme Court. During his presidency, Mr. Obama at times downplayed the impact of voter suppression, focusing more on voter apathy. He has focused more on suppression efforts in recent years, as has his party.
  • Mr. Obama called the Senate filibuster a “Jim Crow relic,” his strongest comments against the 60-vote procedural threshold that has stopped major legislation by both parties. His words contradict then-Senator Obama and then-President Obama, who shied from filibuster elimination efforts from the party’s progressive base. He even gained a new convert: Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont endorsed filibuster elimination after Mr. Obama’s comments, a reversal for the former presidential candidate.
  • On the filibuster, Mr. Obama’s transition subtly mimics Mr. Biden’s. As a longtime Delaware senator, Mr. Biden rejected the idea of eliminating the filibuster. However, in recent comments at a Democratic fund-raiser, he signaled an openness if Republican obstruction precluded reforms. The Obama-Biden mind meld continues.

Veepstakes is finally here (kind of)

At long last, the month is August, and Mr. Biden’s self-imposed time frame for a vice-presidential selection has arrived. There are only two caveats: All indications are that he is going to give himself an extension, and we are barely closer to knowing the selection — or even the finalists — than at the start of July.

Supporters of possible candidates have made public and private cases for their favorites, and Mr. Biden’s campaign has fueled speculation by holding events with several contenders. Two candidates have more recently moved toward the top of Mr. Biden’s list: Representative Karen Bass of California and Susan E. Rice, the former national security adviser.

Here’s what we know (and what we don’t):

  • Mr. Biden’s selection will be historic: Although he made clear months ago that he would select a woman, the history-making possibility of a female vice president should not be underplayed. Given that Mr. Biden might choose a woman of color, the glass ceiling could crack two times over.
  • Mr. Biden wants a governing partner: So much is made about what the selection could mean for the November outcome, but that is likely not the most important factor. Mr. Biden saw himself as a complementary piece to Mr. Obama’s administration, and will be looking for someone with whom he has a personal rapport. Much of his decision will come down to things that are hard to quantify in strictly political terms. It’s more vibes than science.
  • Mr. Biden will be shaping future primaries: It is unclear whether Mr. Biden’s choice will shape the race against Mr. Trump, but the selection could have an imprint on Democratic presidential politics going forward. If Mr. Biden wins, his vice president will have a huge national platform to define and expand her political brand, much as Mr. Biden did under Mr. Obama. This could put her in pole position to dominate the party’s more moderate wing after Mr. Biden. Being No. 2 is a low-risk, high-reward position, particularly for someone who would be the first woman ever to hold the office.

What you might have missed

Susan E. Rice, the former national security adviser, is a top candidate to be Mr. Biden’s running mate.Mark Humphrey/Associated Press
Giovanni Russonello contributed reporting.

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Race/Related: Celebrating Eid al-Adha Amid a Pandemic

We asked a few Muslims how they planned to observe Eid al-Adha in this pandemic year.

By Fahima Haque

Ahmed Akbar picks up ice cream from a drive-through at a mosque. Celebrations of Eid al-Adha were different in this pandemic year.Ali Lapetina for The New York Times

Celebrating Eid al-Adha

Most countries observed Eid al-Adha on Friday, and so a belated Eid Mubarak to all who celebrated one of the holiest days in Islam. It is meant to remind Muslims of their faithfulness to Allah and each other, through Zakat, one of the five pillars of the religion that focuses on charity.

The holiday commemorates the story of the Prophet Ibrahim’s devotion to Allah and his willingness to sacrifice his son Ismail. Allah ultimately spared Ismail, and instead sacrificed a ram. You might know the story as Abraham and Isaac, per the Judeo-Christian tradition. This is why Eid al-Adha is known as the festival of sacrifice and why families slaughter an animal — often a goat, sheep or a cow — to give to a family in need.

Eid al-Adha also comes right after Hajj, a sacred pilgrimage to Mecca that is a mandate for Muslims who are able-bodied and can afford the five-day trip. Usually 2.5 million Muslims make the journey. But this year, because of the global pandemic, Saudi Arabia said it would allow just 1,000 people, and all from within the kingdom.

I’m celebrating — socially distanced — with my parents and one of my sisters, who lives in the New York City borough of Queens, not far from our parents and from where I grew up. My dad went to a socially distanced prayer service in the morning and my mom and I prayed at home. My mom usually makes a feast — pulao, biryani, kebabs and much more — but made much less food this year.

Our pared down celebration got me thinking: How else are American Muslims observing Eid al-Adha this year? I talked to a few people across the country about how they planned to celebrate. Here’s what they say had to say, edited lightly for length and clarity:

Ahmed Ali Akbar, a journalist and host of the podcast “See Something, Say Something,” has been in quarantine in Michigan with his wife and his father since March.

