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Is D-Wave the Latest Threat to Bitcoin?By Nathan Reiff. Posted: 4/7/2026. 
Key Points
- A new report from Google suggests that quantum computers may be able to render critical aspects of the security cryptography used in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies obsolete in just a few more years.
- The development could have major implications for pure-play quantum computing tech firms like D-Wave Quantum.
- Although D-Wave remains a risky play with massive short interest and a sharply declining share price, it could be positioned well to benefit from disruption to the blockchain and crypto spaces.
- Special Report: Elon Musk’s $1 Quadrillion AI IPO
With Bitcoin trading sideways for two months and still well below its 2025 all-time high, quantum computing firms like D-Wave Quantum Inc. (NYSE: QBTS) may be an emerging source of downward pressure on the cryptocurrency market. A recent whitepaper from Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) warns that a so-called "Q-Day"—when quantum computers can break the cryptography that secures cryptocurrencies—could be approaching faster than expected. To be sure, D-Wave has faced its own challenges recently. With the stock down roughly 50% year to date, it's not obvious that concerns about quantum threats to crypto would immediately reverse that slide. Still, the speculation highlights how transformational quantum technology could be over the coming years. A Move From Crypto to Quantum?
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The reason quantum computing threatens Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies is simple: cryptocurrencies rely on public/private key cryptography for security. Because of the architecture and processing strengths of quantum computers, it's possible they will eventually be able to derive private keys—effectively bypassing the security that protects cryptocurrency wallets—in minutes rather than years. That possibility could benefit D-Wave shares because both crypto and quantum are speculative arenas. Some crypto investors might sell Bitcoin and other tokens if they judge those systems no longer secure, and instead redeploy capital into quantum companies. As a rare pure-play quantum firm with promising operational growth, D-Wave could be an obvious destination for that capital. What Could Follow After a Quantum-Led Bitcoin DisruptionEven if quantum computers undermine the cryptography behind Bitcoin or other tokens, the crypto ecosystem wouldn't necessarily vanish. D-Wave is already positioning itself in a post-quantum blockchain landscape: its Advantage2 system is being used in post-quantum security projects by Postquant Labs. D-Wave's dual focus on annealing and gate-model technologies could give it an edge if quantum companies compete to rebuild cryptocurrency infrastructure in the future. That positioning, along with strong customer interest, has driven surging backlogs and a lucrative new contract with a Fortune 100 company this year. Threats to encryption extend beyond cryptocurrencies; cryptography is critical to national security, so government agencies are watching advances in quantum computing closely. D-Wave may have an advantage here too, thanks to longstanding government work and partnerships with Davidson Technologies Inc. and Anduril Industries Inc. on defense applications. Fundamental Momentum, But Real Risks RemainDespite a near-tripling of full-year revenue year-over-year in 2025 and strong customer traction from new contracts and interest, D-Wave remains a risky investment. Several positives in its latest earnings report weren't enough to prevent a selloff after the release, as investors remain wary of continued share declines while the company is still pre-profit. As a speculative stock with elevated valuation multiples, the prospect of a turnaround that sends QBTS shares higher will be tempting to many investors. Analysts still expect D-Wave's stock to rise above $36, implying a gain of roughly 170% from current levels. Significant short interest also suggests short-squeeze potential if a positive catalyst quickly lifts the share price. A hypothetical technical breakthrough that enabled D-Wave's systems to crack the encryption behind major cryptocurrencies could be the kind of catalyst that sparks such a move. |
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