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This Week's Bonus Article 3 ETFs That Could Cushion Your Portfolio From War RiskAuthor: Nathan Reiff. Originally Published: 3/23/2026. 
Key Points - With oil prices rising and the market potentially poised for an accelerating selloff amid the Iran war, defensive ETFs can help to provide a multi-pronged hedge against turbulence.
- TAIL provides protection against downside risk in the S&P 500, while KMLM uses liquid futures contracts on commodities, currencies, and bond markets as a defense.
- FLTR's strategy involves short-duration, floating rate investment-grade corporate bonds to provide meaningful yield even in challenging inflationary environments.
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Though oil hasn't risen to the levels some analysts predicted, a sharp spike in the early days of the Iran war has pushed up pump prices and contributed to a roughly 3.5% selloff in the S&P 500 over the past month. Many retail investors built portfolios assuming calm conditions that favor traditional equities, leaving them exposed if geopolitical tensions trigger further market shocks. Fortunately, accessible exchange-traded funds (ETFs) can help absorb some of that shock. Investors worried about further turmoil may consider rebalancing to include one or more of the funds below, each designed for this type of scenario. A Tail Risk Hedge That Offers Protection When Equities Plunge First up is the Cambria Tail Risk ETF (BATS: TAIL), an actively managed fund with a relatively high expense ratio (0.59%) that reflects its specialized structure. The fund seeks to limit downside risk by combining out-of-the-money put options on the S&P 500 with U.S. Treasuries for income potential. It functions like an insurance policy for an equities portfolio, gaining value during sharp sell-offs in the broader market. TAIL has outperformed the broader market year-to-date (YTD), returning nearly 3% while the S&P 500 is down about 3.4% over the same period—evidence that its strategy can pay off during turbulence. The Treasury component can also benefit when investors seek refuge in government debt, while providing income. TAIL currently pays a dividend yield of 2.1%. This fund is generally not intended as a buy-and-hold holding because of its relatively high expense ratio. If competing tail-hedge products proliferate, TAIL may find it harder to execute its strategy as effectively. Still, its recent results suggest it can perform well in volatile markets. A Multi-Pronged Hedge Using Managed Futures The KraneShares Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF (NYSEARCA: KMLM) targets an index of 22 liquid futures contracts across U.S. and international exchanges, spanning commodities, currencies and bonds. As an uncorrelated, managed-futures fund, KMLM can help hedge risk across equities, bonds and commodities. KMLM has proven its value—most notably in 2022, when both the S&P 500 and the U.S. Aggregate Bond Index fell sharply and the ETF returned nearly 30%. With oil rising, inflation reaccelerating and bonds under pressure from interest-rate moves, the 2026 environment may look similar. KMLM also offers income, with a dividend yield of 4.7%, and it has outperformed YTD, returning about 7% so far in 2026. However, like TAIL, KMLM is not ideal as a long-term core holding because of its high expense ratio (0.90%) and weaker performance during calm markets; it may be better used tactically amid ongoing uncertainty. Floating-Rate Bonds Provide Competitive Yields in Difficult Environments The VanEck Investment Grade Floating Rate ETF (NYSEARCA: FLTR) invests in investment-grade floating-rate notes that periodically reset with market rates. The result is competitive yields and low duration risk—a key advantage when inflation and rates are rising. Inflation is again a growing concern for investors, with oil prices rising and shipping costs expected to escalate across many categories of goods. Fixed-rate bond funds typically suffer as rate expectations move higher; FLTR, by contrast, can convert inflation and rate pressure into higher income as its yields reset upward. With an expense ratio of just 0.14% and a dividend yield of 4.9%, FLTR is the most conservative of the three funds, appealing to investors seeking lower-risk income amid uncertainty. All three funds offer different benefits and can be used together to create a multi-layered hedge against future shocks stemming from the war. |
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