We’re going to pray in our house (the local mosque is open but we are choosing not to go), my wife, my dad and I on Zoom. We’ll probably take a lot of pictures. Dressing up and looking nice is definitely a huge part of Eid; it’s a renewal kind of thing.
We’re going to go to the drive-through — our mosque is doing barbecue — and pick up some food. We’re going to do a socially distanced picnic and do a socially distanced photo shoot. The other thing I’m going to cook is achar gosht (pickled meat stew) because during Eid al-Adha meat is a very central part, in a way.
Ahmed Ali Akbar and his wife Salimah Mohamed at their Eid al-Adha picnic in Michigan.Ali Lapetina for The New York Times
Ever since my mother passed, Eid has changed its meaning. Our mother was responsible for a lot of the excitement and cooking. So now that’s fallen on me, actually. I called up my dad and I think we decided on achar gosht and I have some mango ice cream that I’ve been making out of these mangoes that we imported from Pakistan. It will be a restrained menu. I think when you compare to both when my mother was alive and when there was no quarantine, the expectations have simplified.
This Eid, I’m asking, can I take the spirit of generosity here and try to use whatever I have for good? I’m trying to figure what local organizations and people I can support.

Kima Jones, the founder of a book publicity agency committed to literature by Black writers and writers of color, lives in Los Angeles and will be celebrating with her two brothers who have been in quarantine with her.

The Eids are two of my favorite holidays. My father was Muslim, and growing up, my mother was Southern Baptist; she’s since converted. It’s really just all about the food for me. We lived in New York and my father would drive to New Jersey and pick up Halal sausage, bean pies, in bulk, because there were eight of us children. My father, my brothers, my older male cousins, they always slaughtered lamb, sheep, and once or twice, cows.
My father owned a Halal farm during his lifetime. I grew up with him going out and sacrificing and cleaning the designated animal. We paid Zakat the way that we needed to, but really it was just three or four days of extremely good eating. I won’t be sacrificing an animal this year because of Covid-19. Whenever I can’t get meat, either I can’t do it myself or if a family member can’t, I try to order from Honest Chops, a Halal meat market in Manhattan. You can actually buy an animal and donate it to a family and they will do the ritual for you and get the meat cleaned, packaged and shipped out.
This year in the pandemic, I’m going to do our Eid prayers here at the house. We’re going to cook five or six courses, which I know sounds like a lot, but I come from a big family and so I’m used to very big portions. We’re going to have lamb, red snapper, something with shrimp, a vegetable, grill some corn, make a fruit salad.
Like many Muslims across America, Ms. Jones planned to celebrate Eid al-Adha at home. She prepared several dishes for her and her two brothers.Philip Cheung for The New York Times
There are two major ways that I try to look at time, and I measure it for my birthday to my birthday, like it’s my own personal calendar year, but I also measure progress, Eid to Eid, Ramadan to Ramadan. In addition to having material resolutions, to-do lists or goals, I also have my spiritual resolutions and I want to make sure that I’m checking in with myself each Ramadan, whether that is to learn a new Surah, whether that is to finally memorize the 99 names of Allah, whatever the thing is.
Eid al-Adha also specifically makes me think, what is my divine assignment? What have I been asked to do? Am I doing it? Am I doing it in a way that’s a reflection of what’s the best for me, what’s best for the people that I serve? It really makes me sit with myself, course correct and be self-aware. The story of Ibrahim is forcing us to check in with ourselves, and the quarantine is forcing us to check in with ourselves, our friends, our family more often.

Shahana Hanif, is running for a seat on the New York City Council to represent District 39 in Brooklyn. She lives with her parents in the Kensington neighborhood of Brooklyn.

Kensington is quite festive because it’s one of the largest Bangladeshi-Muslim enclaves in our city. The circumstances of celebration during this moment are hard because of not being able to be as mobile as I’d want to be. Having been born and raised in the diaspora, we’ve built traditions that are rooted in going away or traveling about and taking on the outdoors. But I don’t think that component will be gone, like one thing that we do always is go to our local hookah spot and that’s still on the agenda. They have outdoor hookah, and so we’re continuing that.
Eid is very low key in my household. For my family, it’s making sure that family back home (in Bangladesh) have what they need to celebrate and making sure that the financial contributions are met in both of my parents’ hometowns.

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Racial injustice and corporate America

Corporate leaders widely condemned the racial injustices laid bare by the killing of George Floyd. They promised to support civil rights initiatives and re-examine their own companies’ records on racial inequality. But, critics contend, years of well-intentioned pledges have had little effect. What more is needed from the business community to produce lasting change? Nikole Hannah-Jones, domestic correspondent and creator of The 1619 Project, joins the DealBook team to discuss on Thursday, Aug. 6 at 11 a.m.

[R.S.V.P. for the event here.]

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