Friday, May 16, 2025

Trump's Tariff Game... Now the Payoff

Total Wealth

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The Truth About Trump's Tariff Strategy - And Why We're Still Buying

Shah Gilani

Shah Gilani
Chief Investment Strategist

You didn't need a crystal ball to see this coming... just the ability to look past the headlines and understand how power, perception, and markets collide.

That's exactly what I've been discussing here at Total Wealth, and with my thousands of newsletter subscribers.

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As the media complained and markets panicked, we saw what was really happening...

President Trump was executing a tactical maneuver: economic "shock and awe."

His draconian tariff announcement campaign slammed markets, jolted trading partners, and sent the global elite scrambling.

As I've been saying, it was all part of the Master Plan.

Now, with the S&P 500 less than 5% from its all-time high, the strategy is clear. The setup worked. The trap was sprung. The market took the bait.

And those who kept their heads and understood the strategy loaded up at the bottom and have been riding the wave back up.

Here's how we did it...

The Draconian Shock

President Trump unleashed punishing tariffs:

  • Auto tariffs
  • A flat 10% on all imports
  • The April 2 "Liberation Day" tariffs that shook markets to their core

The reaction was jarring.

Indexes plummeted. Traders panicked. Commentators lost their minds. "Trade war!" they screamed. "Global recession!" they warned.

But while Wall Street spun out of control, we didn't flinch.

This wasn't about chaos - it was about control.

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Trump's tariff campaign came straight from the military playbook: shock and awe. Rattle markets. Send a message. Force adversaries to the table. It was an aggressive front designed to gain negotiating leverage.

The brilliance of the plan? He always had the kill switch in his pocket. If markets dropped too far, he'd walk it back. Soften the tone. Announce exemptions. Delay implementation.

That's exactly what he did. Again and again.

Each time markets approached the danger zone - down double digits, flirting with correction territory, then bear market levels - Trump shifted gears.

He made an announcement. Floated a concession. Offered "consideration."

And the markets? They rallied like prisoners freed from captivity.

This was chess. While others played checkers, we watched the board five moves ahead.

The Parallel Track: Let the Market Run

Here we are. The market hasn't just recovered - it's reapproaching euphoria. The S&P 500 sits within a breath of all-time highs. The Nasdaq has surged. Risk appetite has returned.

This isn't merely a rebound. It's the other half of the Plan unfolding.

Trump's strategy ran on two tracks: First, use fear to force action. Then, when control is reestablished, pivot toward prosperity.

That pivot is underway.

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You're already seeing the shift. U.S. trade representatives meet behind closed doors. Chinese officials discuss "progress." European partners show more openness to restructuring deals. And the President lays groundwork for new announcements.

Only this time, headlines won't read "tariffs imposed." They'll say "investment announced," "deal reached," "manufacturing returning."

That's not just diplomacy - that's jet fuel for the American economy.

Capital flows already reflect this shift. Foreign investment into U.S. infrastructure, technology, and advanced manufacturing accelerates. As confidence in America's regulatory and tax environment solidifies, expect even more overseas cash to flood back to our shores.

This strengthens the dollar, which we bet on, of course. It strengthens American jobs. It strengthens America.

How We Played It - And Why We're Not Done Yet

While the crowd screamed "sell," I had my subscribers buy. Not blindly - strategically.

We didn't go all-in when the VIX spiked. We staged our entries. We bought the dips in Apple, Amazon, NVIDIA, Microsoft, and other strong companies - names with fortress balance sheets and domestic as well as global dominance. We didn't bet on hope. We bet on inevitability.

We knew the president had no intention of letting markets spiral out of control. Not with so much at stake. And we knew he held the levers to engineer a rally when the time came.

So we kept dry powder, added to positions on weakness, and now sit on sizable gains - and they're growing.

Here's the thing: we're not done.

If you think the rally's over just because stocks are near all-time highs, think again.

This next phase - the investment boom, trade renegotiations, the "America First" capital reinvestment wave - is just beginning. As the dollar strengthens, inflation stays subdued, and productivity rises, the backdrop for equities becomes even more compelling.

The Market Was the Weapon

President Trump didn't attack the market. He weaponized it.

He knew markets could bring adversaries to their knees - then lift America back up when the dust settled. That's exactly what's happening.

This was never about reckless policy. It was about leverage. About resetting the terms of global engagement.

Now, with stocks soaring, growth reaccelerating, and global players scrambling to invest in the U.S., the next chapter of the Master Plan unfolds.

If you understood it from the beginning - if you read between the lines and kept faith in America's strength - then you're sitting pretty.

We saw it. We believed it. We acted.

Stay smart. Stay tactical. Stay tuned.

Because the next shock... might be a boom.

Cheers,

Shah

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